Thursday, December 28, 2023

๐ŸŒˆThe Two Strategies That Beat Hedge Funds Should Work in 2024

Good morning. One of Wall Street's worst-kept secrets is that hedge funds mostly underperform...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. One of Wall Street's worst-kept secrets is that hedge funds mostly underperform investing in a market index. Picking stocks is no easy business. And hedge funds often make mistakes with leveraged positions. Only a handful of funds have consistently outperformed the market.

But there are some strategies that can beat hedge funds. Most retail investors with a company 401(k) plan can easily do that. For investors who want to beat hedge funds and actively trade, the past two years has been great for the "buy the dip" strategy. Every time the market drops over 5 percent, adding to stocks has proven profitable.

While that trend doesn't always work – the first half of 2022 and early 2020 saw losses at first – it's a strategy that can work with the right stocks provided they're selling off for the right reasons. Traders and investors alike will have opportunities for both in the coming year.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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We're on the cusp of a new year—a time notorious for wild market swings and game-changing opportunities.

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As December draws to a close, remember, there's only one week left in 2023 to steer your trading journey towards success.

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December's market volatility is both daunting and lucrative, and these strategies are your ticket to maneuver through it all.

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MARKETS
DOW 37,656,52 +0.30%
S&P 4,781.58 +0.14%
NASDAQ 15,099.18 +0.16%
*As of market close
Markets moved higher on Wednesday, continuing their recent uptrend.
Oil dipped 2.3 percent, closing at $73.85 per barrel.
Gold rallied 1.0 percent, ending trading at $2,090 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies generally rallied, with bitcoin at $43,391 at the stock market close.

Today's TOP TIPS
This Company May Enjoy a Seasonal Boost in the Coming Months
While the holiday season is over, the final data will take weeks to compile. Early information coming in indicates that consumers remained strong, and spending held up well.

That's good news for a number of companies, such as retailers. They have been laggards this year amid fears of a massive slowdown in consumer spending. Companies that supply retailers have also been underperforming, and may get a final boost in the months ahead as the final holiday sales data comes in.

» FULL STORY

Insider Activity Report: Dollar Tree (DLTR)
Mantle Ridge LP, a major holder of Dollar Tree (DLTR), recently added 738,862 shares. The buy increased the fund's position by 7 percent, and came to a total cost of $99,281,000.

This is the first insider buy since September, when a company director bought 1,650 shares, paying just under $174,000. DLTR shares are up about 30 percent since then. Company insiders have been mixed over the past two years, with buyers exceeding sellers.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: Cipher Mining (CIFR)
Bitcoin mining data center operator Cipher Mining (CIFR) has been on a tear this year, with shares up nearly 700 percent. One trader sees a pullback playing out in the months ahead.

That's based on the June 2024 $2.50 puts. With 176 days until expiration, 3,418 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 104, for a 33-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the puts paid $0.55 to make the bearish bet.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
10-Year Treasury Yield Continues to Drop

After touching the 5 percent level in October, 10-year U.S. Treasury yields have dropped in recent weeks. The 10-year recently fell under 4 percent to 3.87 percent. Treasury yields have moved inversely with the stock market this year, with rising yields occurring at times of market pressure, and vice versa.
Home Prices Rose in Final Quarter of 2023

Home prices continued higher in the final quarter of 2023, with the latest data for October showing a 0.6 percent increase from the month before, and a 4.8 percent annual increase. Homebuyers have largely had to pay up for new construction, as existing homeowners are reluctant to give up their current mortgages in exchange for paying over 7 percent to borrow right now.
EV Demand Waning

Electric vehicle sales are on track to grow nearly 50% for 2023, but the percentage change compared to prior years shows a plateau in recent months. That may be a sign that the demand for the overall market is slowing down, and that most buyers who want an EV now have one.
Intel to Build $25 Billion Factory in Israel

Chipmaker Intel (INTC) is planning to build a chipmaking factory in Israel. The cost is expected to come in at $25 billion, making it the largest investment in Israel's history. The factory has been proposed for some time, and first rumored in June. The expansion in Israel will improve Intel's global supply chains.
Apple Watch Sale Ban in U.S. Upheld

The Biden administration has declined to veto a ruling by the International Trade Commission (ITC), halting sales of the Apple Watch Series 9 and Ultra 2. The ruling came as the ITC found that Apple (AAPL) had infringed on patents by health tech company Masimo with those models.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
MRNA 3.093%
REGN 2.43%
KMX 2.389%
DISH 2.115%
UBER 2.084%
BOTTOM
NTES 5.109%
ALB 2.507%
M 1.747%
ABNB 1.584%
D 1.403%

Quote of the Day
I don't love the term, but if you were to describe what is happening it's definitely Goldilocks for the market. Inflation's coming down, the economy is still chugging along, and the hiking cycle's over. On all of these macro trends, the rally has been justified.
- Jan Szilagyi, CEO and co-founder of Toggle AI, on the trends that have driven the market higher over the past few weeks, and which may continue into the start of 2024.

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