Thursday, August 11, 2022

'Informant' reports jolt Trump world

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POLITICO Playbook

By Ryan Lizza and Eugene Daniels

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With help from Eli Okun and Garrett Ross

The entrance to former President Donald Trump's Mar-a-Lago estate is shown.

The entrance to former President Donald Trump's Mar-a-Lago estate is shown in Palm Beach, Fla., on Monday. | Terry Renna/AP Photo

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DRIVING THE DAY

It's only Thursday, but this has been an exhausting week. We'll try to take a step back and make some sense of things.

There are two stories worth your time this morning: one about DONALD TRUMP in the Wall Street Journal and one about JOE BIDEN in the Washington Post. They intersect with each other in a way that gets to the heart of the most profound question in American politics.

FIRST: There's a government informant inside Trump's inner circle. (Awake now?)

That's the takeaway from WSJ's Alex Leary, Aruna Viswanatha and Sadie Gurman , who retell the tale of the Mar-a-Lago records caper with important new details.

On June 3, JAY BRATT, chief of counterintelligence and export control section at the Department of Justice, visited Mar-a-Lago to inspect a storage room that contained presidential documents. By this point in his standoff with the government, Trump had already returned 15 boxes of records to the National Archives, which subsequently found "classified national security information" among the returned items.

Trump, who stopped by the June inspection to greet Bratt, had told the government that there was no more classified material in his possession. The dispute, it appeared, when Bratt showed up, was about returning what Trump represented to be non-sensitive documents. Retaining non-classified documents is still a violation of the strict Presidential Records Act, but the available evidence suggests the two sides were working it out.

But things started to escalate. Five days later, Bratt sent Trump's lawyer, EVAN CORCORAN, an email, a copy of which was read over the phone to the Journal: "We ask that the room at Mar-a-Lago where the documents had been stored be secured and that all the boxes that were moved from the White House to Mar-a-Lago (along with any other items in that room) be preserved in that room in their current condition until further notice."

Then, on June 22, the government subpoenaed Mar-a-Lago surveillance footage, which the Journal says was provided.

And then on Monday, the FBI warrant was executed.

The mystery is: What changed?

The answer, according to the Journal, is that an informant told the FBI that Trump was lying.

"[S]omeone familiar with the stored papers told investigators there may be still more classified documents at the private club after the National Archives retrieved 15 boxes earlier in the year, people familiar with the matter said," according to the Journal. "And Justice Department officials had doubts that the Trump team was being truthful regarding what material remained at the property, one person said."

And not only was Trump lying about retaining additional classified materials, according to the informant, this Trump insider knew precisely where they were.

That, at least, is the version of events described by Newsweek's William M. Arkin, who was the first to report the existence of an informant , citing "officials" with "direct knowledge of the FBI's deliberations."

"The raid on Mar-a-Lago was based largely on information from an FBI confidential human source," Arkin writes, "one who was able to identify what classified documents former President Trump was still hiding and even the location of those documents, two senior government officials told Newsweek."

(As of early this morning, no other news organization has matched the Journal and Newsweek's explosive reporting about the informant.)

SECOND: The second story worthy of your time is Michael Scherer, Ashley Parker and Tyler Pager's account of recent meetings between Joe Biden and a circle of policy, political and academic experts from outside the administration. The meetings follow Biden's promise to do more outreach — to seek "more input, more information, more constructive criticism about what I should and shouldn't be doing," as he put it during a news conference in January.

There was a foreign policy roundtable in January to discuss Russia, which was then on the verge of invading Ukraine. Former President BILL CLINTON dined with Biden on May 2, and offered advice on inflation (prepare "to take credit for inflation reductions, if they come") and the midterms ("create a sharp policy contrast with Republicans," such as Sen. RICK SCOTT of Florida).

But the most fascinating meeting documented in the piece came last week, on August 4, the same afternoon that storms rolled through Washington and lightning struck and killed three people in Lafayette Park across from the White House.

On the guest list that day were The Atlantic's ANNE APPLEBAUM and four historians: Princeton's SEAN WILENTZ, University of Virginia's ALLIDA BLACK, MICHAEL BESCHLOSS and JON MEACHAM, who is also an occasional informal Biden adviser.

It was not a light conversation. The Post notes that "[s]ome of last week's discussion focused on similarities between today's landscape and the period leading up to World War II, when growing authoritarianism abroad found its disturbing echo in the United States."

One person familiar with the meeting told Playbook that the conversation was heavy on the roots of populism, the appeal of autocrats (the subject of Applebaum's most recent book ) and the competition between autocracy and democracy — a longtime Biden theme.

And this is where the Trump news and the Biden news intersect.

Part of the conversation with the historians raised one of the most important questions Biden faces. "Biden is in the middle of a really good run," said the person familiar with the meeting. "But will remarkable-but-traditional legislative achievements make a big enough difference to people to resist the populist pull of this autocratic grievance culture?"

The last three days have made that contrast more vivid.

Monday

— Biden toured flood-damaged portions of Kentucky, where he praised the government response from FEMA.

— Trump discredited the FBI and Justice Department after the search at Mar-a-Lago.

Tuesday

— Biden signed the CHIPS and Science Act into law, and talked about how change "can either strengthen our sense of control and security" or it "weakens us" and causes Americans "to question whether or not the very institutions — our economy, our democracy itself — can still deliver for them."

— Trump released a 4-minute campaign-style video calling America a "failing nation," one that he depicted in apocalyptic terms.

Wednesday

— Biden signed the PACT Act into law and — just as Clinton recommended at their May lunch — took credit for a new report showing a decline in inflation. "The economic plan is working," Biden said.

— Trump spent Wednesday asserting his Fifth Amendment right against self-incrimination more than 400 times while being deposed by LETITIA JAMES, New York's Attorney General, who he attacked as corrupt and illegitimate in a series of statements and videos.

Biden suggested to the historians that he wrestles with how to confront the populist threat they all discussed last week. Should he confront it head on and every day? Or should he mostly just show that there's an alternative that works better?

"He's very fluent with both the global and domestic sources of the appeal of authoritarian populist moments," said the person familiar with the meeting. "He's thinking about it a lot and the answer that he's come to is that the best thing to do is govern well. He knows that autocracy is a threat, so his job is to make sure democracy delivers."

Good Thursday morning. Thanks for reading Playbook. Drop us a line: Rachael Bade , Eugene Daniels , Ryan Lizza .

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TALKER — New John Harris column: "Why Wait? Here's Liz Cheney's Concession Speech in Advance: All signs suggest she aims to turn a congressional defeat into a presidential campaign."

PERRY COOPERATING WITH DOJ — A lawyer for Rep. SCOTT PERRY told the NYT's Alan Feuer, Luke Broadwater and Katie Benner on Wednesday that the Pennsylvania Republican is coopearing in the FBI's investigation into Trump's effort to overturn the 2020 election, a day after agents seized Perry's cellphone. "The Justice Department informed us that Representative Perry is not a target of its investigation," JOHN IRVING, Perry's attorney, said in a statement. "Representative Perry has directed us to cooperate with the Justice Department in order to ensure that it gets the information it is entitled to, but to also protect information that it is not entitled to."

— Meanwhile, federal officers "delivered subpoenas or paid visits to several [state] House and Senate Republican offices in the Pennsylvania Capitol on Tuesday and Wednesday, according to multiple sources," PennLive's Jan Murphy and Charles Thompson report . "At least some of the individuals receiving subpoenas were told they were not targets of an investigation, according to at least six sources reached by PennLive, but that they may have information of interest to the FBI."

What they wanted: "The information being requested centered around U.S. Rep. Scott Perry, R-Pa., and the effort to seek alternate electors as part of former President Donald Trump's efforts to remain in office after the 2020 election, several sources said."

— Useful context: Perry "has publicly tied the agency's actions to its search of Donald Trump's home in Mar-a-Lago," but as Nicholas Wu and Kyle Cheney write , "there's no evidence the two are directly connected — and more details suggest they're part of two separate investigations."

IRAN'S HITLIST — Former Secretary of State MIKE POMPEO was the second intended target of Iranian operative SHAHRAM POURSAFI, who on Wednesday was charged with plotting to assassinate former national security adviser JOHN BOLTON, CNN's Hannah Rabinowitz, Marshall Cohen, Jennifer Hansler and Kylie Atwood report . Prosecutors said "Poursafi, a 45-year-old Iranian national and [Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps] member, attempted to pay $300,000 to an individual in the United States to kill Bolton, and said he had a 'second job' for $1 million."

 

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BIDEN'S THURSDAY — The president has nothing on his public schedule.

VP KAMALA HARRIS' THURSDAY (all times Eastern):

4:25 p.m.: The VP will participate in a press call about investments in tribal broadband.

5:05 p.m.: Harris will host a roundtable discussion with California state legislators and advocates to discuss reproductive health care.

THE SENATE and THE HOUSE are out.

 

STEP INSIDE THE WEST WING: What's really happening in West Wing offices? Find out who's up, who's down, and who really has the president's ear in our West Wing Playbook newsletter, the insider's guide to the Biden White House and Cabinet. For buzzy nuggets and details that you won't find anywhere else, subscribe today .

 
 

PHOTO OF THE DAY

President Joe Biden gives the pen he used to sign the

President Joe Biden hands a pen to Brielle Robinson, the daughter of Sgt. 1st Class Heath Robinson, who died of cancer two years ago and for whom the PACT Act is named, during the signing ceremony on Wednesday, Aug. 10. | Evan Vucci/AP Photo

PLAYBOOK READS

ALL POLITICS

TEMPERATURE CHECK — While it was not one of Tuesday's marquee races, the results of the special election in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District "caught the attention of party strategists and nonpartisan analysts looking for clues about the mood of the electorate," WaPo's Colby Itkowitz and Lenny Bronner write . Despite the fact that Republican BRAD FINSTAD defeated Democrat JEFF ETTINGER, the margin was a slim four points in a district that Trump won by 10 in 2020. Dems see a silver lining in these results, hoping they're a sign that, post-Dobbs, momentum is on their side and that November's elections won't be the GOP wipeout once predicted.

NEW YORK STATE OF MIND — "Could Carl Paladino and His '3-Ring Circus' Be Headed for Congress?" by NYT's Jesse McKinley

DEMOCRACY CHECK — As Trump's loyal followers continue searching for stolen elections far and wide, the latest unfounded conspiracy theory lies in ballot dropboxes, which some baselessly believe are being stuffed with fake ballots by "mysterious operatives, or so-called ballot mules," NYT's Tiffany Hsu and Stuart Thompson write . In response, they're putting together stakeouts across the country. Thus far, the efforts have mostly been small-scale. "But some online commenters discussed bringing AR-15s and other firearms, and have voiced their desire to make citizens' arrests and log license plates." Now, election officials are worried things "could easily slip into illegal voter intimidation, privacy violations, electioneering or confrontations."

2024 WATCH — "5 policies that will test Gavin Newsom's national dreams," by Jeremy White

YOUNGKIN'S MILLIONS — NBC's Gretchen Morgenson has a story up this morning on a lucrative deal that Virginia Gov. GLENN YOUNGKIN received $8.5 million worth of Carlyle Group stock, tax-free, while he was part of the top brass at the company. "The … payout came on top of $54 million in compensation Youngkin had received from Carlyle during the previous two years, regulatory records show," Morgenson writes. "Now, that transaction is under attack by a Carlyle shareholder in Delaware Chancery Court. The suit, filed last week by the city of Pittsburgh Comprehensive Municipal Pension Trust Fund, says the $344 million deal harmed Carlyle's stockholders, who received nothing in return when they funded the payday."

CONGRESS

WHAT MONEY CAN BUY — "The newest fad in fundraising: Gold-level clubs for lobbyists," by Hailey Fuchs

KNOWING JAMES COMER — Olivia Beavers travels to Fancy Farm, Ky., to profile Rep. JAMES COMER, who is poised to take over as chair of the House Oversight Committee should Republicans retake the chamber this fall. "With that powerful gavel, Comer will be one of the most pivotal figures in directing the party's pent-up frustration and aggression toward Democrats after years in the minority."

Comer: "I'm not going to be chasing some of these right-wing blogs and some of their conspiracy theories. … We'll look into anything, but we're not going to declare a probe or an investigation unless we have proof."

THE WHITE HOUSE

OUT OF OFFICE — Biden is officially on vacation in Kiawah Island, S.C. But don't expect many more details. Per AP's Seung Min Kim and Zeke Miller : "The White House did not respond to requests to provide details on Biden's vacation schedule, activities or when he planned to return to Washington, nor did it provide information on the residence where he was staying."

THE LOAN LURCH — Officials at the White House are planning a meeting this week with student debt activists and advocacy groups as Biden faces down an Aug. 31 deadline to decide whether he will approve broad-based debt relief for millions of Americans, Michael Stratford reports . "The virtual meeting, scheduled for Thursday, is the latest sign that the White House is seriously considering canceling some amount of student loan debt as Biden advisers weigh the election-year political consequences of such a decision."

 

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TRUMP CARDS

HOW IT'S PLAYING — Kyle Cheney and Meridith McGraw dive into the theories buzzing around Trump world in the wake of the Mar-a-Lago search, which imagine "that the raid was a pretext to fish for other incriminating evidence, that the FBI doctored evidence to support its search warrant — and then planted some incriminating materials and recording devices at Mar-a-Lago for good measure — and even that the timing of the search was meant to be a historical echo of the day President RICHARD NIXON resigned in 1974."

JAN. 6 AND ITS AFTERMATH

THE GEORGIA INVESTIGATION — Prosecutors in the Fulton County investigation into Trump's efforts to overturn the 2020 Georgia election results argued on Wednesday that they need to impanel a special grand jury to hear from Sen. LINDSEY GRAHAM (R-S.C.) about what he may know about Trump's movements at the time, AP's Kate Brumback writes from Atlanta . But Graham's attorneys countered that his position as a senator protects him from appearing before a grand jury.

What's next: "U.S. District Judge LEIGH MARTIN MAY said she hopes to issue a ruling Friday but that it may take her until Monday to decide whether Graham should have to testify."

THE ECONOMY

INFLATION NATION — "Fed Leaders, Unswayed by Softer CPI, See Rate Hikes Into 2023," by Bloomberg's Matthew Boesler

ON THE DOT — "Buttigieg promises action on airline delays," by Oriana Pawlyk

BEYOND THE BELTWAY

MONKEYPOX LATEST — The Biden administration has begun discussions with multiple companies about bottling millions of new doses of the monkeypox shot, but it could take three to six months to get them ready for distribution, Erin Banco and Adam Cancryn report .

THE REAL-WORLD EFFECT — "Florida's 'Don't Say Gay' law fuels anti-LGBTQ hate online," AP

CLIMATE FILES — "July 2022 featured hottest nights in U.S. history," by WaPo's Zach Rosenthal and Jason Samenow: "A trend toward warmer nights is one of the leading indicators of human-caused climate change.

 

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Playbookers

Little Beau Biden, Joe Biden's grandson, shook hands with greeters in Charleston, S.C.

Ronny Jackson, an international foodie, revealed on a podcast that his last meal definitely won't be "dog penis." Fried steak would be his preferred choice, for the record.

Ryann McEnany, sister of Kayleigh, anchors a new ad for "The Right Stuff" — an invite-only dating app marketed for conservatives. "You'll start off by building your perfect profile, no pronouns necessary," she says.

Michael Bennet thanked Jon Ossoff for his new Twitter profile picture : "Great to have a colleague who knows how to use portrait mode."

Joe Arpaio lost his third comeback bid since 2016.

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — The Institute of Politics at Harvard Kennedy School is announcing its slate of fall 2022 fellows: Raul Alvillar, Gloria J. Browne-Marshall, Stephanie Carlton, Stefan Löfven, Judith LeBlanc, Matthew Mead and Natalie Tennant. The announcement

The Clinton Global Initiative is announcing the roster of featured speakers that it has lined up for the 2022 meeting on Sept. 19 and 20 in New York City. The list includes NYC Mayor Eric Adams, Noubar Afeyan, Jordanian Queen Rania Al Abdullah, José Andrés, Massachusetts Gov. Charlie Baker, Xiye Bastida, Jesper Brodin, Matt Damon, Thasunda Brown Duckett, Larry Fink, WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, New York Gov. Kathy Hochul, Alan Jope, Lin-Manuel Miranda, Barbados PM Mia Mottley, U.S. Surgeon General Vivek Murthy, WTO Director-General Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, Laurene Powell Jobs, Hamdi Ulukaya, Malala Yousafzai and more. See the full list here

Galia Slayen is now a strategic communications executive at The Lede Company, focusing on clients in entertainment, media and music. Lede represents clients from Lady Gaga and Live Nation to major brands, such as Audi. She previously was a director at FGS Global and is a Mike Bloomberg, Steve Bullock and J.B. Pritzker alum.

Aaron Rodriguez is now VP of comms at Moyer Strategies. He most recently worked at the Immigration Hub and is an Obama administration, Human Rights Campaign and Zoe Lofgren alum.

MEDIA MOVES — Claire Barkley has joined POLITICO as media booker, and Dana Beckman is now comms specialist at POLITICO. Barkley most recently was an account executive for health care and corporate media relations at FleishmanHillard. Beckman recently received an MPA from the University of Georgia.

TRANSITION — Peter Kadushin is joining Trident DMG as a VP. He most recently led Amazon's global PR and issues management communications and is a Keisha Lance Bottoms, Mike Duggan and Bill de Blasio alum.

WELCOME TO THE WORLD — Lisa Shea Mundt, co-founder of the government contracting market intelligence firm The Pulse of GovCon, and Matthew Mundt, controller for RP Professional Services and a Grant Thornton alum, recently welcomed Elaine Leslie Mundt. Pic ... Another pic

— Angela Wiles, health policy director for the Senate HELP Committee, and Andrew Wiles, an associate at Wiles & Wiles LLP, welcomed Bonnie Davenport Wiles on Saturday. Pic

HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Reps. Dan Kildee (D-Mich.) and Billy Long (R-Mo.) … Matt Morgan of Barnes & Thornburg … POLITICO's Toby Eckert and Michael RobertsRob O'DonnellChris Berry of iHeartMedia … Vice's Liz LandersJoanna Piacenza of Morning Consult … Flytedesk's Brian KrebsAlex Siciliano of the National Association of Broadcasters … NYT's Charles Blow, David Brooks and Lyndsey Layton … CNN's Rachel Smolkin Lauren Maddox of Holland & Knight … Mitra Kalita of URL Media … Jesse Barba of Chegg Inc. … Chris LisiKedrin Simms Brachman ... former USTR Charlene Barshefsky … DemList's Kimberly ScottAlbert MoralesMarissa Secreto … DOE's Colin Cunliff … former Sen. Tim Hutchinson (R-Ark.) ... Pamitha Weerasinghe ... John Kohler ... Thad Huguley Sam Myers Jr. John Files … Honolulu Civil Beat's Joel Lau David Rubenstein Greg Michaelidis Ilana Drimmer Tara Ayres Meghan Dubyak

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