Tuesday, June 21, 2022

🗳️ Axios AM: New campaign record

Plus: Virtual pink slips | Tuesday, June 21, 2022
 
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Axios AM
By Mike Allen · Jun 21, 2022

😎 Good Tuesday morning. It's the first day of summer. Primaries are being held today in Virginia and D.C. Runoffs are in Alabama, Arkansas and Georgia.

Smart Brevity™ count: 1,169 words ... 4½ mins. Edited by Noah Bressner.

 
 
1 big thing: Record number of LGBTQ candidates

Illustration: Natalie Peeples/Axios

 

A record number of LGBTQ candidates are running this year, motivated partly by new red-state laws targeting LGBTQ people, Axios' Sophia Cai reports.

  • Why it matters: LGBTQ voters are among the fastest-growing parts of the electorate, and have higher turnout than other groups. Yet there are just 11 out LGBTQ lawmakers in Congress.

104 LGBTQ candidates ran for House or Senate this year.

  • Some of those campaigns have ended. 57 candidates are still running, according to data provided to Axios by the Victory Fund, which supports and tracks LGBTQ leaders.
  • In the 2020 election cycle, 87 people ran.
  • Sean Meloy, Victory Fund's vice president of political programs, told Axios: "People know that their rights and their livelihoods are on the ballot."

👀 What we're watching: Several congressional candidates have the potential to shatter specific rainbow ceilings.

  • Robert Garcia, the mayor of Long Beach, Calif., could become the first out immigrant LGBTQ person elected to Congress, after winning the Democratic nomination for California's 42nd District.
  • Rev. Jasmine Beach-Ferrara, who won the Democratic primary in North Carolina's 11th District, would be the first out LGBTQ person elected to any federal office from the state.

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2. 💻 New era of virtual pink slips
Illustration of a cardboard box full of cursors.

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

 

The work-from-home revolution is changing the rules of the firing game, writes Axios managing editor Javier E. David.

  • Why it matters: Some employers are using remote work — with its heavy reliance on virtual meetings and other impersonal methods of communication — to take the easy way out with terminations.

Zoom in: Recent virtual firings at Carvana and Coinbase were characterized by abruptness and insensitivity.

Best practices: In a world where knowledge workers don't come into the office as often as they used to, workplaces need new etiquette for layoffs.

  • Virtual firings should be conducted just like their in-person counterparts, human-resource experts tell Axios.

Pavel Podkorytov, founder of San Francisco-based HR platform TalentService, says: "No fire announcements should be made by e-mail or messenger, and certainly not during group calls."

  • "[B]oth the employee and his manager switch on the cameras during the conversation," Podkorytov added.

💭 Our thought bubble: Abrupt virtual firings amplify one of the biggest complaints about remote work — how isolating and impersonal it can be.

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3. ⚡ Musk undecided on Trump '24
Elon Musk appears via video in Doha today.

Elon Musk appears via video in Doha today. Photo: Christopher Pike/Bloomberg via Getty Images

 

Elon Musk declined today to say whether he'd back former President Trump in 2024:

  • "I think I'm undecided at this point about that election," Musk said during a remote interview with Bloomberg News editor-in-chief John Micklethwait at the Qatar Economic Forum in Doha.

Why it matters: Musk's deal to buy Twitter, and his criticism of Big Tech, have made him a favorite of Trumpers. Musk said last month that he'd reverse Twitter's ban on Trump.

The backstory: Musk tweeted last month that he "gave money to & voted for Hillary & then voted for Biden. However, given unprovoked attacks by leading Democrats against me & a very cold shoulder to Tesla & SpaceX, I intend to vote Republican in November."

  • Musk tweeted last week that he sees a massive "red wave" coming in midterms, and is leaning toward supporting Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) for president in '24.

🔮 Musk said in the interview today that a U.S. recession "is inevitable at some point. As to whether there is a recession in the near term, that is more likely than not."

🔋 Musk, confirming plans he had signaled, told Micklethwait that Tesla will cut salaried workers by about 10% over the next three months, although hourly workers will grow.

🐦 Musk said there are still a few "unresolved matters" about his deal to buy Twitter.

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4. 🏛️ Jan. 6 committee counsel urged to run
John Wood, House Jan. 6 committee's senior investigative staff counsel, speaks during the June 16 hearing. Photo: Olivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images

John Wood — a former federal prosecutor in Missouri, and now senior investigative counsel for the House Jan. 6 committee — is being urged by top Republicans to run for U.S. Senate in Missouri as an independent.

  • Backers include former U.S. Sen. Jack Danforth (R-Mo.), who wants to "provide Missouri voters a principled, traditional conservative choice," the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.

Why it matters: Establishment Republicans fear the party's nominee will be former Gov. Eric Greitens, who yesterday posted a violent video in which he brandishes a rifle and simulates a SEAL raid on RINOs — "Republicans in name only," as hardcore conservatives call moderates.

💡 What we're hearing: If Greitens is the GOP nominee, Wood may well saddle up.

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5. 👢 Texas GOP calls Biden "acting president"

Graphic: Texas GOP

 

At a state convention in Houston, nearly 5,000 Texas GOP delegates on Saturday "overwhelmingly passed a resolution questioning the 2020 election," the party announced.

  • "We reject the certified results of the 2020 Presidential election, and we hold that acting President Joseph Robinette Biden Jr. was not legitimately elected," the resolution says.

The Platform Committee's final report has a "State Sovereignty" section declaring: "Texas retains the right to secede from the United States."

  • A "Texas Independence" section calls for the legislature to hold a statewide 2023 referendum "to determine whether or not the State of Texas should reassert its status as an independent nation."

Reality check: "No, Texas can't legally secede from the U.S.," The Texas Tribune notes.

Texas Democratic Party Chairman Gilberto Hinojosa issued a statement about the platform saying the state GOP "showed us that they live in a parallel universe."

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6. 📚 Sneak peek: Kissinger's 6 lessons

Cover: Penguin Press

 

Dr. Henry Kissinger, who turned 99 last month, taps his lifetime of personal experiences to write his 19th book — this one on the qualities and strategies of leadership, out July 5.

  • Why it matters: Global leaders confront unprecedented crises — amid growing pessimism about the leaders' ability to manage these disruptions, the publisher notes.

"Leadership: Six Studies in World Strategy" is based on Kissinger's interactions with six former leaders:

  • Konrad Adenauer of Germany ... Charles de Gaulle of France ... former President Richard Nixon ... Anwar Sadat of Egypt ... former Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher ... and Lee Kuan Yew of Singapore.

Preorder ... Share this story.

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7. 🧠 First look: "Perils of Pessimism"

Cover: Foreign Affairs

 

As part of a Foreign Affairs cover package on power that debuts today, Daniel W. Drezner, a professor of international politics at Tufts' Fletcher School, identifies a worrisome global dynamic:

  • Key antagonists are pessimistic, which induces "risky actions in the present to forestall further decline, which can lead to arms races and brinkmanship during crises."
  • "In contrast," Drezner writes, "optimistic leaders foresee a brighter future ahead for their country and thus favor strategic patience."

Read the article (registration required) ... Explore the package.

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8. 📷 Parting shot: Beach briefing
Photo: Elizabeth Frantz/Reuters

President Biden stops to chat with reporters yesterday during a holiday stroll in Rehoboth Beach, Del.

  • Biden said he's "considering" a gas tax holiday, and will decide based on data he's receiving this week.
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