Friday, September 2, 2022

☹️Why Help May Not Arrive in Time to Save Unprepared Portfolios

Good morning. Since the Great Recession, both retail and professional investors have come to...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. Since the Great Recession, both retail and professional investors have come to expect central banks to lend a helping hand. Keeping interest rates low has made it easy for asset prices to soar. But now, with inflation running wild, rates are rising – and central banks are committed to crushing inflation first.

That's why inflation is likely worse than it looks today. And also why those who expect a quick turnaround in today's markets are likely to get burned. The days of the bailouts may not be over, but it may be worth crushing asset prices further in the coming months to get inflation out of the system.

Traders looking for a market recovery will need to look out for themselves and not expect central banks to act in their best interest. Fortunately, traders can benefit from short-term moves on the downside in the coming months, as well as trades that play to overall high market volatility.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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How Far Stocks Will Fall — What to Do
In the first half of the year, stocks sustained their worst decline in 52 years, and there's nothing the Fed can do to stop it.

How far could your stocks fall?

I predict that …

If you hold stocks or exchange-traded funds, depending on which ones they are and how this crisis unfolds, history tells us you could lose anywhere from half your money to almost all your money.

That's why I've just released a special video, Collapse of 2022: How to Protect Your Money and Wealth Swiftly.

To watch my urgent briefing now, click here.


MARKETS
DOW 31,656.42 +0.46%
S&P 3,966.85 +0.30%
NASDAQ 11,785.13 -0.26%
*As of market close
Stocks traded mixed on Thursday, with a late-day rally reversing losses for the Dow and S&P.
Oil slid 3.5 percent, closing at $86.38 per barrel.
Gold dropped 1.1 percent, last going for $1,707 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies traded mixed, with Bitcoin at $19,861 at the stock market close.

Today's TOP TIPS
Find Companies Pursuing the Best Growth Markets Now
Some companies lead their sectors to new areas of growth. Others may hold back, to determine where the best prospect for growth is right now. Both can have their merits, if successful. A handful of today's top tech trends should benefit all companies.

That includes the rollout of the 5G network, the ongoing growth of electric vehicles, and the digitization of the economy.

» FULL STORY

Insider Trading Report: The AZEK Co. (AZEK)
Vernon Nagel, a director at The AZEK Co. (AZEK), recently added 3,000 shares. The buy increased his holdings by 12.5 percent, and came to a total price of just over $55,500.

The director was the last buyer of the stock, with a 5,000 share buy back in May for just over $94,000. Year to date, a number of company directors and executives have been buyers. Insiders were largely sellers in 2020 and into 2021.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: Ryder System (R)
Shares of logistics and trading company Ryder System (R) have broken even over the past year amid a more tumultuous return for the S&P 500 index. One trader sees that outperformance continuing with a further rally in the coming weeks.

That's based on the November $80 calls. With 79 days until expiration, 5,032 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 110, for a 45-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the calls paid $3.65.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
Jobless Claims Fall to Lowest Level in Two Months

Jobless claims fell to a seasonally-adjusted level of 232,000 in the last week. That came in under estimates for 245,000. That marks the lowest level in two months for the headline job number. In the meantime, continuing claims rose to 1.44 million, up 26,000 from the prior week. That may be a stronger sign that the labor market is finally starting to cool.
OPEC Looks at Production Cuts as Prices Drop

Oil prices saw a massive drop in August, but that may not last. OPEC+ meets on September 5th, and the cartel may look to cut back on production in the oil markets to keep prices from falling further. The decline in oil prices comes as the economy continues to show signs of slowing, which reduces demand.
US Orders Chipmakers to Stop Selling AI Chips to China

The US government has ordered Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD) to stop selling chips with AI technology to China. The government believes the chips have a potential risk of being used by a "military end user." The move threatens nearly $400 million in business to Nvidia alone, and AMD noted that it does not seem to impact their sales at this time.
Twitter Set to Test Out Edit Button

One of the most demanded features on social media company Twitter (TWTR) has been an edit button. The company has announced that it will test that function in the coming weeks. It will go to a select group of users, including the company's paying monthly Blue service members.
Reddit Acquires Spiketrap to Include Ads Business

Social media company Reddit is buying audience contextualization company Spiketrap at an undisclosed value. The move will allow Reddit to improve its ad scoring and prediction models to better monetize the popular site. This is one of many recent acquisitions the company has made in the past year to improve its ad business.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
DXC 7.385%
GNRC 4.907%
COO 4.093%
MRNA 3.765%
REGN 3.063%
BOTTOM
NVDA 8.513%
MPWR 6.688%
HRL 6.673%
VLO 5.853%
FCX 5.659%

Quote of the Day
S&P 500 performance for August can be summarized as a tale of two halves. Investors developed an appetite for risk assets in the first half of the month on expectations of a potential peak in inflation and an eventual Fed pivot, followed by a steep reversal (and then some) as markets digested Fed Chair Powell's speech which reiterated the FOMC's commitment to bring down inflation and outlined that the FOMC will likely need to maintain 'a restrictive policy stance for some time.'
- Chris Hussey, Goldman Sachs analyst, on the stock market's 4 percent decline in August, and why the market will likely see further drops in the months ahead as investors got ahead of the Fed in expecting an end to increases in interest rates.

Sponsored Content
How Far Stocks Will Fall — What to Do
In the first half of the year, stocks sustained their worst decline in 52 years, and there's nothing the Fed can do to stop it.

How far could your stocks fall?

I predict that …

If you hold stocks or exchange-traded funds, depending on which ones they are and how this crisis unfolds, history tells us you could lose anywhere from half your money to almost all your money.

That's why I've just released a special video, Collapse of 2022: How to Protect Your Money and Wealth Swiftly.

To watch my urgent briefing now, click here.


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