Thursday, October 24, 2024

New face with old money shakes up SF mayor’s race

Inside the Golden State political arena
Oct 24, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO California Playbook Newsletter Header

By Dustin Gardiner and Lara Korte

San Francisco mayoral candidate Daniel Lurie gestures while meeting with people at a neighborhood event in San Francisco, Saturday, Sept. 21, 2024. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)

San Francisco mayoral candidate Daniel Lurie is self-funding to a degree that's unprecedented in city politics. | AP

THE BUZZ: MONEY TALKS — Forget about ultra-wealthy tech tycoons dominating San Francisco politics with their vast funding. The candidate surging in the mayor’s race is as old money as they come on the West Coast.

Levi Strauss heir Daniel Lurie, a nonprofit founder, has gained momentum in the final weeks of the election as he self-funds his campaign to an unprecedented degree. Lurie and his mother, billionaire Mimi Haas, have poured nearly $10 million into the crowded contest.

The most recent poll from the San Francisco Chronicle shows Lurie leaping ahead of embattled incumbent London Breed in the ranked-choice election, though other polls suggest the contest is still close. Breed has raised about $2.3 million, by comparison.

Lurie’s showing in the home stretch of the campaign has upended city politics, frazzling city insiders, who say San Francisco has never had a candidate self-fund to this degree.

San Francisco has no shortage of wealth: The city is home to at least 50 billionaires and dozens more near-billionaires. But members of that mega-rich class have historically played in local elections from the sidelines, as benefactors writing checks for politicians.

There have long been rumors in local politics about darkhorse candidates who could dominate local elections with their extreme wealth. Lurie is the first in modern history to actually take the plunge.

Breed and the other top contenders in the race — former interim Mayor Mark Farrell and Board of Supervisors President Aaron Peskin — have hammered Lurie for relying on his family’s money. Insults like “trust fund kid” and ads showing piggy banks and silver spoons have abounded.

But for all of the criticism, Lurie’s spending has yet to blunt his momentum in recent polls.

Kanishka Cheng , founder of Together SF Action, a moderate advocacy group that has given Farrell its first endorsement, said she is baffled by how little Lurie’s wealth has been a factor. She said groups like hers are criticized “left and right” over their support from tech magnates.

“He doesn’t get any of that scrutiny, and it’s just kind of shocking,” Cheng told Playbook. “We didn’t really see him moving up in the polls until about $8 million was spent.”

Lurie isn’t like other wealthy San Franciscans who spend heavily in city politics for one big obvious reason: He’s not a techie, so he can avoid the trope of rich tech bros taking over the liberal city, an archetype that local progressives love to hate.

His family’s company is also a source of local pride. Lurie’s late stepfather, Peter Haas, was the great-grandnephew of Levi Strauss , whose company made the first blue jeans in San Francisco in the 1850s.

Moreover, the attack line also might not resonate as much with voters in San Francisco — where the median household income is about $146,00, nearly double the national figure — as in other political contests like the presidential race, where Kamala Harris and Donald Trump seem locked in a game of one-upmanship to appeal to average Joes (see the latest McDonald's kerfuffle).

Tyler Law, Lurie’s consultant, noted that Farrell and Breed both have a pack of wealthy benefactors. The incumbent mayor has been heavily supported by billionaire businessmen Chris Larsen and Michael Bloomberg. Farrell, meanwhile, has the support of billionaires Michael Moritz, Thomas Coates and Bill Oberndorf.

“Each of them has the support of billionaires who can spend an unlimited amount,” Law told Playbook. “This idea about crying poor and making excuses really falls on deaf ears.”

London Breed

San Francisco Mayor London Breed speaks during a mayoral debate at KQED in San Francisco. | Beth LaBerge/KQED

Lurie’s jump in the polls came after his campaign and an independent-expenditure group — funded heavily by his mother — flooded voters' TV screens and mailboxes with ads. Votes have received at least 20 different mailers from Lurie and the IE backing him.

The ads and mailers portray him as a City Hall outsider who’s trying to clean up a corrupt culture inside local government, a vibes-based message he honed early in the race.

But the ad blitz has also gone negative — early and often. Both Lurie’s campaign and the IE have hammered Farrell and Breed with critical messages over their recent controversies (Farrell over alleged campaign-finance violations, though he denies any wrongdoing; and Breed over an appointee's financial malfeasance, though the mayor pushed for the person’s resignation).

Maggie Muir, Breed’s consultant, framed Lurie’s spending as a dangerous distraction that papers over his lack of experience running a large city, especially in an emergency like a global pandemic.

“The millions cover up the fact that there’s no there there,” Muir told Playbook. She said Lurie has “never had a real challenge to work through” and has “has no experience to call upon” in a crisis.

GOOD MORNING. Happy Thursday. Thanks for waking up with Playbook.

You can text us at ‪916-562-0685 ‬‪ — save it as “CA Playbook” in your contacts. Or drop us a line at lkorte@politico.com and dgardiner@politico.com, or on X — @DustinGardiner and @Lara_Korte.

WHERE’S GAVIN? Nothing official announced.

MEDIA MATTERS

FILE - The Los Angeles Times newspaper headquarters is shown in El Segundo, Calif., Jan. 23, 2024. (AP Photo/Damian Dovarganes, File)

The Los Angeles Times' headquarters in El Segundo. | AP

SEE YA LAT-ER — The Los Angeles Times’ editorials editor is peacing out amid drama over newspaper owner’s decision not to run an endorsement in the presidential race.

The editor, Mariel Garza, told the Columbia Journalism Review on Wednesday that she’s resigning because the paper’s billionaire owner, Patrick Soon-Shiong, blocked the editorial board from endorsing Vice President Kamala Harris for president. She said the board was prepared to endorse Harris and had drafted an outline before Terry Tang, the paper’s top editor, delivered Soon-Shiong’s message to stand down.

Garza pulled no punches in her resignation letter, saying the nonendorsement “undermines the integrity of the editorial board” and makes the Times “look craven and hypocritical, maybe even a bit sexist and racist.”

She’s not the only one with a bone to pick: Semafor reports subscription cancelations spiked at the Times after the endorsement news broke Tuesday. Nearly 400 readers cited “editorial content” as the primary reason.

Soon-Shiong is standing behind his decision despite the backlash. He wrote in an X post Wednesday that the editorial board declined an alternative opportunity to draft a “clear and non-partisan side-by-side” comparison of Harris’ and former President Donald Trump’s policies. — Tyler Katzenberger

CAMPAIGN YEAR

Neighbors and business owners hold signs that say Yes On 36.

Protesters rally in support of Proposition 36, a November ballot measure to increase criminal penalties. | Damian Dovarganes/AP

ON THE UPSWING — The already-large margin of support for Proposition 36 appears to be growing.

A new poll from the Public Policy Institute of California, released last night, found that 73 percent of likely voters said they would support Prop 36, the high-profile ballot measure that would increase penalties for some theft- and drug-related crimes. That’s a slight increase from PPIC’s September poll, our own Emily Schultheis reports, which found 71 percent of likely voters in favor of it.

Support for Prop 36 was the highest among the slate of 10 statewide issue questions appearing on Californians’ ballots this fall. It was also the measure named by the most voters — 28 percent — as the one in which they were most interested.

Other measures the PPIC poll found are in a strong position to pass include Prop 3, a constitutional amendment that would remove dormant language from the state constitution banning same-sex marriage. Sixty-seven percent of likely voters said they’d back Prop 3, compared with just 32 percent who would vote “no.”

Prop 35, which would make permanent a tax on certain health care plans and direct its revenue to Medi-Cal — the state’s system for Medicaid programs — also received above 60 percent in the poll.

More on the polling for California propositions and the latest stats on the presidential and Senate races.

CLIMATE AND ENERGY

RIP, LOS VAQUEROS — Everyone loved the idea of expanding a Northern California reservoir to protect water supplies from climate change, but the project is still falling apart. Read more about what went down and what it means for other big water proposals in yesterday’s California Climate.

TOP TALKERS

FILE - Elon Musk jumps on the stage as Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally at the Butler Farm Show, Saturday, Oct. 5, 2024, in Butler, Pa. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci, File)

Billionaire Elon Musk, right, attends a rally with former President Donald Trump. | AP

COPS ON WATCH — The U.S. Justice Department warned Elon Musk’s America PAC in a letter this week that its sweepstakes offering million-dollar prizes to registered voters in swing states may violate federal law, POLITICO’s Josh Gerstein reports.

MORE ENDORSEMENT DRAMA — San Francisco Mayor London Breed ’s campaign apologized to The Bay Area Reporter this week after falsely claiming in an email to be the LGBTQ+ outlet’s “sole endorsement” in the mayoral race, the paper reports. The Reporter endorsed Breed as their first choice but ranked SF Supervisor Aaron Peskin as their No. 2 on the ranked-choice ballot.

Breed campaign spokesperson Joe Arellano said the campaign was “very sorry for the mistake,” which he said happened after a campaign staffer misread the paper’s endorsement.

AROUND THE STATE

— A lawsuit alleging filmmaker Roman Polanski sexually assaulted a child in 1973 is set to be dismissed after plaintiff and defense attorneys said the parties agreed to a settlement. (Los Angeles Times)

— A former school board member who was recalled for leading an East Bay district’s push to ban Pride flags on campus could win his seat back next month . (San Francisco Chronicle)

— The founder of a San Diego security company is pleading guilty to federal charges for his participation in the Jan. 6, 2021 Capitol riots. (San Diego Union-Tribune)

PLAYBOOKERS

BIRTHDAYS — Rep. Brad Sherman (D-Calif.) (7-0) … Tony Podesta … Deadline’s Ted Johnson … former Rep. Mary Bono (R-Calif.) … Matt Lehrich Anthony Angelini of the Simi Valley Chamber of Commerce … Zena Hallak, comms director for Assemblymember Ash Kalra … Kim Harris-McCoy at the LA County Dept. of Public Health …

BELATED B-DAY WISHES — (was Wednesday): Alfredo Sadun

WANT A SHOUT-OUT FEATURED? — Send us a birthday, career move or another special occasion to include in POLITICO’s California Playbook. You can now submit a shout-out using this Google form.

CALIFORNIA POLICY IS ALWAYS CHANGING: Know your next move. From Sacramento to Silicon Valley, POLITICO California Pro provides policy professionals with the in-depth reporting and tools they need to get ahead of policy trends and political developments shaping the Golden State. To learn more about the exclusive insight and analysis this subscriber-only service offers, click here.

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