Tuesday, December 13, 2022

⚖️ The reckoning begins

Plus: Wealth melts away | Tuesday, December 13, 2022
 
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Axios Markets
By Emily Peck and Matt Phillips · Dec 13, 2022

It's Tuesday and it's quickly turning into a day of reckoning for Sam Bankman-Fried and his collapsed crypto empire.

Today's newsletter is 771 words, 3 minutes.

 
 
1 big thing: SEC vs. SBF
Sam Bankman-Fried testifies during a hearing before the House Financial Services Committee on Capitol Hill on Dec. 8, 2021,. in Washington, D.C. Photo: Alex Wong/Getty Images

Sam Bankman-Fried testifies during a hearing before the House Financial Services Committee on Capitol Hill on Dec. 8, 2021. Photo: Alex Wong/Getty Images

 

Sam Bankman-Fried defrauded investors in his now-collapsed crypto empire, improperly diverting customer money to his privately held hedge fund "from the start," the SEC alleges in a lawsuit filed this morning.

Why it matters: The suit, which is expected to be followed by criminal charges later today, is the first detailed look at what happened at FTX, and alleges Bankman-Fried deceived customers and investors for years.

  • Bankman-Fried has denied wrongdoing in interviews.

Catch up quick: On Monday night, before he was set to testify remotely at a House Financial Services Committee hearing, Bahamian authorities arrested Bankman-Fried at the request of U.S. prosecutors. The two countries have an extradition treaty.

Details: The SEC alleged in the civil complaint that Bankman-Fried engaged in a "years-long" scheme to defraud investors.

  • "We allege that Sam Bankman-Fried built a house of cards on a foundation of deception while telling investors that it was one of the safest buildings in crypto," SEC chair Gary Gensler said in a statement. "The alleged fraud committed by Mr. Bankman-Fried is a clarion call to crypto platforms that they need to come into compliance with our laws."
  • The SEC wants a federal judge to force Bankman-Fried to pay disgorgement penalties and to prevent him from participating in the crypto industry, though he could make personal crypto investments.

What we're watching: For details of potential criminal charges. In a statement last night, the U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York said it expected to move to unseal the indictment against Bankman-Fried this morning.

Read more

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2. Catch up quick

🛑 Crypto exchange Binance temporarily halts withdrawals of the stablecoin USDC. (CNBC)

🇨🇳 China reportedly postpones key economic meeting due to COVID spike. (Bloomberg)

🚀 Elon Musk's SpaceX tender offer said to value the company at $140 billion. (Bloomberg)

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3. Melting away
Data: FactSet, Federal Reserve; Chart: Erin Davis/Axios Visuals

Low-interest rates giveth, high-interest rates taketh away.

What happened: American households saw the third consecutive quarterly decline in net worth during Q3, as stocks were pummeled by rising interest rates, Matt writes.

Why it matters: Household net worth — which includes the value of assets such as 401(k)s and residential real estate — is a ballpark estimate for the aggregate wealth of Americans.

  • Economists have long theorized that perceptions of net worth influence economic decisions, as rising wealth levels help people feel more confident about spending money. This relationship is known as the wealth effect.

By the numbers: Real household net worth fell roughly 9% compared to the third quarter of 2021, to $143 trillion.

  • The sharp decline in stocks drove the downturn, with the value of corporate equities falling 21% — to $24.33 trillion — compared to the third quarter of 2021.

Flashback: The Federal Reserve helped lead government efforts to insulate the economy from the pain of the pandemic, axing interest rates to near zero and pumping trillions of dollars into financial markets.

  • Such programs did help ward off a deep downturn, but they also were widely seen as helping ignite the stock market and residential real estate booms, which briefly supercharged levels of wealth among Americans.

Worth noting: These numbers show the "aggregate" net worth, which in reality, is spread unequally over the U.S. populace.

What we're watching: The housing market.

  • A sharp downturn in home prices — which some analysts forecast could happen in the next few quarters — could have a larger impact on the financial position of middle-class families, since housing is typically their largest asset.
  • Home prices have stopped rising, but an expected pullback due to high mortgage rates is taking some time to work its way through the system: Housing values were still up 13% compared to Q3 2021, the Fed said.
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A message from Walmart

Walmart is investing $1 billion in career training and development
 
 

At Walmart, a first promotion is often just the first of many — 75% of management started as hourly associates. That's just one reason why Walmart was named one of LinkedIn's Top Companies to Grow a Career in 2022.

Learn how Walmart's mentorship and training help associates advance in their careers.

 
 
4. Booed by the stock market
Data: FactSet; Chart: Axios Visuals

Elon Musk got an earful of boos when he made an impromptu appearance onstage with comedian Dave Chappelle in San Francisco on Sunday night, Matt writes.

  • 💭 Our thought bubble: We can't help but wonder whether some of them came from Tesla shareholders.

Driving the news: Amid the tumult of Musk's acquisition of Twitter, the value of his electric vehicle company Tesla has collapsed by more than $700 billion, from its peak of $1.24 trillion in early January.

  • It's currently worth around $530 billion.

The bottom line: To be clear, that's $700 billion worth of paper gains for individual and institutional investors wiped out in less than a year. Losses like that might even make an impact on the most hard-core Musk fans.

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A message from Walmart

Walmart named one of LinkedIn's Top 20 Companies to Grow a Career
 
 

Patrick Joseph began his Walmart career as a pharmacy intern. Today, he oversees 11 pharmacies and eight vision centers — and his story is just one of many.

See how Walmart's focus on mentorship and advancement helps create more stories like Patrick's.

 

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Today's newsletter was edited by Kate Marino and copy edited by Mickey Meece.

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