Monday, March 28, 2022

Polio’s back. Blame Covid.

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By Joanne Kenen

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A child receives a polio vaccine, during the Malawi Polio Vaccination Campaign Launch in Lilongwe, Malawi.

A child receives a polio vaccine, during the Malawi Polio Vaccination Campaign Launch in Lilongwe, Malawi. | AP Photo/Thoko Chikondi

A SURPRISING PANDEMIC SIDE EFFECT Polio has reemerged in Malawi.

And yes, you should care.

The last wild polio case in the southeastern African country was 30 years ago, and polio was declared eradicated in all of Africa in 2020.

It came back. Not on a wide scale. Not in a way that will set the world afire. Yet in a way that should make us understand the importance of prevention, vigilance and vaccination — for Covid and for everything else. Diseases that we scarcely think about and no longer fear, like polio or measles, can and do re-emerge.

Soon after the detection of polio last month in a 3-year-old girl, who is now paralyzed, UNICEF started a huge, four-nation vaccination campaign to reach 20 million children in Malawi and its neighbors. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is involved with the stepped-up surveillance in the region.

The rule of thumb is that if Malawi has diagnosed one child with paralysis, another 200 have been infected, somewhere, with less severe or asymptomatic polio cases. Surveillance shows the polio virus is not widespread and can be eradicated in the region again, Capt. Derek Ehrhardt, acting chief of the Polio Eradication Branch of the CDC, and the polio incident manager, told Nightly. It has probably been circulating since 2019, he said.

Pakistan and Afghanistan are the only two nations where wild polio has not been eradicated. The genetic profile of the little girl's polio links her case to the virus in Pakistan, though how and when it got to Malawi and who it affected along the way are not yet known. That's a reminder, Ehrhardt said, that in an interconnected world, a threat in one place is a threat to all.

The Malawi case should underscore two things to a U.S. audience, public health experts in and out of government say.

First, it's a reminder of how the pandemic interfered with many ordinary — and necessary — primary and preventive health services at home and abroad. That includes routine childhood immunizations, like the polio vaccine. The timeline in Malawi suggests that the virus had spread before the pandemic, as some regions got less vigilant about maintaining high vaccination levels. But the coronavirus made it all much worse. Here in the U.S and around the world, some medical facilities were closed early in the pandemic, and many people have remained hesitant about going to a doctor or clinic as the pandemic persisted, whether for childhood vaccination or adult cancer screenings. In some parts of the world, staff and resources had to be shifted from routine care to the Covid emergency. Those primary care gaps need to be filled.

That brings us to point number 2: vaccination. In the United States, babies and children get four doses of polio vaccine. Polio, which can cause paralysis or death, cannot be cured. It can only be prevented — with vaccines.

Vaccine hesitancy did not begin with the coronavirus. But as we all know, fear of vaccines has intensified and become more politicized during the pandemic. Some public health officials worry the hardening anti-vaccination sentiment will roll back gains made against other childhood diseases.

Even before the pandemic,groups of conservative lawmakers in a few states attempted to weaken vaccination requirements for kids to attend school. Precisely because vaccines have been so successful in eliminating these childhood diseases, people have forgotten how dangerous those illnesses can be. Sure, most kids don't die or suffer permanent harm. But some do.

That amnesia, that complacency, is a public health risk. "A vaccine-preventable disease is no longer perceived as a threat which can provide fertile ground for rumors, mis- and dis-information about vaccines," Josh Michaud, a global health expert at the Kaiser Family Foundation, emailed Nightly.

That's happening here and abroad. Polio undervaccination in Malawi. Covid undervaccination in the U.S. And undervaccination for a range of diseases across the globe.

Marcia de Castro, a demographer who chairs the Global Health and Population department at Harvard's T.H. Chan School of Public health, remembers seeing a little boy who had polio and wore big clunky leg braces when she was a child in Brazil. "It marked me. I still remember the image of that boy," she said. "If Covid taught us something, it's that bad governance can destroy a response and destroy trust of the population in health institutions."

That loss of trust can determine whether people get vaccinated, whether they vaccinate their kids. Against polio. Against Covid. Against measles.

"One paralyzed kid is one too many," said the CDC's Ehrhardt, "We need to work until we get the job done."

Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com. Or contact tonight's author on Twitter at @JoanneKenen.

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On the Hill

Director of the Office of Management and Budget Shalanda Young delivers remarks at a daily press briefing in Washington.

Director of the Office of Management and Budget Shalanda Young delivers remarks at a daily press briefing in Washington. | Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images

GRAB THE TI-83 — President Joe Biden implored Congress in his budget request today to boost military funding by 4 percent and non-defense spending by 5 percent, while forcing the wealthiest households to pay more taxes, budget and appropriations reporter Jennifer Scholtes writers. Here are some of the big numbers from her report to keep in mind as you dig into the scores of spreadsheets:

$813 billion: Biden's proposed national security budget. Republicans are expected to offer a stiff counteroffer — demanding that Biden go even bigger on defense, and shrink his ambitions for $769 billion in non-defense spending.

— One month: The amount of time between the start of the new fiscal year and midterm Election Day. The president's second budget request lays out his spending wishes for fiscal 2023. Republican leaders are betting they will claw back the majority in at least one chamber, emboldening their push for changes.

— $360 billion: The predicted revenue over the next decade from the president's proposed new aggressive tax rules on the nation's richest households. The so-called Billionaire Minimum Income Tax would hit taxpayers worth more than $100 million, forcing them to pay at least 20 percent in taxes on both their incomes and unrealized gains in assets like stocks.

— More than $1 trillion: The projected deficit reduction, counting the "billionaires" tax plan, that the White House predicts the policies Biden outlined in his budget request would provide, if enacted.

Need more numbers? POLITICO's policy teams have plenty more on what's in Biden's $5.8 trillion budget proposal — and what's next.

 

SUBSCRIBE TO NATIONAL SECURITY DAILY : Keep up with the latest critical developments from Ukraine and across Europe in our daily newsletter, National Security Daily. The Russian invasion of Ukraine could disrupt the established world order and result in a refugee crisis, increased cyberattacks, rising energy costs and additional disruption to global supply chains. Go inside the top national security and foreign-policymaking shops for insight on the global threats faced by the U.S. and its allies and what actions world leaders are taking to address them. Subscribe today.

 
 
What'd I Miss?

— Biden: 'Not walking anything back' on unscripted Putin comments: Biden said he was "not walking anything back" after his weekend remarks about Russian President Vladimir Putin . While visiting Poland on Saturday, Biden said Putin "cannot remain in power." The comment, which was not included in Biden's prepared remarks, sparked a White House statement clarifying that Biden was not calling for regime change in Russia. "I want to make it clear: I wasn't then, nor am I now, articulating a policy change," Biden said today. "I was expressing moral outrage, and I make no apologies for it."

— Trump likely committed felony obstruction, federal judge rules: A federal judge ruled today that then-President Donald Trump "more likely than not" attempted to illegally obstruct Congress as part of a criminal conspiracy when he tried to subvert the 2020 election on Jan. 6, 2021 . "Based on the evidence, the Court finds it more likely than not that President Trump corruptly attempted to obstruct the Joint Session of Congress on January 6, 2021," U.S. District Court Judge David Carter wrote. Carter's sweeping and historic ruling came as he ordered the release to the House's Jan. 6 committee of 101 emails from Trump ally John Eastman, rejecting Eastman's effort to shield them via attorney-client privilege.

— Biden sidesteps question on Clarence Thomas recusing himself from Jan. 6 cases: Biden sidestepped when asked about whether Justice Clarence Thomas should recuse himself from Jan. 6 cases before the Supreme Court , after reporting about Thomas' wife revealed that she repeatedly pressed a Trump administration official to pursue efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election. "I'll leave that to two entities," Bidensaid after announcing his budget. "One, the Jan. 6 committee, and two, the Justice Department."

— DeSantis signs Florida's contentious LGBTQ bill into law: Gov. Ron DeSantis signed into law Florida's "Parental Rights in Education" bill, dubbed "Don't Say Gay" by opponents. The bill prohibits teachers from leading classroom discussions on gender identity or sexual orientation for students in kindergarten through third grade. It also bans such lessons for older students unless they are "age-appropriate or developmentally appropriate."

 

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Nightly Number

8 percentage points

The lead for New York Gov. Kathy Hochul over former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo in a hypothetical Democratic primary matchup, a poll released by the Siena College Research Institute today found. Hochul would receive 38 percent of the vote. That compares to 30 percent for Cuomo; 10 percent for Rep. Tom Suozzi, and 7 percent for New York City Public Advocate Jumaane Williams.

 

DON'T MISS POLITICO'S INAUGURAL HEALTH CARE SUMMIT ON 3/31: Join POLITICO for a discussion with health care providers, policymakers, federal regulators, patient representatives, and industry leaders to better understand the latest policy and industry solutions in place as we enter year three of the pandemic. Panelists will discuss the latest proposals to overcome long-standing health care challenges in the U.S., such as expanding access to care, affordability, and prescription drug prices. REGISTER HERE.

 
 
Parting Words

Highmark Stadium in Buffalo is illuminated by the sun prior to a game between the Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots in January.

Highmark Stadium in Buffalo is illuminated by the sun prior to a game between the Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots in January. | Bryan M. Bennett/Getty Images

NOBODY CIRCLES THE WAGONS LIKE A NEW STADIUM A new $1. 4 billion stadium for the Buffalo Bills will receive a record public subsidy of $850 million between state and county funding, Gov. Kathy Hochul announced today.

The agreement, if approved in the state budget and by the NFL, would include $600 million from the state and $250 million from Erie County in an effort to keep the Bills in Buffalo for decades to come, Bill Mahoney writes.

The combined $850 million would set a record for the most public money ever spent on an NFL stadium, topping the $750 million recently spent in Las Vegas.

"I went into these negotiations trying to answer three questions — how long can we keep the Bills in Buffalo, how can we make sure this project benefits the hard-working men and women of Western New York and how can we get the best deal for taxpayers?" Hochul said in a statement.

"I'm pleased that after months of negotiations, we've come out with the best answers possible — the Bills will stay in Buffalo for another 30 years, the project will create 10,000 union jobs and New Yorkers can rest assured that their investment will be recouped by the economic activity the team generates."

Hochul said the deal, which commits the team to staying in Western New York for 30 years, would be worth it due to the $27 million a year in taxes the team will generate

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