Monday, January 15, 2024

👉What “Cash on the Sidelines” Can Tell Investors Now

Good morning, and Happy Martin Luther King Jr., Day! In 2023, investors enjoyed an above-average...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning, and Happy Martin Luther King Jr., Day! In 2023, investors enjoyed an above-average bull market rally, with the S&P 500 rising 24 percent. But it's also true that investors continued to increase their position in cash. Overall, the total amount of cash in money-market funds hit a record-high $5.975 trillion last week.

That's a lot of "cash in the sidelines." It's so much that any market selloff may be muted. It indicates investors are far too pessimistic now. And should some of that cash start to move back to stock as interest rates drop, it could provide sufficient fuel to send markets far higher in the months ahead.

For now, market action this month has been subdued. And that's likely to stay the same. But once this cash starts getting put to work, markets will likely be back in rally mode.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 37,592.98 -0.31%
S&P 4,783.83 +0.08%
NASDAQ 14,972.76 +0.02%
*As of market close
Markets traded mixed on Friday, following the start of earnings season.
Oil rose 1 percent, closing the day at $72.77 per barrel.
Gold jumped 1.6 percent, ending trading at $2,051 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies generally sank, with bitcoin at $43,833 at the market close.

Today's TOP TIPS
Look For Growing Companies that Can Move Up
Investing in industry leaders tends to work well for investors over time. But in any industry, upstart companies may work to build themselves up into a leader over time. Finding those growth plays can lead to great investment opportunities.

That's true for sectors that have a low barrier for entry, and where a competitor has the ability to create some big differentiation. These companies can likely see years of growth as they compete to become the industry's largest.

» FULL STORY

Insider Activity Report: Agree Realty (ADC)
Richard Agree, Chairman of Agree Realty (ADC), recently bought 10,500 shares. The buy increased his stake by 2 percent, and came to a total cost of $656,985.

That's the first insider buy of the year. 2023 saw over two dozen insider buys, including a buy from Richard Agree valued at over $1.1 million. Company directors and executives alike picked up shares last year. And there were no insider sales.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Option Activity: Dollar Tree (DLTR)
Discount store chain Dollar Tree (DLTR) is down 6 percent over the past year, as the dollar store space has struggled with low margins. One trader sees further downside ahead.

That's based on the June 2024 $80 puts. With 157 days until expiration, 7,603 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 124, for a 61-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the puts paid $0.40 to make the bearish bet.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
Mortgage Rates Rise for Second Week

Mortgage rates rose for the second week in a row, hitting 6.66 percent for a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage, a rise from 6.62 percent the following week. One year ago, mortgage rates stood at 6.33 percent. So far, mortgage rates are making smaller moves than at the end of 2023, and remain well under their recent high of 7.79 percent.
Deficit Hits $129.4 Billion in December

The federal deficit hit $129.4 billion in December, and totaled just under $510 billion in the final quarter of 2023. The period is also the first fiscal quarter of 2024 for the government. The deficit has continued to rise, even after promises for a drop by the Biden Administration through such measures as the Inflation Reduction Act.
Chesapeake and Southwestern to Merge

Oil giants Chesapeake Energy (CHK) and Southwestern Energy (SWN) are planning to merge in an all-stock transaction. The deal would create a $7.4 billion entity, and one of the largest natural gas producers in the Untied States, better able to economize from exporting liquefied natural gas.
Netflix Hits 23 Million Users on Ad-Tier

Streaming platform Netflix (NFLX) reports that they have hit 23 million monthly active users for their ad-based plan. The ad-supported level offers users a less expensive way to enjoy streaming content, while users can pay more monthly for an ad-free experience.
Pixar to See Layoffs this Year

Animation studio Pixar, owned by The Walt Disney Company (DIS) is expected undergo layoffs in the coming months. The exact number isn't known yet, with some expecting layoffs as high as 20 percent. The layoffs are expected to occur later in the year as the studio focuses on creating less content.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
MELI 4.066%
CTSH 4.02%
BK 3.878%
PEAK 2.743%
EPAM 2.743%
BOTTOM
UAL 10.458%
AAL 9.458%
DAL 9.027%
BIDU 6.742%
WHR 5.297%

Quote of the Day
Only the people who thought it was a super weak economy are surprised… We're not in a deceleration mode. ... This is a sign of an economy that's the best in the world. We have less inflation and more job growth.
- Jim Cramer, CNBC analyst and host, on Thursday's inflation data which, while slightly higher than expected, showed a robust economy and strong jobs market.

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