In 2021, net interest income, the measure of cash flow we use for mortgage REITs, is expected to come in at $204.2 million. MFA Financial is forecast to have paid out $169.8 million in dividends for a payout ratio of 83%, which is fine for a REIT. However, excluding 2020, net interest income is at its lowest level since the mortgage meltdown in 2008. So we have a company that can't get its net interest income moving in the right direction. MFA Financial also has a history that includes not only cutting the dividend but eliminating it entirely less than a year and a half ago. Unless net interest income starts moving in the right direction, expect another dividend cut in the not-too-distant future. Dividend Safety Rating: F If you have a stock whose dividend safety you'd like analyzed, leave the ticker in the comments section. You can also check to see whether I've written about your favorite stock recently. Just click on the magnifying glass in the upper right corner of the Wealthy Retirement homepage and type the company name in the box. Good investing, Marc |
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