🌊 Hurricane drones

Plus: What's that bird? | Monday, October 17, 2022

Open in app View in browser   Presented By Capital One   Axios What's Next By Jennifer A. Kingson, Joann Muller and Alex Fitzpatrick · Oct 17, 2022 Drones and next-gen weather satellites are on the cusp of dramatically improving hurricane forecasts, Jennifer reports today with Axios Generate's Andrew Freedman. Today's newsletter is 1,096 words ... 4 minutes.     1 big thing: Building better hurricane forecasts Illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios   The killer app for hurricane prediction? It could be drones that explore hurricanes and send back real-time data — or new satellite tech that gives forecasters a better look at storms from above, Jennifer A. Kingson and Andrew Freedman report. Why it matters: Accurate forecasts will be increasingly vital as climate change makes for more intense and wetter hurricanes, which undergo rapid intensification. Where it stands: Today's monitoring systems are good at predicting a storm's track but struggle to anticipate intensity changes. To improve predictions, scientists need more information about hurricanes' relatively small core. Right now, those are mainly sampled by human-flown Hurricane Hunter aircraft. What's happening: In recent firsts, uncrewed airborne and seaborne drones have transmitted live data and video from inside these violent storms, including areas off limits to Hurricane Hunters. The drones complement advanced satellites (including a planned private-sector network) and a new hurricane forecasting model the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) aims to adopt next year. Driving the news: After enduring an especially rough ride into Hurricane Ian, NOAA scientists deployed a 27-pound drone called Altius into the storm's eye and eyewall, where it spent two hours "acquiring critical measurements to understand these complex storm systems," the agency says. The 8-foot drone was released from "Kermit," one of NOAA's Hurricane Hunter aircraft. It was able to communicate from an impressive range of 100 miles, keeping Kermit's human pilots out of harm's way. Last year, NOAA first used "Saildrones" — surface vessels that troll the ocean to assess storm intensity. A Saildrone deployed by NOAA near St. Petersburg, Fla., this year. Photo courtesy of NOAA and Saildrone A Saildrone that plunged into Hurricane Sam last year marked "the first time we ever had video coming back in real time from the eye of the hurricane," said Matt Womble, director of ocean data at Saildrone, a NOAA contractor based in Alameda, California. The second time was last month, when a 23-foot Saildrone braved 50-foot waves and 100-mph winds in Hurricane Fiona, a Category 4 storm. NOAA has been testing drones for years, but the latest generation is more sophisticated, providing real-time views of a hurricane's shifting track and intensity. "They're so new," Frank Marks, director of NOAA's Hurricane Research Division, said of the drones. "We haven't really taken advantage of them beyond seeing things we've never seen before." Going forward, the "kind of technology combination we're looking for is the manned aircraft flying the safer part of the storm a little higher" while drones dive into the eye. The big picture: For storm intensity forecasts in particular, NOAA has been developing a new and improved system known as HAFS — the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System — and hopes to implement it next spring. Marks says he was "blown away" with how HAFS performed during real-time experiments on Hurricanes Ian and Fiona. Meanwhile, Boston-based weather and climate intelligence firm Tomorrow.io is building a constellation of 12 satellite-mounted radars meant to scan developing tropical storms and hurricanes hour by hour. The bottom line: Not only can these new technologies pump out data that improves forecasting models, the drones can also beam video that conveys the ferocity of the storm to the general public — potentially persuading people to evacuate. Share this story.     2. WFH creates opportunities for disabled workers Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios   Remote work has helped boost employment among U.S. adults with disabilities, Axios' Hope King reports. Driving the news: The labor force participation rate for workers 16 years old and over reached 23.3% in November 2021 — the highest it's been since 2008. It's since dipped slightly, to 23.2% as of September's jobs report. Why it matters: Workers with disabilities had been asking to work remotely for decades but were consistently told "no," Thomas Foley, executive director of the National Disability Institute, tells Axios. During the COVID-19 pandemic, as many companies shifted to remote work, "that was disproportionately positive for people with disabilities," he says. What to watch: The labor force participation rate for workers with disabilities has increased alongside the jump in people with long COVID. Long COVID is currently disabling millions of Americans, Axios' Sabrina Moreno recently reported, which could change the way the country thinks about disabilities. Share this story.     3. Iowa schools install mental health alert software Illustration: Megan Robinson/Axios   Software that monitors students' computers for signs of mental health emergencies was recently installed at public schools in Des Moines, Iowa, Axios' Jason Clayworth reports. Why it matters: The program will help counselors identify and respond to students at risk for suicide or harm from others through threats, violence and bullying. Details: The AI-powered software, known as Beacon, monitors students' online activity on district-issued devices. Alerts are sent to school staffers or parents through email, text or a phone call, and can include screenshots for context. Students whose parents have privacy concerns are being offered alternatives. The big picture: Suicide is a leading cause of death among 15-19 year-olds in the U.S., per the CDC. If you or someone you know needs support now, call or text 988 or chat with someone at 988lifeline.org. En Español. Share this story.     A message from Capital One Democratizing car ownership     Car ownership can open new doors, including improved employment opportunities. The problem: 84% of lower-middle income earners who don't own a car said they turned down a job due to not having a car. Capital One teamed up with On the Road Lending to democratize car ownership. See the impact.     4. 📈 Streaming services, by $$$ Bar chart showing the monthly cost of select on-demand streaming services. As of October 2022, HBO Max had the highest fees, at $15 a month without ads and $10 with ads. Apple TV had the lowest monthly fee at $5 without ads; it does not offer an option with ads. The most popular TV streaming services now cost anywhere from about $5 to $15 a month, depending on options, per an Axios survey. Some, such as HBO Max and Paramount+, offer cheaper ad-supported plans alongside pricier ad-free tiers. Others, such as Netflix, also have relatively high-cost premium tiers with 4K shows and movies. Driving the news: Netflix is launching a $6.99/month ad-supported plan in the U.S. next month, Axios' Sara Fischer reports. The idea is to appeal to those who might not otherwise sign up — or keep people who were thinking of unsubscribing. Alex's thought bubble: Gone are the days when streaming was a cheaper alternative to a cable plan. Now, budget-conscious TV fans have to make careful choices about which streamers they really, truly want.     5. One fun thing: What's that bird? Photo: Ben Montgomery/Axios   Axios Tampa Bay reporter Ben Montgomery recently installed a new tool on the side of his house that identifies nearby birds by their song. Details: The AI-enabled gadget, called Haikubox, is powered by a neural net and thousands of bird recordings from the Cornell Lab of Ornithology. How it works: Ben downloaded an app, plugged in Haikubox outside his house and connected it to Wi-Fi, and waited. The app quickly started detecting, recording and identifying nearby birds. A barred owl and common nighthawk visited after dark. A downy woodpecker and blue-gray gnatcatcher showed up. Palm warblers and rose-breasted grosbeaks passed through. The big picture: The data collected by each Haikubox can help tell a much bigger story — about migration patterns, when species are active and environmental changes. Every Haikubox owner is like a citizen-scientist, contributing information to the largest dataset of bird behavior ever assembled. Share this story.     A message from Capital One How car ownership changed his family's life     Last year, Earnest Barnes struggled to find a job. His community lacked public transit, so his wife and four kids relied on costly delivery and rideshare options. On The Road Lending helped Barnes apply for a car loan for a reliable vehicle. This opened the door to trade school. Read the full story.   Big thanks to What's Next copy editor Amy Stern. Was this email forwarded to you? Get your daily dose of What's Next by signing up here for our free newsletter. Are you a fan of this email format? It's called Smart Brevity®. Over 300 orgs use it — in a tool called Axios HQ — to drive productivity with clearer workplace communications.   Axios thanks our partners for supporting our newsletters. If you're interested in advertising, learn more here. 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