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March 10th, 2024 | Issue 224 |
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As I scanned through the market data this week, my attention was firmly seized by the action surrounding Crowdstrike Holdings Inc. (CRWD). Crowdstrike specializes in providing cutting-edge cybersecurity and artificial intelligence solutions to combat digital threats in today's interconnected world. In the ever-evolving landscape of cybersecurity and AI, CRWD stands tall as a stock that continues to defy expectations, even amidst earnings releases from formidable competitors like $PANW and $ZS. What particularly piqued my interest this week was the unfolding saga of CRWD's earnings report. As I delved into the intricate world of options data, it became evident that CRWD was gearing up for a significant move. With a call put skew reminiscent of other large-cap stocks, the stage was set for potential volatility—a 10% swing was on the cards according to implied moves. However, what truly stood out was the behavior of market participants leading up to the earnings announcement. Most seemed to hedge their bets by buying puts and selling calls, seeking refuge in covered calls or married puts. Just take a look at the Vanna Exposure chart below: |
As I sifted through the "dealer exposure" screen, a fascinating picture emerged. The options market buzzed with activity, with notable open interest spanning from the $340 to $380 strikes, with a prominent peak at $360. It was evident that this level held considerable significance in shaping market sentiment. Armed with this insight, I strategically positioned myself, selling OTM calls and puts to craft an iron condor—a move aimed at maintaining neutrality amidst potential market gyrations. For a detailed breakdown of our trading strategy, you can refer to our Live Trading Room Recordings. The significance of this data cannot be overstated. Understanding the interplay between options activity and stock movements can be instrumental in gauging support and resistance levels, especially in the aftermath of earnings announcements. |
As the earnings surprise unfolded, CRWD's stock indeed oscillated within the anticipated range, spending considerable time near the $360 mark—a zone teeming with open interest for OTM calls. In this fast-paced world of finance, staying ahead of the curve requires keen observation and strategic positioning. And in the case of CRWD's latest earnings, the insights gleaned from options data may just hold the key to unlocking profitable opportunities amidst market uncertainty. |
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TRADE IDEA OF THE WEEK The Shocking Reason Why AI Says $DIS is About to Explode |
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Walt Disney Company ($DIS) stands as a titan in the entertainment industry, boasting a diverse portfolio of iconic brands and intellectual properties. From its beloved theme parks to its blockbuster movies and streaming services, Disney's presence in the global entertainment landscape is unparalleled. |
In the current market climate characterized by economic uncertainty and evolving consumer behavior, Disney emerges as a beacon of stability and growth potential. The company's strategic initiatives in streaming, coupled with its formidable content creation capabilities, position it as a frontrunner in the rapidly evolving media landscape. Despite the challenges posed by the pandemic, Disney has demonstrated remarkable resilience, adapting swiftly to changing consumer preferences and market dynamics. Its streaming services, including Disney+ and ESPN+, have experienced robust subscriber growth, underpinning the company's transition towards a more digital-centric business model. Moreover, Disney's theme parks, which faced temporary closures and capacity restrictions during the pandemic, are witnessing a resurgence in visitor numbers as travel restrictions ease and consumer confidence rebounds. The gradual reopening of Disneyland Resort in California and the continued success of Walt Disney World in Florida bode well for the company's financial performance in the coming quarters. In addition to its core businesses, Disney's recent acquisition of 21st Century Fox assets has bolstered its content library, providing a rich pipeline of intellectual properties and franchises to fuel future growth. With a diverse array of content spanning movies, television shows, and sports programming, Disney is well-positioned to capture audiences across multiple platforms and demographics. |
From a technical standpoint, Disney's stock price has shown resilience amidst recent market volatility, demonstrating strong support levels and bullish momentum indicators. The company's forward-looking valuation metrics, coupled with favorable analyst sentiment and positive earnings forecasts, further support the case for investment in Disney at this juncture. Taking into account these factors and the latest AI data insights, we're confident in recommending Disney as our trade of the week. With strategic entry points and favorable market conditions, buying Disney in the upcoming week presents a compelling opportunity for investors seeking exposure to a resilient and innovative company poised for growth in the evolving entertainment landscape. |
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| Vlad Karpel
YellowTunnel and Tradespoon Founder |
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P.S. Click here for access to the Power Trading Live Strategy Roundtable Recorded every Thursday. |
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DISCLAIMER: Vlad and his team may have a financial interest in the picks as they trade many of the same equities and options they pick. Vlad Karpel and YellowTunnel (Company) is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. All investing strategies are made available to the general public on a regular basis. We do not provide personalized financial advice or investment recommendations. As an investor, you know that any kind of investment opportunity has its risks. There is no such thing as low-risk stocks and we recommend you invest wisely and that only risk capital should be used to trade. Investing in Stocks and Options is highly speculative. No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed here and on our website. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE SUCCESS: It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators developed at YellowTunnel will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Nor should it be assumed that future picks will be profitable or will equal past performance. All of the content on our website and in our email alerts is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities. Remember, you should always consult with a licensed securities professional before purchasing or selling securities of companies profiled or discussed on YellowTunnel.com. Performance results that are discussed above are from the Live Trading Room. Multiple YellowTunnel tools were used to achieve these results. Trade % Gain/Loss is calculated by dividing the $ Gain/Loss by the Max Risk, which is the posted Stop Loss for the trade. Yellow Tunnel's performance data represents the average return on all trading recommendations from January 1, 2020, to today. *Win rate percentage reflects the average that Yellow Tunnel's software helped me identify a profitable investment strategy.** Triple-digit returns are not typical and are not intended to reflect the likelihood of similar returns in the future. |
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