Saturday, March 19, 2022

Axios Pro Rata: 🌎 CO2 removal debate

Plus: SEC eyes climate disclosures | Saturday, March 19, 2022
 
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Axios Pro Rata
By Kia Kokalitcheva ·Mar 19, 2022

Welcome back, readers!

  • This weekend, we're back in the world of climate tech investing — and speaking of which, Axios is debuting its Pro newsletter on climate deals on Monday. Sign up! 🌎 (Get $100 off by using code PROCLIMATE at checkout.)
  • 🚨 Reminder: Feel free to send me tips or comments by replying to this email or on Twitter @imkialikethecar.

Today's newsletter is 1,101 words, a 4-minute read.

 
 
1 big thing: Carbon removal's place in the climate fight
Illustration of a recycling symbol made of dollar bills.

Illustration: Shoshana Gordon/Axios

 

Iron Man — err, actor Robert Downey Jr., who's an investor in climate-related startups — stirred up debate this week when he tweeted that "the technologies that suck carbon out of the air and capture it are JUST AS IMPORTANT to stop global warming as building new renewable energy."

Why it matters: To climate tech investors (and scientists), the topic is more nuanced, with the debate focused on the optimal scale and prioritization of carbon removal and capture as a tool to fight climate change.

The big picture: Venture capital and other investments in climate tech and energy companies have skyrocketed over the past few years.

  • Between the second half of 2020 and the first half of 2021, venture capital and private equity investors poured $87.5 billion into climate tech, with more than $60 billion invested in the first half of 2021, per PwC. That's a 210% increase from the 12 months prior.
  • Fourteen cents of every venture capital dollar is now invested into climate tech, PwC notes.
  • Within that broader category, backers invested more than $250 million in greenhouse gas capture, removal and storage in the first half of 2021 — double that of the prior six months, and often generating more headlines than other types of tech.

What they're saying: "I think there's definitely a little bit of irrational exuberance around [carbon dioxide removal]," Congruent Ventures managing partner Josh Posamentier tells Axios.

  • It's easy for investors pondering the challenge of greenhouse gas emissions to think, "Oh that's just a perfect solution we'll just take it out of the air!" he adds.
Screenshot: @AndrewDessler/Twitter

Between the lines: To many climate scientists, it's imperative that we cut emissions sooner to avoid staking the future on risky technology bets to remove carbon later.

  • The most recent United Nations climate report warned that we are past the point where "minor, marginal, reactive or incremental changes" will adequately prepare society for the climate impacts, as Axios' Andrew Freedman reported.
  • That means curbing global warming will require a faster shift to clean energy sources like renewables, efficiency tech, electric vehicles, and others. Carbon removal can be a complement to vastly expanding clean energy tech, but not a substitute for it.
  • Some critics also characterize corporations' frequent purchases of carbon offsets (such as forest planting and preservation) as an effort to appear climate-conscious rather than actually making fundamental changes to their operations and emissions. And that's on top of the ongoing integrity and verification concerns in the carbon credit markets.

Yes, but: Carbon removal and capture will still be one of the necessary tools in the fight against climate change.

  • "Every aspect of climate tech needs more funding. While we need to reduce emissions to zero... we simultaneously need to remove the trillions of tons of CO2 that are already in the atmosphere," says Lowercarbon Capital partner Ryan Orbuch, who previously spearheaded Stripe's carbon removal procurement program.
  • "In that light, funding for carbon removal has to grow quickly — and to date, it's way behind relative to the market opportunity."

Congruent Ventures' Posamentier adds that the area of carbon capture that interests him is tech that turns the carbon into something useful like polymers or alternative fuels, or permanently sequesters it. It's that second step after removing the carbon that he says makes a company a viable solution to managing our emissions.

The bottom line: While not all investors are equally optimistic about individual technologies and companies' efforts to curbing climate change, there is a consensus that the fight requires a multi-pronged approach.

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2. Zooming in: NY's carbon removal bill
Illustration of a the statue of liberty in front of a skyline made out of a dollar bill

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

 

Robert Downey Jr.'s tweet was meant as a show of support for a bill newly introduced in the New York Legislature to amp up carbon removal.

Why it matters: Proponents view the bill as a potential model for the role states and governments can play.

  • Carbon capture and removal is also a piece of the infrastructure bill passed in Washington last year — it allots $12 billion to fund large-scale demo projects and the underlying infrastructure.

Details: The New York bill directs the state to pay for 10,000 tons of carbon dioxide removal in 2025, and increases the annual removal target by 100% in 2026-2029.

  • It authorizes the state to pay a maximum average price per ton of $350 for qualified projects, decreasing by 5% per ton each year.
  • The purchases would be financed by the repeal of a tax subsidy on fossil fuels used in commercial aviation — an industry that's been deemed "hard to abate."

What's next: The bill is making its way through the New York Legislature.

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3. What's next: SEC takes on climate disclosures
Illustration of a magnifying glass examining a hundred dollar bill

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

 

On Monday the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is set to vote on whether to move forward on a proposal for climate-related disclosures for public companies.

Why it matters: The U.S. is behind Europe and the U.K. (as well as many other jurisdictions) in establishing climate-related financial disclosures.

  • And companies' greenhouse gas emissions and climate-related risks are increasingly important metrics to investors, customers and the public.

Details: While the SEC is reportedly expected to require disclosures of Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions, the Scope 3 category remains the big question.

  • Scope 1 emissions are generated from a company's operations, while Scope 2 emissions relate to its energy consumption.
  • Disclosures of Scope 3 emissions — those from a business's supply chain, and whose methodologies for measuring have room for improvement — may only be required for certain companies for which they make up the bulk of emissions (such as retailers, for example).

Yes, but: Standardization will remain a challenge.

  • Gaps in how different parts of the world regulate climate disclosures leave loopholes for companies to "greenwash."

Today Axios is publishing the first installment of our Climate Truths Deep Dive series, focusing on how businesses are adapting. Sign up to receive it.

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A message from Koch Industries

Charles Koch and Joe Lonsdale talk principles
 
 

CEO Charles Koch joins entrepreneur and investor Joe Lonsdale's "American Optimist" podcast for a conversation on the principles that have helped guide Koch Industries' growth, and why entrepreneurs should study philosophy.

Watch the episode on YouTube.

 
 
📚 Due Diligence
  • Carbon-Capture Startup Using Dirt Cheap Material Raises $53 Million (Bloomberg)
  • UN report: Climate change is so severe we're running out of time to adapt (Axios)
  • This Timber Company Sold Millions of Dollars of Useless Carbon Offsets (Bloomberg)
  • Breaking down the case for massively scaling up carbon removal tech (Axios)
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🧩 Trivia

Global warming is already underway despite our efforts to curb it.

  • Question: What degree of warming (in Celcius) are world leaders hoping we can stop at to avoid the worst impacts of climate change? (Answer at the bottom.)
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🧮 Final Numbers
Data: PwC; Chart: Jared Whalen/Axios
  • Investment in greenhouse gas (GHG) capture, removal and storage has grown in recent years.
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A message from Koch Industries

What it takes to build a gigantic battery-production hub
 
 

A joint venture between Koch and battery-hub builder FREYR could help scale up production of lithium-ion batteries, driven by the rising demand for renewable energy storage solutions.

Find out more about what it takes to build these cutting-edge factories.

 

🙏 Thanks for reading! See you on Monday for Pro Rata's weekday programming, and please ask your friends, colleagues and climate tech investors to sign up.

Trivia answer: Global leaders are hoping that society can take the steps to limit warming to 1.5°C.

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