Thursday, January 25, 2024

Identity politics take center stage in San Francisco

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Jan 25, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO California Playbook

By Dustin Gardiner and Lara Korte

Presented by

Chime

David Lee and Phil Ting at a campaign rally.

Candidate David Lee appears with Assemblymember Phil Ting at a recent campaign rally. | Courtesy of David Lee

THE BUZZ: FIGHT FOR AAPI INFLUENCE — San Francisco was once a bastion of Asian American political power, but the community has seen a dramatic drop in its elected representation.

As recently as 2017, politicians of Asian descent occupied the mayor’s office, held both of the city’s Assembly seats and made up more than a third of the 11-member Board of Supervisors.

After this year’s election, it's possible that Asian Americans will hold just one seat on the board and neither of the state Assembly offices.

Frustration over that loss of power has turned a sleepy race for state Assembly into a lively debate over the state of identity politics in San Francisco — home to the oldest Chinatown and the largest concentration of Chinese-speaking voters in the country.

AAPI representation has emerged as the central dividing line in the race to replace outgoing Assemblymember Phil Ting, a longtime Chinese American lawmaker who is termed out after 12 years representing the city’s heavily-AAPI westside.

Until late last fall, Supervisor Catherine Stefani, a moderate Democrat, had been considered the only major contender in the Assembly District 19 race. But a group of Chinese leaders, led by Ting, huddled last fall to convince David Lee, an educator and perennial candidate, to enter the race weeks before the December filing deadline.

Ting said community leaders almost exclusively see the contest between the two Democrats as a question of AAPI representation, not necessarily ideology.

“It is disappointing to see a San Francisco where the elected representatives are becoming less diverse, not more diverse,” Ting said. “To see such a stark decrease in such a short time was very concerning for people.”

One likely factor: the loss of two community pillars, in short succession. Longtime Chinatown powerbroker Rose Pak died in 2016, followed by Mayor Ed Lee, who had a fatal heart attack in 2017, at the peak of his career.

Several AAPI supervisors termed out or retired. Some — like state Treasurer Fiona Ma and City Attorney David Chiu, both former legislators — went on to different offices; and Supervisor Gordon Mar lost reelection.

Chinese leaders said the community hasn’t built a deep bench of up-and-coming leaders to fill the void, and that AAPI voters have become disillusioned with the dysfunction and nastiness of San Francisco politics.

The Assembly contest comes as Asian voters have become increasingly frustrated about rising anti-AAPI hate, property crime and racial unrest. Long-running racial tensions were inflamed recently when a Chinese rapper released a diss track that slammed the city’s Black mayor, London Breed, saying she’d abandoned the AAPI community.

The city’s AAPI voters have generally shifted more to the political center, by San Francisco standards, in recent years. Chinese American voters were crucial in the successful recalls of progressive District Attorney Chesa Boudin and three school board members.

Some prominent AAPI politicians and groups are backing Stefani. In a statement, Stefani said she is “immensely proud of the support” she has from the Asian American community, including endorsements from Ma, Chiu and several Asian Democratic clubs.

Lee’s campaign said he raised more than $200,000 in the final two months of the year after jumping into the race — a show of force that could signal a tighter-than-expected contest.

He’s an unlikely candidate by his own admission. Lee has unsuccessfully run for supervisor three times and was previously rejected by many Chinese leaders.

Now, Lee said, those same power brokers are coming to his aid because he's their last hope to keep the seat. The adult population of the district is 43 percent AAPI, concentrated in historically middle-class neighborhoods like the Sunset and the Richmond.

“That’s the district,” Lee said. “We’re not Pacific Heights. We’re not the billionaires, which is who my opponent represents.”

GOOD MORNING. Happy Thursday. Thanks for waking up with Playbook.

Now you can text us at ‪916-562-0685‬‪ — save it as “CA Playbook” in your contacts now. Or drop us a line at lkorte@politico.com and dgardiner@politico.com, or on X — @DustinGardiner and @Lara_Korte

WHERE’S GAVIN? Out of state to stump for President Joe Biden in rural South Carolina. He will appear on MSNBC with host Alex Wagner tonight and Friday, 6 p.m. PST. Newsom will return to California on Friday, after stopping off in Nevada ahead of early voting there.

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California state Senator Mike McGuire, D-Healdsburg, right, talks to reporters after he was named to succeed President Pro Tempore Toni Atkins, left, as the new Senate Leader.

State Sen. Mike McGuire, D-Healdsburg, right, talks to reporters after he was named to succeed President Pro Tem Toni Atkins, left, last year. | Rich Pedroncelli/AP

CONTEST ALERT: SENATE GUESSING GAME — A major power shift is underway in the California Senate as longtime President Pro Tem Toni Atkins prepares to pass the gavel. Her replacement, incoming Pro Tem Mike McGuire, will be sworn in on Feb. 5.

The question on everyone’s mind: Who will McGuire name to key Senate leadership positions?

Make your predictions and compete against your fellow politicos (and the Playbook authors). Think of it as a far less sinister Game of Thrones or fantasy football for politics nerds.

We noticed some of you are really going for the win by filling out our bonus question with your full roster of predictions for Senate committee leaders.

Those with the most accurate guesses will receive a shout-out in California Playbook and an extra special swag bag, so be sure to leave your name and email with your prediction.

Happy guessing!

 

CALIFORNIA CLIMATE: Climate change isn’t just about the weather. It's also about how we do business and create new policies, especially in California. So, we have something cool for you: our California Climate newsletter. It's not just climate or science chat, it's your daily cheat sheet to understanding how the legislative landscape around climate change is shaking up industries across the Golden State. Cut through the jargon and get the latest developments in California as lawmakers and industry leaders adapt to the changing climate. Subscribe now.

 
 
CAMPAIGN YEAR

Assemblywoman Toni Atkins is congratulated by Assemblywoman Lorena Gonzalez after she was elected California Assembly Speaker at the Capitol.

Toni Atkins is congratulated after being elected Speaker of the California Assembly in 2014. | Rich Pedroncelli/AP

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK: TONI’S STORY — State Senate President Pro Tem Toni Atkins will today unveil the first ad of her campaign for governor in 2026. The two-minute spot emphasizes Atkins’ unlikely life story, rising from poverty in rural Virginia to be the first lesbian speaker of the California Assembly and the first female and LGBTQ person to lead the Senate.

“It sounds like something from Hollywood,” Atkins says in the ad. “Girl grows up in rural poverty. Mom worked in a garment factory; dad worked in the mines. No running water in the house. And in case that’s not enough, let’s throw in that she’s gay.”

Atkins announced her candidacy during a rally with hundreds of supporters in San Diego last week. Her ad emphasizes the potential for her to make history a third time, as the first female and LGBTQ governor.

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK: RESUME CHECK — The race for state Senate in the 35th District (South Los Angeles) is quickly becoming a bruising fight. Michelle Chambers, a former Compton councilmember, is pointing voters to the ethical record of her chief rival, former Rep. Laura Richardson.

In a statement Chambers’ campaign plans to release today, she points out that Richardson was fined $10,000 and reprimanded by her House colleagues in 2012, after the Ethics Committee found she coerced staffers to help with her campaign and run personal errands. The committee also found that she then attempted to obstruct the investigation into the allegations.

“Richardson’s record of corruption and unethical behavior should disqualify her,” Chambers’ campaign said. Richardson’s campaign consultant, Mike Trujillo, brushed off the criticism, saying, “It’s unfortunate that Councilwoman Chambers is stuck in the past.”

GETTING CRED — Palo Alto Councilmember Julie Lythcott-Haims is the only woman running to replace retiring Rep. Anna Eshoo — and she is making that fact central to her campaign. The first ad of Lythcott-Haims’ bid to represent California's 16th Congressional District aired last night, highlighting her resume and status as the lone woman in the race.

"Running for Congress against 10 men, I was told I should 'credential myself,'" she says before listing her past position as a Stanford University dean.

 

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ON THE AGENDA

Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at the International Union of Painters and Allied Trades District in Big Bend, Wisconsin.

Vice President Kamala Harris. | Morry Gash/AP

HARRIS HUDDLE — Legislative Democrats are greeting a VIP guest today: Vice President Kamala Harris is talking to lawmakers when she swings through Sacramento, rallying the Democratic faithful in her home state ahead of a fundraiser as the Biden administration rounds into reelection mode. Harris will be accompanied by Rep. Robert Garcia, who’s flying with her from LAX aboard Air Force Two. The two will return to Los Angeles tonight and attend a star-studded fundraiser.

The White House isn’t releasing many details, but we’ll be tracking the VP’s visit. Hearing anything about her Sacramento swing? Drop us a line.

 

EXCITING EVENT OPPORTUNITY: The USC Dornsife Center for the Political Future, in collaboration with POLITICO and Unite America, hosts the Warschaw Conference on Practical Politics on January 30, 2024 at USC. Top experts from politics, government, media and academia will explore the upcoming election season as part of the following conversations: PRIMARY COLORS: Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Beyond, NOVEMBER SHOWDOWN: Battle for the Presidency, TRUTH DECAY: Misinformation and Disinformation in Elections, RANKING REFORMS: The Cure for the Ills of Democracy Is More Democracy. Register to attend in person or virtually.

 
 
TOP TALKERS

A looming budget shortfall has forced Los Angeles leaders to reevaluate their plans to fill numerous vacant city jobs. (Los Angeles Times)

— LAPD reported a steep drop in homicides and non-fatal shootings in 2023. (Los Angeles Times)

Waymo, the self-driving taxi firm, is looking to expand to Los Angeles and 22 Bay Area cities despite San Francisco’s efforts to halt its growth. (San Francisco Chronicle)

PLAYBOOKERS

BIRTHDAYS — Aidan McDonald of Sen. Alex Padilla’s (D-Calif.) office

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CALIFORNIA POLICY IS ALWAYS CHANGING: Know your next move. From Sacramento to Silicon Valley, POLITICO California Pro provides policy professionals with the in-depth reporting and tools they need to get ahead of policy trends and political developments shaping the Golden State. To learn more about the exclusive insight and analysis this subscriber-only service offers, click here.

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