Tuesday, March 16, 2021

Axios Sneak Peek: Inside GOP courtship of Trump's endorsement ... Republicans not alone with border questions

Plus: Capitol riot becomes fodder abroad | Tuesday, March 16, 2021
 
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Axios Sneak Peek
By Alayna Treene, Hans Nichols and Kadia Goba ·Mar 16, 2021

Welcome back to Sneak. One more sleep until St. Patrick's Day! ☘️

🚨 Breaking: President Biden told ABC News anchor George Stephanopoulos during an interview airing tonight that New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo should resign if an investigation confirms claims he committed sexual harassment.

  • The president also told Central American migrants "don't come over" during the interview.
  • Donald Trump urged Americans to get the coronavirus vaccine during his own interview with Fox News.
  • Axios' Kadia Goba scooped that Congress is getting 8,000 vaccine doses tomorrow to inoculate staff.

Situational Awareness: If anyone wonders whether Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) will cave on the filibuster, he told Axios' Alayna Treene: "I sit in Robert C. Byrd's seat. ... You cannot get rid of the filibuster unless your intention is to destroy the Senate."

📺 Worthy of your time: California Gov. Gavin Newsom sat for any and all questions from CNN's Jake Tapper this afternoon — even against extended images of his infamous dinner at the French Laundry.

Today's newsletter — edited by Glen Johnson — is 679 words, a 2.5-minute read.

 
 
1 big thing: Kissing the ring — Inside the GOP courtship of Trump's endorsement
Illustration of a gold ring with MAGA engraved on the front

Illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios

 

Donald Trump is preparing to make a new round of 2022 endorsements starting as soon as this week, people familiar with his thinking tell Axios' Jonathan Swan.

Why it matters: The former president's endorsements could clear the field in competitive Republican primaries. Depending on how vengeful he's feeling, and how many challengers to same-party incumbents he backs, they also could jam the party establishment.

The big picture: Past presidents have typically paused before wading into domestic politics. Less than two months after leaving office, Trump has endorsed more than a dozen Republicans — a sign of his determination to sustain control of the GOP.

Behind the scenes: It's not just aspiring candidates. Sitting GOP House members and senators are calling on him at Mar-a-Lago.

  • Trump plans soon to endorse Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.), according to a source familiar with Trump's thinking.
  • An endorsement would be no surprise — Paul is a friend, golfing buddy and prominent cable news defender of Trump — but the timing would be noteworthy, given Trump is sitting on other requests from incumbents.
  • Even members seen as facing largely safe reelections are asking for Trump's early endorsement to ward off a serious primary challenger — call it the Thom Tillis path.
  • Sens. Todd Young (R-Ind.) and James Lankford (R-Okla.) reached out to Trump recently to ask for his endorsement. Their requests remain "under consideration," says a source familiar with the situation.
  • Spokespersons for Young and Lankford did not respond to a request for comment.

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2. Democrats join Republicans with border questions
Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas is seen addressing reporters.

Alejandro Mayorkas. Photo: Oliver Contreras/Sipa/Bloomberg via Getty Images

 

Democrats are growing impatient about the conditions — not to mention, the politics — along the U.S.-Mexico border, and Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas could bear the brunt when he testifies in the House on Wednesday, Kadia and Axios' Hans Nichols report.

What we're hearing: Rep. Bennie Thompson, chairman of the Homeland Security Committee, may have some pointed questions. Some Texas Democrats also remain peeved they didn't get any warning a White House delegation would be visiting their state two weeks ago — aggravating potential allies.

  • To date, Republicans have led the criticism of the Biden administration, but that's becoming politically untenable for the president's own party.
  • "I think it's safe to say Secretary Mayorkas' concerning rhetoric on immigration and Biden's questionable decision to rescind successful programs and agreements will be hot-button issues," Rep. Michael McCaul (R-Texas), a former chairman of the committee, told Axios.

The big picture: Facing a surge of migrants, including unaccompanied minors and families with young children, some Biden officials are privately concerned Mayorkas won't be able to defend a border situation that is, in part, out of the president's control.

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3. Immigration talk and deeds, visualized
Data: Quorum; Chart: Andrew Witherspoon/Axios

The members of Congress most likely to sponsor or co-sponsor legislation mentioning immigration aren't necessarily the ones most likely to talk about it, according to data from Quorum reviewed by Axios' Stef Kight.

Why it matters: Immigration has become a fiery political issue, but very little has been done about it in Congress over the years.

  • The House will vote this week on a pair of bills that Democrats and immigration advocates hope will eventually become law — either by winning over 10 Senate Republicans or by tying the bills to the next reconciliation package.
  • Quorum compiled its data from its analysis of bill language, social media posts, press releases and newsletters to constituents.

The big picture: No Republican lawmakers rank in the top five in either category, despite immigration being a huge talking point for their party.

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A message from The U.S. Global Leadership Coalition

Report on reports: a roadmap for U.S. global leadership
 
 

What do 100 policy reports, 6 global challenges and America's kitchen table have in common? The need for strong diplomacy and development.

Spoiler alert – our latest report finds more common ground on these solutions than you might think.

Read the latest consensus on America's foreign policy.

 
 
4. Capitol riot becomes fodder abroad
Haiti President Jovenel Moise is seen while delivering a speech.

Haiti President Jovenel Moïse. Photo: Riccardo Savi/Getty Images for Concordia Summit

 

The Capitol riot's fallout is rippling beyond our shores.

What's happening: Public relations agents for the government of Haiti are drawing parallels between political unrest in that country and the Jan. 6 attack, Axios' Lachlan Markay writes, based on public records.

  • Foreign agent filings from the U.S.-based public affairs firm Mercury, which is fighting efforts to oust Haiti's embattled president, Jovenel Moïse, show how a rupture of the peaceful transition of power in the United States is influencing democratic processes abroad.

What they're saying: "While the Haitian government respects the rights of Haitians to protest peacefully," wrote Mercury Vice President Djenny Passe in a February email to reporters, "calling for the president to be removed before his term ends in February 2022 is deeply undemocratic, and reminiscent of the tragic events on January 6th at the U.S. Capitol."

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5. Pic du jour
President Biden is seen saluting a Marine as he boards Marine One.

Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

 

President Biden boards Marine One for a visit to suburban Philadelphia.

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A message from The U.S. Global Leadership Coalition

A foreign policy roadmap to deliver for American families
 
 

When it comes to U.S. global engagement, the consensus is clear on strengthening diplomacy and development.

The reason: It matters to Americans' health, safety, prosperity and values.

Learn more in our latest Report on Reports: A Roadmap for U.S. Global Leadership.

 

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