Thursday, October 24, 2024

How Steve Scalise is winning new friends

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By Olivia Beavers

Presented by Charter Communications

With assists from POLITICO’s Congress team

People walk past a vote sign.

People walk past a "Vote" sign on the first day of early voting in the general election, Oct. 21, in Miami. | Lynne Sladky/AP

PLAYING THE LONG GAME

It’s well known that Steve Scalise wants to lead the House GOP someday. What’s less obvious is whether he has a clear path to the position next term — but his colleagues believe he’s preparing in case one appears.

How it all shakes out depends on the election: If Republicans keep their majority, Speaker Mike Johnson is likely to remain atop the GOP hierarchy. If they don’t, however, Johnson is widely expected to step aside, giving Scalise an opportunity to move into the top job of minority leader. Scalise didn’t reject the idea when we asked him about that scenario recently, stating only that he is focused on helping Republicans win the majority.

But those very efforts to win the majority also double as relationship-builders that could come in handy in a contested leadership race. He’s maxing out donations, working the phones and campaigning across the country hitting more than 20 states and 30 events in what he jokingly refers to as the “swing-district express.”

Notably, he’s working to win over some factions that haven’t necessarily been friendly with him in the past — including close allies of former Speaker Kevin McCarthy and Rep. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio) — aiming to clear up what he describes as “misperceptions.”

"Some I reached out to, and some we had really good, candid conversations, just kind of getting to understand each other better,” Scalise said as his car zipped from a private airfield to a rally for vulnerable Rep. Jen Kiggans (R-Va.).

The biggest obstacle: Jordan has himself sidestepped questions about whether he’d seek the minority leader spot amid rampant speculation that he’d look to leapfrog Scalise. Among those fielding similar phone calls and offers of campaign help from Jordan are some swing-district members who are outside of Jordan’s usual hard-right comfort zone and GOP candidates who have yet to be elected, according to a person knowledgeable about his activities.

Jordan’s calls have been conspicuous, given that his role as Judiciary Committee chair doesn’t usually involve lots of member outreach. Scalise should “be doing that in a very difficult election,” one Republican member familiar with the matter said. “In the case of Jordan, it is more unusual.”

Their pitches have diverged, one member told us: “Jim has focused a lot on, ‘Hey, what can I do to help drive base turnout? … Who can I call?” Scalise, on the other hand, has a “holistic” approach more focused on campaign cash, the member said: “What do we need to do to have you win this election? How do we give money to you?”

Friends in new places: While we have previously reported on Jordan’s entreaties across the GOP Conference, Scalise has also shored up his relationships among once skeptical colleagues.

They include Rep. Max Miller (R-Ohio), a close McCarthy ally who declined to back Scalise during last fall’s speakership race. Miller said at the time that he had no personal issue with the Louisianan but didn’t want to see anyone in leadership getting a promotion following McCarthy’s ejection. 

“Steve has been there when we've asked him for help,” Miller said, including the GOP-led fight against a redistricting initiative in Ohio. “He's come in for a fundraiser, he offered to come in for another fundraiser, and I believe he's given over half a million dollars to the effort. And when we talk about a team, that's the team I want to be on.”

Miller is not alone. “Steve’s been instrumental to the successes we’ve had at the Ways and Means Committee and I can say without hesitation that he has been a friend and ally,” said Rep. Jason Smith (R-Mo.), another McCarthy ally.

Money talks: The cash dash is also being closely watched inside the House GOP: Jordan has recently stepped up his giving, sending nearly $2.5 million to the NRCC this year, bringing his career total to under $5 million.

But Scalise, with his almost-decade in leadership, has far outstripped that, having transferred roughly $70 million total. And some Republicans are wondering why Jordan, who is not facing a competitive re-election, is sitting on a nearly $9 million campaign war chest rather than doling out more to endangered colleagues.

GOOD EVENING! Welcome to Inside Congress, the play-by-play guide to all things Capitol Hill, on this Thursday, Oct. 24 where another former House Republican is switching sides to back Kamala Harris.

 

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THE HILL HAS EYES

A greatly expanded corps of GOP House staffers is prepared to fan out across the country and serve as election observers this year, the top Republican on the House Administration Committee told us.

The panel has long trained staffers of both parties to monitor House elections under a nonpartisan program, but Rep. Bryan Steil (R-Wis.) said in an interview that Republicans have bolstered their ranks more than ten-fold compared to the last election cycle. Almost half of House GOP offices have staffers participating as “first-hand recorders of fact,” he said — more than 100 total.

The training program is rooted in a constitutional provision giving the House the final authority over who gets seated in its ranks — which has given the House a historical role in monitoring, and sometimes settling, contested elections. Steil said the enhanced effort this year is further motivated by his panel’s focus on “election integrity,” a priority shared by Speaker Mike Johnson.

“This positions us to have that election observed on the ground, in real time, on location,” he said. “How do we increase Americans' confidence in our election is the underlying purpose here.”

In a training video we reviewed, the observers are taught that they are not “poll challengers,” but are instead there to “watch, record and report” — make sure ballots are counted and that any disputes are adjudicated according to state law.

A losing candidate can file a challenge to the seating of a member-elect with the House after the state certification of the election. In those cases, the House Administration Committee essentially turns into a court that reviews that challenge and makes a recommendation on how to proceed to the full House.

Bipartisan push: The minority side of the panel was also playing its part. A senior Democratic aide said over 150 staffers volunteered for the program, though not all are expected to travel to congressional districts.

“Election Observers work to ensure that the Committee has a fulsome, contemporaneous record of the facts in the event a congressional race becomes a contested election,” said Rep. Joe Morelle (D-N.Y.), the top Democrat on the panel. “This program has operated smoothly for more than three decades, and I am proud to continue the Committee’s service to the country this election cycle.”

History lesson: No races ended up under contest in the 2022 midterms, but on average two House elections per cycle end up under dispute, Steil said. One race that is fresh in many Republicans’ minds is Iowa Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks' six-vote 2020 victory over Democrat Rita Hart. Republicans had multiple observers present for that race, which came under review by the House Administration Committee before Hart ultimately withdrew her challenge to Miller-Meeks’ victory.

Related read: House GOP committee that oversees elections hired two former Trump officials involved in 2020 fake elector scheme, from Annie Grayer at CNN

— Olivia Beavers, with an assist from Nicholas Wu 

 

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HUDDLE HOTDISH

One can only wonder what an international audience thinks about the “Byrd bath.”

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Chuck Schumer hung out with Ellie the Elephant.

QUICK LINKS 

A series of skirmishes among House Republicans is poised to reshape Washington, from Anthony

They were lobbying on legislation before his committee. They were also employing his son, from Benjamin Guggenheim

Vulnerable House Dem goes on offensive on immigration — in a district nowhere near the border, from Nicholas

GOP's Fred Upton backs Kamala Harris' presidential campaign, from Melissa Nann Burke at the Detroit News

Child of refugees runs for Congress as immigration divides his district, from Anumita Kaur at the Washington Post

McConnell says ‘MAGA movement is completely wrong’ and Reagan ‘wouldn’t recognize’ Trump’s GOP, from Morgan Rimmer at CNN

Graves’ bid for another term atop House Transportation a longshot, from Chris Marquette

 

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TRANSITIONS 

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FRIDAY IN CONGRESS

The House and Senate are out.

FRIDAY AROUND THE HILL

Tumbleweeds.

TRIVIA

WEDNESDAY’S ANSWER: Former Rep. Tom Davis correctly answered that Howard K. Smith moderated the first televised debate between John F. Kennedy and Richard Nixon.

TODAY’S QUESTION from Davis: Of the 50 states, which are the furthest north, south, east and west?

The first person to correctly guess gets a mention in the next edition of Inside Congress. Send your answers to insidecongress@politico.com.

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