Thursday, May 26, 2022

How to Profit When Mr. Market Overshoots

Turn Your Images On

How to Profit When Mr. Market Overshoots


By Charles Mizrahi, Founder, Alpha Investor

Dear Real Talk Reader,

During the dot-com bubble, no price was too high to pay. 

In fact, investors were willing to pay 76X earnings from Microsoft!

There’s no question that the business was an outstanding one.

At one time, Microsoft’s operating system powered 95% of all PCs in the world.

But to be trading at 76X earnings? 

That was sheer lunacy. 

Mr. Market was pricing Microsoft to be larger than the U.S. economy in five years.

But eventually, the law of gravity catches up with extremely high valuations.

And in 2000, the bubble burst. Stock prices came back to earth.

Microsoft’s stock price fell with the rest of the market.

But unlike other technology companies, Microsoft continued to do amazingly well… 

The Disconnect

Over the next decade, Microsoft’s revenue tripled from $20 billion to $60 billion.

Earnings soared by more than 150%.

Yet, the stock price fell by more than 30% over that time period! 

Investors were left scratching their heads in confusion.

The lesson they learned: Never confuse a great business with the stock price.

Because the stock price tells you nothing about the business. 

In fact, a similar scenario is playing out right now with Snap — the company behind Snapchat.

(If you don’t know what Snapchat is, ask your kids or grandchildren. I’m sure they’ll know.) 

When Snap became a public company in 2017, Mr. Market was euphoric.

Investors didn’t care what price they paid for the stock — and it showed. 

At one time, Snap traded for 64X sales! Not a multiple of profits but of sales!

Last I checked, sales are not profits. 

But like many tech stocks at the time, the stock price disconnected from the fundamentals.

Today, its business is in better shape now than when it went public five years ago. 

It’s continued to grow revenue. 

But its stock price has been kicked in the teeth.

It’s down 85% from its all-time high last September…

Turn Your Images On

(Click here to view larger image.)

Investors keep forgetting that there’s a difference between the stock price and the business…


An Innovation 120 Years in the Making

A game-changing drug was just approved by the Food and Drug Administration.

And the tiny company behind it has already put their product on the shelves of 30,000 stores … and 30 million Americans could soon be lining up to get it.  

Wall Street veteran, Charles Mizrahi, believes this will be one of the most extraordinary investment opportunities in 2022.

Get the details here.


An Overshoot

Stocks can overshoot on the upside and downside of a company’s underlying worth. 

But the way to make money is to…

  • Sell the stock when it overshoots to the upside.
  • And be a buyer when it overshoots to the downside. 

According to my research, Snap’s stock price still hasn’t even come close to being undervalued. 

So, I’m still not interested in it. 

But in the Alpha Investor portfolio, we have several stocks that Mr. Market has overshot on the downside. 

They’re companies in industries with strong tailwinds and being run by outstanding managers.

And they're currently trading at bargain prices.

I’ll be sending out a shopping list of opportunities that Alpha Investors can get in on soon.

So, keep an eye on your inbox for it.

And if you aren’t already a member of Alpha Investor, you still have time to make sure you can profit from these companies, too!

Find out how to join us by clicking right here.

Regards,

Turn Your Images On
Charles Mizrahi
Founder, Alpha Investor


Turn Your Images On

Turn Your Images On

Turn Your Images On

Turn Your Images On

Listen to the Latest Episode of The Charles Mizrahi Show

Turn Your Images On

"Genius" Neighbors, My Dog Riley and Mr. Market

Turn Your Images On

The Simple Way to Compound Your Wealth in Any Market

Turn Your Images On

Secretive Startup Cracks the Battery Code


We're on Social Media! Be Sure to Follow Us…

Turn Your Images On  Turn Your Images On  Turn Your Images On

Privacy Policy
Real Talk With Charles Mizrahi, P.O. Box 8378, Delray Beach, FL 33482.

To ensure that you receive future issues of Real Talk With Charles Mizrahi, please add info@mb.banyanhill.com to your address book or whitelist within your spam settings. For customer service questions or issues, please contact us for assistance.

The mailbox associated with this email address is not monitored, so please do not reply. Your feedback is very important to us so if you would like to contact us with a question or comment, please click here: http://banyanhill.com/contact-us

Legal Notice: This work is based on what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors and you should not base investment decisions solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility. Nothing herein should be considered personalized investment advice. Although our employees may answer general customer service questions, they are not licensed to address your particular investment situation. Our track record is based on hypothetical results and may not reflect the same results as actual trades. Likewise, past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Certain investments carry large potential rewards but also large potential risk. Don't trade in these markets with money you can't afford to lose. Banyan Hill Publishing expressly forbids its writers from having a financial interest in their own securities or commodities recommendations to readers. Such recommendations may be traded, however, by other editors, Banyan Hill Publishing, its affiliated entities, employees, and agents, but only after waiting 24 hours after an internet broadcast or 72 hours after a publication only circulated through the mail.

(c) 2022 Banyan Hill Publishing. All Rights Reserved. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and treaties. This Newsletter may only be used pursuant to the subscription agreement. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, (electronic or otherwise) in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Banyan Hill Publishing. P.O. Box 8378, Delray Beach, FL 33482. (TEL: 866-584-4096)

Remove your email from this list: Click here to Unsubscribe

No comments:

Post a Comment

BoF VOICES 2024: Alessandro Michele, Nicky Doll and More

Tapestry-Capri Deal Called Off; Burberry's Course Correction; Alexandre Arnault's New Role ADVERTISEMENT WHAT...