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March 24th, 2024 | Issue 225 |
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On Wall Street, data reigns supreme, and market movements often seem like puzzles waiting to be solved. Yet, some moments demand our attention, offering glimpses into the intricate dance of supply, demand, and investor sentiment. This week, all eyes were fixed on Micron Technology (MU), a cornerstone in the AI Chips sector, as it unveiled its earnings amidst a backdrop of anticipation and speculation. Before delving into the latest chapter of Micron's saga, it's crucial to grasp its significance. As a key player in AI Chips, Micron is not just a company; it's a driving force in technological innovation, shaping industries and setting benchmarks. Despite recent revenue challenges, Micron has demonstrated resilience, forging ahead with a determination that defies market expectations. As the earnings report loomed, the options market hummed with activity, reflecting sentiments observed across the AI Chip sector. Notably, the call skew hinted at potential moves of up to 10%, with a notable demand for long out-of-the-money (OTM) calls, particularly clustered around the 110 strike. This indicated a collective belief in Micron's ability to surpass market expectations. |
However, what truly piqued interest was the revelation from the "dealer exposure" data—a tapestry of open interest spanning key strike prices, prominently clustered around 110. This data and insights gleaned from the Vanna chart offered deeper insights into market dynamics. For those unversed in the nuances, the Vanna chart illuminates the sensitivity of options to changes in both price and volatility, providing a nuanced understanding of market sentiment. As the Vanna chart surged, indicating a rapid change in options pricing dynamics, Micron's stock oscillated within a defined range, gravitating towards those pivotal strike levels. This phenomenon, often associated with a "gamma squeeze," underscores the symbiotic relationship between options market dynamics and underlying stock movements. This convergence can amplify price swings and drive heightened volatility. Amidst this backdrop, I executed a strategic maneuver—a butterfly poised strategically amidst the options landscape. Crafted with precision, this approach offered a calculated balance between risk and reward, leveraging insights gleaned from options data to navigate market volatility. Then, the moment of truth arrived with Micron's earnings release—a revelation that stunned the market. Micron surged a staggering 14%, reporting a surprise fiscal second-quarter profit. Earnings per share of 71 cents marked a remarkable turnaround from a year earlier, surpassing analyst estimates by a wide margin. In essence, we find ourselves amidst the tail end of Q1 where volatility looms large, presenting both risks and opportunities. As we navigate these turbulent waters, it's imperative to remain grounded in data-driven insights and strategic planning. Speaking of grounding, I'm reminded of the personal amidst the professional. It's all about incremental investments and compounding interest, whether you're executing a MU butterfly trade or investing in quality time with loved ones. As I prepare to embark on a journey to London to visit my daughter, who's studying abroad at Queen Mary College, I'm struck by the parallels between family and finance. Just as investing requires patience, foresight, and strategic planning, so too does nurturing relationships and fostering connections. It's a reminder that amidst the hustle and bustle of financial markets, the true value lies in the moments spent with loved ones. |
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(We now offer a BUY NOW, PAY LATER option….) |
Chief Investment Officer/Founder |
(A portion of Yellow Tunnel sales will go to directly help the Ukrainian people) |
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TRADE IDEA OF THE WEEK $XOM: Calling for BIG Profits! |
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In line with our sector analysis, our Trade of the Week spotlight falls on Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM), a leading player in the energy sector with a global footprint and a track record of robust performance. With market conditions aligning in favor of energy stocks, XOM emerges as a standout candidate for strategic investment, offering the potential for substantial profits in the upcoming weeks. |
Exxon Mobil Corporation, commonly known as ExxonMobil, is one of the largest publicly traded multinational oil and gas corporations in the world. With operations spanning exploration, production, refining, and distribution, ExxonMobil is a key player in the global energy landscape, renowned for its technological prowess, operational efficiency, and commitment to sustainable growth. |
The current market environment presents an opportune moment to consider investing in ExxonMobil. As energy stocks gain traction amidst shifting market dynamics, ExxonMobil stands out for its strong fundamentals, resilient business model, and attractive valuation. With oil prices on the rise and increasing demand for energy resources, ExxonMobil is well-positioned to capitalize on emerging opportunities in the energy sector. Looking ahead, we anticipate significant upside potential for ExxonMobil, driven by factors such as rising oil prices, favorable industry trends, and strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing shareholder value. As we embark on the upcoming week, we recommend considering XOM as a strategic addition to your portfolio, leveraging the potential for substantial profits in the dynamic energy market. |
With a strategic entry point and a bullish outlook for the energy sector, investing in ExxonMobil presents a compelling opportunity to capitalize on the evolving market landscape and position your portfolio for long-term success. This week, I'll be adding Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) to my portfolio! |
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| Vlad Karpel
YellowTunnel and Tradespoon Founder |
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P.S. Click here for access to the Power Trading Live Strategy Roundtable Recorded every Thursday. |
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DISCLAIMER: Vlad and his team may have a financial interest in the picks as they trade many of the same equities and options they pick. Vlad Karpel and YellowTunnel (Company) is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. All investing strategies are made available to the general public on a regular basis. We do not provide personalized financial advice or investment recommendations. As an investor, you know that any kind of investment opportunity has its risks. There is no such thing as low-risk stocks and we recommend you invest wisely and that only risk capital should be used to trade. Investing in Stocks and Options is highly speculative. No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed here and on our website. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE SUCCESS: It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators developed at YellowTunnel will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Nor should it be assumed that future picks will be profitable or will equal past performance. All of the content on our website and in our email alerts is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities. Remember, you should always consult with a licensed securities professional before purchasing or selling securities of companies profiled or discussed on YellowTunnel.com. Performance results that are discussed above are from the Live Trading Room. Multiple YellowTunnel tools were used to achieve these results. Trade % Gain/Loss is calculated by dividing the $ Gain/Loss by the Max Risk, which is the posted Stop Loss for the trade. Yellow Tunnel's performance data represents the average return on all trading recommendations from January 1, 2020, to today. *Win rate percentage reflects the average that Yellow Tunnel's software helped me identify a profitable investment strategy.** Triple-digit returns are not typical and are not intended to reflect the likelihood of similar returns in the future. |
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