Thursday, March 23, 2023

🎲Don’t Bet on $140 Oil

Good morning. Oil prices have inched back to $70 per barrel, after dropping to one-year lows...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. Oil prices have inched back to $70 per barrel, after dropping to one-year lows. Some analysts, such as the one at Goldman Sachs, sees the price potentially doubling this year to $140. The reason? A potential supply crunch as shale oil producers are unable to borrow from small and regional banks.

However, it may be better to take the opposite view. The inverted yield curve and now banking crisis suggest a recession is imminent, if not underway. When that happens, oil demand drops as consumers cut back. That may be why oil prices have been near a 52-week low in the first place.

While we still think there are some pockets of value in the energy space, the easy money of the past two years has been made, and a more neutral to slightly-negative outlook may be more appropriate here.

Now here's the rest of the news:

Sponsored Content
Did We Learn a Lesson from the Last Stock Market Crash?
Those in the markets learned an important lesson in 2020: what goes down, must come up.

But how do you know when the floor hits and the bounce begins?

Wouldn't you want to be in at that inception point?

There's one way to know and it's not gurus, not headlines, it's not your brother-in-law spouting his theories on the markets.

Join us in our FREE, Live A.I. Market Training to learn how.

MARKETS
DOW 32,030.11 -1.63%
S&P 3,936.97 -1.65%
NASDAQ 11,669.96 -1.60%
*As of market close
Markets sank on Wednesday, as the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter point.
Oil rose 0.9 percent, last going for $70.32 per barrel.
Gold rallied 1.8 percent, ending at $1,977 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies sank, with bitcoin at $26,760 at the stock market close.

Today's TOP TIPS
This Tech Leader Could Make New Highs, Even in a Slowing Economy
Typically, growth stocks are a tough investment when economic growth has become slow and uncertain. The lofty valuations and predictions that look attractive in a bull market don't look as good when the economy is likely to contract.

However, some growth companies are able to position themselves for winning trends, even in a slowing economy. And those that can deliver could be the first stocks to make new all-time highs when things look rosy again.

» FULL STORY

Insider Trading Report: Sitio Royalties Corp (STR)
Christopher Conoscenti, CEO at Sitio Royalties Corp (STR), recently bought 2,500 shares. The buy increased his stake by 1 percent, and came to a total cost of $50,475.

The buy came a few days after the CEO made a 10,000 share buy, which came to a cost just over $221,000. Those two buys have been the only insider filings since the oil and gas royalty company went public.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: Snap Inc (SNAP)
Social media company Snap Inc (SNAP) has seen shares drop 70 percent in the past year. One trader is betting that shares have further to fall in the next six months.

That's based on the September $6 puts. With 176 days until expiration, 11,418 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 246, for a 46-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the puts paid $0.27 to make the bearish bet.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
Home Prices Mark First Decline in 11 Years

U.S. home prices fell in February, completing the first year-over-year drop in prices since the bottom of the housing market 11 years ago. Overall, sales rose 14.5 percent in February compared to January, but are down 22.6 percent compared to a year ago.
Mortgage Demand Rises, Even as Interest Rates Inch Higher

Last week, mortgage demand rose 2 percent compared to the prior week. However, mortgage applications are a full 36 percent lower compared to the same week in 2022, a reflection of the impact of rising mortgage rates on home sales.
Russia to Continue Oil Output Cuts

Russia stated that it will continue its 500,000 barrel per day production cut through the end of June. The cut is in accordance with an agreement with the OPEC+ members, who are looking to cut production. Oil prices have been close to $70, well under a peak of $120 per barrel set early last year.
PacWest Avoids Capital Raise

California-based PacWest Bancorp (PACW) dropped yesterday after the company stated it would avoid a capital raise at this time, citing depressed market prices for the bank's shares. The bank noted that its deposit base has declined 20 percent since the start of the crisis.
Tencent Returns to Growth

Chinese tech company Tencent is reporting that it grew its profits last year by 12 percent. The move came as the company cut as many as 4,000 jobs across various departments. Even with the improved profitability, the company reported its first-ever drop in annual revenues.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
MTCH  4.25%
AMD  3.647%
NVDA 3.096%
LULU 2.831%
LRCX 1.486%
BOTTOM
FRC 11.718%
CMA 7.197%
LNC 6.17%
MTB 6.021%
USB 5.704%

Quote of the Day
Since 1955, every time the fed funds rate has breached the 10-year yield's cycle low, a recession and accompanying change in monetary policy has occurred within the next 18 months.
- Wells Fargo, in an analyst note, looking at the odds of a recession being highly likely within the next 12 months, even if interest rates start to move down before then.

Sponsored Content
Propel Your Stock Selection with Simple A.I.
With inflation, massive layoffs at tech companies, and persistent volatility…are traders really in the clear?

We're in a critical phase of the markets.

And today we'll be going over how to make the most of this opportune time.

I'm hosting a F-R-E-E Live A.I. Market Training for traders interested in learning more about using artificial intelligence in the markets.

There are only a few spots left, so make sure you sign up right now to join.


Not sure the best way to get started?
Follow these simple steps to hit the ground running.

› Step #1 - Get These FREE Reports:

Warren Buffett's Top 5 Stocks | 10 Great Stocks Under $10 |
7 High Yield Dividend Stocks

› Step #2 - Join Our Premium Advisory:

The Next Superstock

› Step #3 - Claim Your Free Copy Of:

Big Book Of Chart Patterns | How to Trade Weekly Options For Weekly Income

We just wanted to take a moment and say thank you so much for being part of our family! We are dedicated to teaching people how to make the world a better place so we can all thrive, together. We love sharing stories and featuring past learners who have applied our teachings and changed their situations. It's our passion to build a strong community centered around fun and mindset! We love to discover extraordinary and useful tools and share them with the world! We create a space where people can discover how to enjoy their lives by simply choosing to learn. Every day we are building and strengthening partnerships with our customers and clients and we do so in the most ethical way possible. We particularly love working with artisans, makers, and small businesses because through their passion and their craft they help make the world a better place.. Without all of you we wouldn't be able to do what we do on a daily basis and for that we say thank you. We've been living our dream for many years now and that wouldn't be possible without every single one of you. The idea of going from a typical nine to five life to a life of freedom doesn't seem real to most people, but we want you to know it is definitely possible. We've done it. You have the power to control your life, your actions, and what you choose to focus on. We're here to help you along that journey to achieve whatever goals you set out for yourself. However, we also care about keeping you and your privacy safe. We are committed to advising you of the right to your privacy. We strive to provide a safe and secure user experience. Our Privacy Policy explains how we collect, store and use personal information, provided by you on our website. It also explains how we collect and use non-personal information. By accessing and using our website, you explicitly accept, without limitation or qualification, the collection, use and transfer of the personal information and non-personal information in the manner described in this Privacy Policy. Please read this Policy carefully, as it affects your rights and liabilities under the law. If you disagree with the way we collect and process personal and non-personal information, please do not use this website. This Policy applies to this website as well as all webpages Company hosts. It regulates the processing of information relating to you and grants both of us various rights with respect to your personal data. It also informs you of how to notify us to stop using your personal information. We are located in the United States of America. You may be located in a country that has laws which are more restrictive about the collection and use of your personal information. However, by using our website, you agree to waive the more restrictive laws and agree to be governed by the laws of the United States of America. If you wish to view our privacy policy, you can find it below.



Nothing in this email should be considered personalized financial advice. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH and consult with a licensed investment professional before making an investment. This communication should not be used as a basis for making any investment.

By reading this communication, you agree to the terms of this disclaimer, including, but not limited to: releasing The Company, its affiliates, assigns and successors from any and all liability, damages, and injury from the information contained in this communication. You further warrant that you are solely responsible for any financial outcome that may come from your investment decisions.

As defined in the United States Securities Act of 1933 Section 27(a), as amended in the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Section 21(e), statements in this communication which are not purely historical are forward-looking statements and include statements regarding beliefs, plans, intent, predictions or other statements of future tense.

Investing is inherently risky. While a potential for rewards exists, by investing, you are putting yourself at risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in any type of security. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell securities. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.



 

This email was sent to edwardlorilla1986.paxforex@blogger.com by editor@tradingtips.com

TradingTips.com | 3435 Ocean Park Blvd. Suite 107-334 Santa Monica, CA 90405

Manage Subscriptionsreport SPAM


 

No comments:

Post a Comment

What’s Holding You Back From Learning More?

Join my free 5-day course to explore dividend investing. ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏ ...