Monday, August 8, 2022

A call for GOP unity

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Aug 08, 2022 View in browser
 
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By Madison Fernandez

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TOP LINE

When it comes to polarizing candidates who made it to the general election, it's easy to make calls for unity with the hope of getting more supporters on board.

Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey, co-chair of the Republican Governors Association, has consistently said he does not believe in 2020 election conspiracy theories and has lambasted candidates who do — namely Kari Lake, a star in Trump world who's running to succeed him as governor.

"I think Karrin Taylor Robson will be the best person to be a fresh new leader for the state of Arizona," Ducey said on CNN last month . "Her opponent, on the other hand, bears no resemblance — her campaign or even her personal interactions with me — to anything she's done over the past 30 years. This is all an act."

Fast forward post-primary: Over the weekend, he tweeted his congratulations to Lake , writing, "This is going to be an important election given the issues our state is facing and it's important for Arizona Republicans to unite behind our slate of candidates."

Many were quick to point out the reversal of his stance, but calls for unity may be the key to securing a win come November. Even Lake said it's time to " come together " despite "a little bit of dysfunction sometimes and infighting occasionally."

The question is, can that work with such extreme candidates?

The RGA announced plans to invest eight figures in advertising on the race — its largest ad reservation this cycle. Ducey has said that the RGA makes decisions about its spending based on candidates who have "demonstrated they can build coalitions" to "win those races."

Notably, the RGA has been cool toward Doug Mastriano , the election conspiracy theorist running for governor of Pennsylvania. In its statement after his win , the group didn't offer a straightforward endorsement, instead writing, "The RGA remains committed to engaging in competitive gubernatorial contests where our support can have an impact in defending our incumbents and expanding our majority this year." Some Republican leaders do seem to be warming up to him , though.

They're not the only ones preaching unity — or at least some semblance of it. After losing his primary to Trump-backed 2020 election denier John Gibbs, Rep. Peter Meijer (R-Mich.) offered his congratulations to him at a GOP unity event last week.

Meanwhile, on Sunday, he doubled down on criticizing Democrats for their strategy of boosting Gibbs over him in the primary. "I think that is one of the fundamental challenges that we have as a country and that is frankly frustrating Michigan families, that we are dealing with politics that does not reward substance, that does not reward reality, but that focuses on rhetoric and personality above all else," Meijer said on CBS' "Face the Nation."

Ducey said in July that he thinks "this election should be about the future. I don't think we should think for one more moment about 2020. This is about the 2022 election cycle." It's to be seen if voters will be so willing to forget as we get to the final stretch before Election Day.

Good Monday morning! I hope you're having a more balanced breakfast than Sen. Ed Markey (D-Mass.).

This is my first edition of Weekly Score, and I couldn't be more thrilled to be your host as we hit the final three months before Election Day. Say hello and send me any tips/musings at mfernandez@politico.com and @madfernandez616 .

Days until the Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin primaries: 1

Days until the Hawaii primary: 5

Days until the Alaska and Wyoming primaries: 8

Days until the Florida and New York primaries: 15

Days until the general election: 92

Days until the 2022 World Cup: 105

Days until the 2024 election: 820

 

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CAMPAIGN INTEL

ICYMI — Rep. Dan Newhouse (R-Wash.) won his primary late on Friday, making him the latest House Republican to survive a primary after voting to impeach former President Donald Trump. Out of the six Republicans running for reelection who voted for impeachment, two lost their primaries. Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler (R-Wash.) is in a tight race against Trump-endorsed Joe Kent — separated by around 250 votes , with over 80 percent of the vote in — and Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) is the last to face the test later this month.

FIRST IN SCORE — House Democratic Caucus Chair Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) will headline Iowa's Polk County Steak Fry next month. It's a major stop on the Democratic presidential campaign circuit and — in a midterm election year — not a bad place for a potential future House leader to make the rounds.

Sean Bagniewski, chair of the Polk County Democrats, which hosts the event, said Jeffries likely accepted because "Iowa has three of the closest congressional races in the country, and I think there's a new focus on the Midwest after what happened in Kansas."

He's also a frontrunner to succeed House Speaker Nancy Pelosi as Democratic leader.

Asked about that, Bagniewski said, "We've invited him to every event we've had for the last four years, just because we were interested in his future and there are a lot of people in Iowa who are fans of Hakeem Jeffries. So, we're excited that he finally said 'Yes.'"

ON THE TRAIL AGAIN — Democratic Pennsylvania Senate nominee John Fetterman is back on the campaign trail for the first time since suffering a stroke in May. He'll be heading to Erie, Pa., on Friday, POLITICO's Holly Otterbein reports . 

INSURRECTION FALLOUT — Pennsylvania GOP candidate for governor Doug Mastriano is threatening to pull out of a scheduled interview with the Jan. 6 select committee, citing concerns of election interference, POLITICO's Betsy Woodruff Swan reports . In a letter to the committee sent Friday , Mastriano's lawyer, Tim Parlatore, accused the panel of possibly disseminating disinformation to improperly influence the outcome of an election.

FALSE CLAIMS — " Trump-backed Michigan attorney general candidate involved in voting-system breach, documents show ," by Reuters' Nathan Layne: "The Republican nominee for Michigan attorney general led a team that gained unauthorized access to voting equipment while hunting for evidence to support former President Donald Trump's false election-fraud claims, according to a Reuters analysis of court filings and public records."

RI REPLACEMENT — " Inside the race to replace Congress' first quadriplegic — and its effect on disability rights ," by POLITICO's Katherine Tully-McManus: "[Rep. Jim] Langevin , who's retiring this fall after two decades in the House, has 'done a lot of things, especially for me — I have a sister with disabilities,' Allan Fung, the frontrunner in next month's GOP primary, said. … Now that Fung is a serious contender to replace Langevin, the bespectacled 58-year-old and his allies face a tricky question: Must a Democrat win his seat in order to carry on his work for the rights of people with disabilities — or can a Republican who counts Langevin as a friend also take on the cause he championed?"

GA RUNOFF? — "' Nobody wants a runoff': Georgia braces for chance of overtime — again ," by POLITICO's Brittany Gibson: "There's another candidate on the ballot in November, Libertarian Chase Oliver, pulling in a few points of support in some surveys. While [Sen. Raphael] Warnock is leading in a number of polls, he's not clearing 50 percent in many. And in Georgia, if no candidate gets a majority of the vote, the top two proceed to a head-to-head Dec. 6 runoff — the same circumstances that saw the state's voters tip control of the Senate to Democrats last year."

WHOOPS — Arizona state Senate President Karen Fann used Senate resources to campaign for gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake, the Arizona Mirror's Jim Small reports . In a Senate press release, Fann issued a statement calling for voters to "unite behind [Kari] Lake" for governor. The Senate then insisted that the release was "accidentally" sent from the Senate email rather than Fann's campaign.

BATTLEGROUND WISCONSIN — Former President Donald Trump visited Waukesha, Wis. on Friday to stump for GOP gubernatorial nominee Tim Michels. Read the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel's dispatch here .

 

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Tim Michels speaks at an event with Donald Trump.

Wisconsin Republican gubernatorial candidate Tim Michels, right, speaks as former President Donald Trump, left, listens at a rally on Aug. 5, 2022, in Waukesha, Wis. | Morry Gash/AP Photo

TRAINING GROUND — Keep Country First Policy Action, a nonprofit group run by allies of Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R-Ill.), is launching a program to recruit "pro-freedom, pre-democracy" candidates for office, POLITICO's Zach Montellaro reports . The group will have a focus on recruiting and training election officers across the country.

ELECTION MISINFO — " Meta quieter on election misinformation as midterms loom ," by The Associated Press' Amanda Seitz: "Facebook owner Meta is quietly curtailing some of the safeguards designed to thwart voting misinformation or foreign interference in U.S. elections as the November midterm vote approaches. It's a sharp departure from the social media giant's multibillion-dollar efforts to enhance the accuracy of posts about U.S. elections and regain trust from lawmakers and the public after their outrage over learning the company had exploited people's data and allowed falsehoods to overrun its site during the 2016 campaign ."

LONG READ — " Why a Michigan Democratic Political Dynasty Just Fell ," by POLITICO's Zack Stanton: "To pundits on the left in particular, the unseating of [Rep. Andy] Levin has deep national meaning. His family built its reputation as voices for the working and middle class, and his loss is being framed as a victory for 'right-wing donors propping up [conservative] Democrats in favor of maintaining the status quo.' … But on the ground in Oakland County, the reality is quite different."

 

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POLL POSITION

— Sen. Tim Ryan (D-Ohio) leads Republican Senate nominee J.D. Vance 48-45, according to an internal poll from the Ryan campaign conducted by Impact Research. (800 likely election voters, July 21-28, MoE +/- 3.5 percentage points.) Read more on the battleground Ohio Senate race from POLITICO's Adam Wren and Natalie Allison .

— Former Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Rebecca Kleefisch and Trump-backed businessperson Tim Michels are in a tight race for the GOP nomination for governor, an Emerson College poll shows . Kleefisch is leading Michels 36-34, with 14 percent undecided just days before the primary. (900 very likely Republican primary voters, Aug. 3-5, MoE +/- 3.2 percentage points.)

— Rep. Jerry Nadler (D-N.Y.) is leading Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-N.Y.) by nine points in the Democratic primary for NY-12, according to an Emerson/Pix11/The Hill poll . Seventeen percent of voters are undecided. (1,000 very likely Democratic primary voters, Aug. 1-2, MoE +/- 3 percentage points.)

— A CPAC Texas straw poll showed that 69 percent of attendees preferred Donald Trump as presidential candidate for 2024. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis received just under a quarter of the vote, but when asked who the preferred nominee would be if Trump wasn't running, he received 65 percent of the vote.

— About one-third of Americans trust Republicans to handle issues like the economy and inflation, compared to one-quarter who trust Democrats, an ABC News/Ipsos poll found . (665 adults, Aug. 5-6, margin of sampling error +/- 4.2 percentage points.)

 

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AS SEEN ON TV

— File these under ads with good timing: AARP is out with an ad for Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.) touting his support of letting Medicare negotiate lower drug prices, and Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.) ad from over the weekend emphasizes her support for the same issue. The Senate passed the Inflation Reduction Act, which includes that measure, on Sunday afternoon.

— Rep. Alex Mooney (R-W.Va.) is out with a new ad targeting Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) for his support of the tax and climate bill. The ad could be a sign of Mooney's Senate aspirations in 2024, Axios' Josh Kraushaar reports .

—  Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) is relying on his support from law enforcement in his bid for reelection against Rep. Val Demings (D-Fla.). The ad features law enforcement members criticizing Demings. Rubio has been endorsed by over 50 sheriffs. Demings herself was a police chief, which she has highlighted in her own campaign ads .

— Republican candidate for Alaska House Nick Begich hit former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin in a new ad , saying she "quit and left Alaska to be a celebrity who didn't want to be stuck in Wasilla." The critique of Palin being anywhere but Alaska has been prevalent on the campaign trail. Last week, she did not attend a debate with Begich and Democrat Mary Peltola, and instead held a fundraiser in Minneapolis, according to the Anchorage Daily News . Palin also made an appearance at CPAC in Texas last Thursday.

— The Arizona Democratic Party and Democratic candidate for governor Katie Hobbs have a quick-turnaround ad directed at Republican nominee Kari Lake, who won her primary on Thursday evening. It follows the same playbook as many other Democratic candidates who are running against those who deny the results of the 2020 election: call them radical and dangerous.

 

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THE CASH DASH

— NY-10 candidate Dan Goldman is joining the millionaire club, donating $1 million to his campaign . The Levi Strauss & Co. heir is one of the frontrunners in the crowded primary taking place Aug. 23.

— Leora Levy, the GOP Senate hopeful in Connecticut who earned Donald Trump's endorsement last week, lent herself almost $6,000 . She's already self-funded well over $1 million for the campaign , the bulk of which was for the state GOP convention in May. While Levy did qualify for the primary on Tuesday, along with Peter Lumaj, former state House leader Themis Klarides earned the party's endorsement .

Presidential Big Board

— CPAC Texas was "all about Donald J. Trump, who didn't have to share the spotlight with a cast of potential presidential primary rivals," POLITICO's Natalie Allison reports

— The RNC is officially hosting the 2024 convention in Milwaukee. "The GOP's choice of Wisconsin puts the party's nominating convention in a key battleground state. Former President Donald Trump won the state in 2016 but lost it to President Joe Biden in 2020 by less than a percentage point," POLITICO's Kelly Hooper notes . Cheese curds, anyone?

CODA — QUOTE OF THE DAY: "If the cost of standing up for the Constitution is losing the House seat, then that's a price I'm willing to pay," Rep. Liz Cheney in The New York Times .

 

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