Friday, May 20, 2022

♟ Bitcoin or Sh#tcoin?

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BitcoinShtcoin

"Based on the chart of Bitcoin, it is in serious trouble if it falls below $27,000..."

Karim Rahemtulla, Head Fundamental Tactician, Monument Traders Alliance

Karim Rahemtulla

It's estimated that over 40% of Bitcoin owners are underwater in a study by Glassnode. They are the ones who loaded up in November of last year.

But that pales in comparison to the nearly 100% of stablecoin holders who were holding Terra. This infamous "stablecoin" was anything but, and it plunged to almost zero before it was suspended.

This leads me to the remaining cryptos - thousands of tokens, many more remaining "stablecoins" and those coins paying you double-digit interest rates.

If you've been around for a while, you know that things that are too good to be true often are.

This is no different. A ton of money printed by the government flooded the crypto market, and the same gamblers who thought GameStop was worth $400 were plowing their cash into cryptos.

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Then, shady operators seeing all the interest created even more "sh#tcoins" out of thin air. Even a fake coin that the creator called a satire on cryptos, Dogecoin, went ballistic. And Elon Musk, the "god" of everything, pontificated his support of Dogecoin just before calling it "a hustle" on a Saturday Night Live appearance in May 2021. Dogecoin has since fallen from $0.64 to less than $0.10 and is likely worth even less if the coin's creator is to be believed!

So let's get back to Bitcoin - the big kahuna.

I have owned some Bitcoin in the past and traded in and out of it profitably, even though I probably know as much about it as those who claim to know more.

What I do know is that the asset looks very precarious on a chart, and that is what I want to share with you. Based on the chart of Bitcoin, it is in serious trouble if it falls below $27,000. It is above $28,800 right now after dropping to just over $28,000.

Chart - Two Year Performance of Bitcoin
 

How precarious, you might ask?

Well, a sustained break under $27,000 could take it down to... wait for it... $10,000 or thereabouts. Of course, it will take time - or maybe it won't. And that's where I will be waiting to buy in again.

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So if you are a holder, hodler or trader of crypto, it's time to check your position size, as the last thing you want is to join the 40% who are already down.

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