Sunday, May 15, 2022

🤫 Biden's campaign mode

Plus: Midterms preview | Sunday, May 15, 2022
 
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Axios Sneak Peek
By the Axios Politics team · May 15, 2022

Welcome back to Sneak.

🚨Breaking: Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, the Democrats' leading candidate in the state's U.S. Senate race (see Andrew's item below), tweeted this afternoon that he was rebounding from a stroke.

Smart Brevity™ count: 954 words ... 3.5 minutes. Edited by Glen Johnson.

 
 
1 big thing: Biden orders staff into campaign mode

Illustration: Brendan Lynch/Axios

 

President Biden is telling White House aides to shift into campaign mode, people familiar with the conversations tell Axios' Hans Nichols — reminding them even small mistakes can be costly and demanding they take opportunities to highlight differences with Republicans.

Why it matters: His private exhortations over the past month are another indication he wants to make November's congressional and gubernatorial contests into choices between two competing visions, rather than a referendum on his two years in office.

  • They're also an acknowledgment of these midterms' high stakes.
  • A new Republican majority would stymie his presidency and instantly put the White House on the defensive with investigations.
  • Biden has already started to lawyer up, the New York Times reported last week.

What we're hearing: Starting in April, in several West Wing conversations with his team members, Biden began to impress upon them the need to avoid bureaucratic language and cut to the core of his party's election message, sources said.

  • At the same time, officials want to highlight some of the administration's signature programs, like the bipartisan infrastructure bill and $1.9 trillion in coronavirus relief spending.

What they're saying: "President Biden has always said don't compare me to the almighty, compare me to the alternative," said Michael Gwin, a White House spokesman.

  • "The president isn't going to shy away from underscoring the contrast between congressional Republicans and the work he and his administration are doing to lower prices and make our communities safer and stronger."

Keep reading.

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2. Campaign '22 plays out in full on Tuesday
Sen. Ted Cruz is seen campaigning for Pennsylvania Senate candidate David McCormick.

Dave McCormick laughs as Sen. Ted Cruz campaigns for him Thursday in Harleysville, Pa. McCormick faces off Tuesday against Trump-backed Mehmet Oz and Kathy Barnette in the state's Republican U.S. Senate primary. Photo: Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

 

The full political tensions expected during the 2022 campaign season will play out in primaries occurring Tuesday, when voters in Idaho, Kentucky, North Carolina, Oregon and Pennsylvania go to the polls.

Why it matters: The largest group of primary contests to date will include tests of former President Trump's endorsement, highly competitive bouts between moderate and progressive Democrats — and a make-or-break moment for one of Congress' most controversial members, writes Axios' Andrew Solender.

  • The primaries will also indicate whether MAGA or "ultra-MAGA" is the GOP's winning formula this year.

Pennsylvania: Both parties have competitive primaries up and down the ballot on May 17, including for the governorship, House and an open U.S. Senate seat.

  • A fierce GOP primary for Senate is underway between Trump-endorsed TV personality Mehmet Oz, former hedge fund CEO David McCormick and conservative commentator Kathy Barnette, all of whom are in a dead heat.
  • Fetterman's acknowledgment today that he had a stroke threw a curveball into the Democratic race.

North Carolina: The largest battleground for Trump endorsements on Tuesday — the former president has thrown his weight behind candidates in multiple competitive races.

  • After struggling at first to gain headway, Trump-endorsed U.S. Rep. Ted Budd has seized a clear lead in the GOP Senate primary over former Gov. Pat McCrory and former U.S. Rep. Mark Walker. Democrats have a credible front-runner in former state Supreme Court Chief Justice Cheri Beasley.

Oregon: The Democratic-leaning state gained a House seat in redistricting, which has resulted in several hotly contested Democratic primaries.

Idaho: One of Trump's bolder endorsements is for Lt. Gov. Janice McGeachin, who's challenging Gov. Brad Little in the GOP primary.

Keep reading.

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3. By the numbers: Word choice
Data: Quorum; Table: Thomas Oide/Axios

The Republicans in Congress who most used the word "abortion" in social media posts and press releases last week were all men except one, Sen. Marsha Blackburn of Tennessee, according to data compiled by Quorum and reviewed by Axios' Alexi McCammond.

Why it matters: Both parties are engaged in a messaging war over the hot-button issue, after the leak of a draft Supreme Court decision that would overturn Roe v. Wade. Politicians are scrambling to strike the right tone with voters just six months from the 2022 midterms.

  • Among the 10 Democrats who used the term "abortion" the most between May 2 and May 12, all are women but three: Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-Calif.) and Sean Casten (D-Ill.).

The big picture: Democrats and Republicans are studying the midterm map to gauge in which races the anticipated reversal of Roe would cause the greatest disruption.

  • While they don't agree, strategists and elected officials on both sides of the aisle have been crafting and sharing talking points across their parties.
  • The Senate Republicans' campaign arm has been circulating a three-page memo, obtained by Axios' Alayna Treene, with guidance about how candidates and lawmakers can boost their messaging with voters.

Keep reading.

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A message from American Bankers Association

America's banks are committed to protecting seniors from fraud
 
 

One in five seniors is estimated to be a victim of financial exploitation, costing older adults billions of dollars annually.

Thanks to ABA Foundation's Safe Banking for Seniors program and other industry initiatives, banks across the U.S. continue to step up to protect their older customers.

 
 
4. Worthy of your time
A pro-Palestinian activist is seen carrying a flag near the Lincoln Memorial.

Activists rally outside the Lincoln Memorial today to mark Nakba, the day Palestinians use to protest the displacement of their people. Photo: Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images

 

🇷🇺 Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, during a media call after his visit to Ukraine, told Axios' Zachary Basu he's joining Ukrainian officials in calling on Biden to designate Russia a state sponsor of terrorism over its invasion of Ukraine, Andrew also reports.

🏛️ The House and Senate are both scheduled to be in session this week, with the House considering legislation to address supply chain disruptions and the baby formula shortage, according to an advisory from House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer.

📄 House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, in a statement on yesterday's mass shooting at a Buffalo, New York, supermarket that left 10 dead, said the House will "continue to consider additional measures to strengthen efforts to combat domestic terrorism."

💥 Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) said in an NBC "Meet the Press" interview that Sens. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) and Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) "sabotaged what the president has been fighting [for]" by refusing to get on board with Build Back Better, Biden's proposed social spending legislation.

🇦🇪 A presidential delegation, including Vice President Kamala Harris, Secretary of State Antony Blinken, CIA Director Bill Burns and former Secretary of State John Kerry, will travel to the United Arab Emirates tomorrow to pay respects to the late Sheikh Khalifa bin Zayed Al Nahyan, the president announced.

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5. Pics du jour
President Biden is seen delivering a speech on Sunday.

Photos: Stefani Reynolds/AFP via Getty Images

 

President Biden delivered remarks during the National Peace Officers Memorial Service at the Capitol.

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A message from American Bankers Association

America's banks are committed to protecting seniors from fraud
 
 

Elder financial exploitation costs seniors $120,000 on average, which adds up to billions of dollars annually. Thanks to ABA Foundation's Safe Banking for Seniors program and other industry initiatives, banks across the U.S. continue to step up to protect their older customers.

Learn more.

 

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