Saturday, February 25, 2023

VCs play the long game

Also: Fundraising down across all strategies in 2022, emerging managers hit particularly hard; Don't miss our most-read analyst notes from February...
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The Research Pitch
February 25, 2023
Top three: In case you missed them, here were our most-read analyst notes from this month:
 
Gaming innovation driven by Web3, generative AI, and more emerging tech
The gaming industry has become a dominant form of entertainment.

In 2020, game sales nearly tripled the revenue generated by all major US sports, digital music sales, and cinema box office sales combined. In 2022, gaming revenue reportedly exceeded $180 billion, a result of pandemic-fueled growth, international expansion, and gameplay innovation.

Worldwide, gaming startups raised $13.3 billion in VC funding last year, down from 2021's record. And while only $1.1 billion was raised in Q4—down 82% YoY and 59.5% QoQ—total deal value for the year was more than triple that of 2019.
 
2022 was a step back YoY but still elevated historically.

Although the COVID-19 pandemic brought scores of new gamers into the ecosystem, amid stay-at-home orders and an outlet for escapism, tailwinds to mainstream adoption and international growth were well underway.

Today, gaming is perceived as a social activity, esports trophies are handmade by luxury jewelers, and top-performing games can generate billions of dollars in opening-week sales.

VC funding is evenly distributed between early- and late-stage capital and game content has proven to be the impetus for most late-stage funding.

Emergent technologies, such as Web3 infrastructure and generative AI, by extension, account for most early-stage deals. Capital also continues to flow into startups helping content and intellectual property owners monetize gamers.

The creator economy and the value of user-generated content continue to expand, and other categories, like generative AI and low-code tools, have the potential to accelerate game development—a notoriously costly endeavor. The Metaverse, Web3, virtual reality & augmented reality, and cloud gaming all represent largely untapped potential for the industry.

Gaming startups, though, are not immune to global and macroeconomic headwinds. Supply chain issues have interrupted console development and title releases, antitrust scrutiny is increasing, and the breakneck pace of game development has brought heightened awareness to challenging working conditions.

While demand has proven to be highly resilient over the last decade-and-a-half, which included a global financial crisis and a pandemic, a looming recession risk has the potential to weigh down consumption.

Our first-ever gaming report examines trends in VC investment flow, highlights emerging opportunities, and discusses prominent risks for investors to consider.

Download a free preview of our Q4 2022 Gaming Report. PitchBook clients can read the premium report here.

We welcome any questions or comments.
 
Best,

Eric Bellomo
Analyst, Emerging Technology
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Market Updates  
 
In 2022, limited partners cut back commitments across all private fund strategies amid questionably high valuation marks and macroeconomic headwinds.

But the denominator effect was arguably the primary reason for the LP pullback.

Another factor in declining commitments was the fear that slowing distributions could lead to an inability to meet capital calls—but the data in our new Global Private Market Fundraising Report shows that didn't play out. Other key takeaways:
  • 2022 was particularly challenging for smaller emerging managers, regardless of strategy.

  • While VC saw the lowest fundraising declines compared to other strategies, we expect LP support to drop further in 2023.

  • Real estate and funds-of-funds fundraising hit the lowest marks in 10 years.
get the free report
 
 
Thematic Research  

Takeaways From the 2023 European Blockchain Convention

Earning and rebuilding user trust will be paramount for crypto adoption to accelerate.

And following the crash of FTX, the need for greater regulatory clarity has never been clearer.

Our senior tech analyst Robert Le was at the 2023 European Blockchain Convention in Barcelona last week, where he participated in a panel discussion and met with several industry participants.

Don't miss his key takeaways from the event, including the rise of privacy concerns on blockchain networks and continued institutional adoption of blockchain tech during the crypto winter:
get the free research
 
 
Webinars & Events  

A few upcoming events next month:
  • March 7: Female-founded companies raised more capital in 2022 than any year prior to 2021, but challenges still remain. Our panel will provide key insights for female-led companies across US geographies, highlighting VC funding trends, exit activity, and more. Register here.

  • March 10-13: We're sponsoring the Inc. Founders House during SXSW in Austin, where entrepreneurs, investors, and other innovators can connect and share ideas. Request an invite to secure your spot.

  • March 15: How has compensation at investment firms changed over the years? Our webinar with J.Thelander Consulting will examine the latest data and what to expect going forward. Register here.
 
In the News  

Our insights and data featured in the press:
  • The $100 million venture round is going extinct. [TechCrunch+]

  • Is London losing its European tech lead? [Sifted]

  • Why nontraditional investors with a greater appetite for risk may choose to be opportunistic in the current VC environment. [Venture Capital Journal]

  • Carbon-related startups raised $4.2 billion from VCs last year, a record-breaking total up from $3.6 billion in 2021. [Business Insider]
If you're a journalist interested in interviewing our analysts or requesting data, contact our PR team.
 
ICYMI  

Highlights from our other recent research:

Market updates
Thematic research
Industry & tech research
Coming next week (subject to change)
  • Global Markets Snapshot: February
  • Public PE Roundup
  • Emerging Tech Indicator
  • Healthcare IT Report (Launch)
  • ETR: Internet of Things*
 

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