Thursday, November 7, 2024

Trump's inroads in Illinois

Presented by Uber: Shia Kapos' must-read rundown of political news in the Land of Lincoln
Nov 07, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO Illinois Playbook Newsletter Header

By Shia Kapos

Presented by 

Uber

Good Thursday morning, Illinois. We’ll rehash the election with Congresswoman Jan Schakowsky tonight at the Hideout. Tickets here NO COVER CHARGE if you volunteered for the election!

TOP TALKER

Gov. JB Pritzker and Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson, both Democrats who served as surrogates for Kamala Harris, waited until she gave her concession speech before issuing their own statements.

Pritzker said “vulnerable communities” face “new uncertainty.” Statement here And Johnson vowed he will “not bend” to threats from Trump. Statement here

By the numbers: Trump lost Illinois, but this Blue state still saw a shift toward him. The president-elect won 45.1 percent of the vote to Harris’ 53.5 percent— a single digit margin. That’s up from 2020, when Trump received 40.6 percent of the Illinois vote to President Joe Biden’s 57.5 percent, according to stats from the 270towin website. And it’s higher than in 2016, when Trump received 38.8 percent of the Illinois vote against Hillary Clinton’s 55.8 percent.

Not since 1988 has a presidential contest in Illinois been as close as Tuesday’s race. That’s when Republican George H.W. Bush earned 50.7 percent of the Illinois vote over Democrat Michael Dukakis’ 48.6 percent.

“The numbers suggest there’s a great future for the Illinois Republican Party” with Trump in the White House, said Illinois Republican Party Chair Kathy Salvi .” We’re rebuilding. and I think that the results we got in the national election bear that out.”

Republicans still have small numbers in the state Capitol — but they didn’t lose any state Senate seats, and they’re still waiting for results on a few House races. Salvi also praised McHenry County Board Chair Michael Buehler for a good county-wide ground game. “It was a great night for McHenry County, which is a solid Red county now,” she said.

Trump is gaining popularity in Chicago, too. Trump won Ald. Anthony Napolitano’s 41st Ward by 54 percent, according to the Block Club.

Ald. Nick Sposato’s 38th Ward also saw an increase in Trump support, according to the Tribune’s Jake Sheridan. And Ald. Marty Quinn’s 13th Ward, with its heavy Latino population, saw Harris get 50 percent of the vote to Trump’s 48 percent. Check out ward results here.

More Stats: The Sun-Times has a ward breakdown. And the Block Club has a map.

What it means : There’s a reckoning among Democrat leaders who are seeing rank-and-file voters move away from Democratic policies. In Chicago, as an example, immigration has divided communities that are concerned about existing residents being ignored to help newcomers. “We must work hard, together, to give the American people something to vote FOR, instead of just something to be AGAINST,” Secretary of State Alexi Giannoulias posted on X.

Not related to Trump: The results of the Chicago School Board of Education races are all local. In those races, voters were driven by individuals who were supported or not by the Chicago Teachers Union, which saw four of its 10 candidates win. The outcome could also indicate support for Mayor Brandon Johnson as he is closely aligned with the union.

RELATED

Chicago could pay a price during Donald Trump's second term: “Mayor Brandon Johnson’s administration has reason to be on edge. The CTA’s Red Line extension, the O’Hare Airport modernization and a mass deportation that would transform a sanctuary city that has welcomed migrants are among the items Trump could target, senior mayoral adviser Jason Lee said,” by the Sun-Times’ Fran Spielman.

Congressmen Davis, Jackson on what Trump’s victory, red wave could mean for Illinois, by WTTW’s Brandis Friedman and Shelby Hawkins

With CTU ally Mayor Brandon Johnson in charge, voters reject several union-backed school board candidates, by the Tribune’s Alice Yin and Nell Salzman

The Obamas react: “This is obviously not the outcome we had hoped for,” by Sun-Times’ Katie Anthony

If you are Michael Buehler , Playbook would like to hear from you! Email: skapos@politico.com

WHERE'S JB

No official public events

WHERE's BRANDON

No official public events

Where's Toni

At Prairie State College at noon to provide the keynote address at the Opportunity Works Annual Culminating Event

Have a tip, suggestion, birthday, new job or (heaven forbid) a complaint? Email: skapos@politico.com

 

A message from Uber:

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ELECTION UPDATE

Nikki Budzinski re-elected in the 13th Congressional District: “Budzinski has defeated Lloyd to retain her seat in Congress, which represents many of the St. Louis region’s Metro East communities, according to Race Call projections from The Associated Press,” via Fox 2’s Kamy Smelser.

Democrats maintain control of state legislature, while GOP sees hope in not losing ground, by the Tribune’s team

Peoria County state's attorney defeats opponent for second term, by the Journal Star’s Zach Roth

Prohibition finally ends in small pocket of Lincoln Square as voters overturn 117-year-old alcohol ban, by the Sun-Times’ Kade Heather

How a trio of independent school board candidates topped their better-funded opponents, by the Tribune’s Sarah Macaraeg and Ikram Mohamed |

No results yet in 3 Cook County judicial races for judges under scrutiny, by Injustice Watch’s Dan Hinkel

CHICAGO

Felon charged with killing Chicago Police officer Enrique Martinez using a machine gun: “Darion McMillian, 23, from Harvey, faces felony charges of first-degree murder and attempted murder in the shooting Monday night in the 8000 block of South Ingleside Avenue, Police Supt. Larry Snelling said Wednesday,” by the Sun-Times’ Tom Schuba and Emmanuel Camarillo.

City Council fights Johnson on property tax hike as budget negotiations begin: “Johnson’s initial proposal will have to be significantly amended before it reaches the 26 votes necessary to be approved,” by Crain’s Justin Laurence.

Chicago Police Department embarks on million-dollar workforce study, by The Reader’s Dave Glowacz

 

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COOK COUNTY AND COLLARS

Cook County judge referred to judicial misconduct board over residency conflicts: “Judge E. Kenneth Wright, who presides over the first municipal district, and Judge Shannon O’Malley were referred for investigation after Injustice Watch reported they had claimed homeowner’s exemptions on houses they owned in Will County,” by Injustice Watch’s David Jackson and Kelly Garcia.

How to spend $304.5M?: Lake County forest preserves, Mundelein High School preparing for big to-do lists, by the Daily Herald’s Mick Zawislak

Reader Digest

We asked how this election ranks for you emotionally.

 Dave Dahl: “Surprised it was so decisive and a little disappointed it’s over.”

Andrea Darlas: “This was a 10/10 for sure!!!”

Henry Haupt: “I was invested in this election for many reasons that others may share, but also because it was my daughter's first election in which she was old enough to vote. We voted in-person together and had breakfast before she headed back to college.”

Mike Hansen: “I believe that God is totally responsible for the result.”

Charles Keller: “This was big, I can't lie. Keeping the U.S. from becoming California or Illinois is huge for the republic.”

Mary Lawlor: “I'm devastated.”

Michael Marsh : “I experienced my highest level of emotional commitment during this election. I strongly thought the election represented a make-or-break moment for the country.”

Mark Rosenberg: “This election was the most emotional in the 14 presidential elections that I have voted.”

John Straus : “I’ve adopted Liz Cheney’s POV: We now must do everything we can to support and defend our Constitution, preserve the rule of law, and ensure that our institutions hold over these coming four years.”

Next question: What would be a good political reality TV show? Email skapos@politico.com

THE NATIONAL TAKE

Vice President Kamala Harris gestures as she delivers a concession speech for the 2024 presidential election on Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2024.

Vice President Kamala Harris gestures as she delivers a concession speech for the 2024 presidential election on Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2024. | Stephanie Scarbrough/AP

Dems rage against Biden’s ‘arrogance’ after Harris loss, by POLITICO’s Adam Cancryn

Immigrant advocates get ready for another 4 years of battle, by POLITICO’s Betsy Woodruff Swan and Myah Ward

Team Biden vs. Team Harris: Who lost 2024? by POLITICO’s Jonathan Martin

Trump Dodged the Law. Here’s Who to Blame, by POLITICO’s Ankush Khardori

 

A message from Uber:

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TRIVIA

WEDNESDAY's ANSWER: Congrats to Graham Grady for correctly answering that the Chicago Daily Tribune published the wrong headline after the 1948 presidential election. Pic!

TODAY’s QUESTION: When was the first college in Illinois established? Email skapos@politico.com

HAPPY BIRTHDAY

Former DuPage County Board Chair Dan Cronin, philanthropist Eleni Bousis, Harry Caray CEO Grant DePorter, trial consultant and former prosecutor Karen Kerbis, lieutenant governor’s digital media specialist Joanna Byrne, crisis comms consultant Randall Samborn, political adviser Bob Yadgir, Axion Analytical Labs President Lee Polite and Sportico reporter Daniel Libit.

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