Friday, August 4, 2023

Biden’s missing Latin America agenda

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Aug 04, 2023 View in browser
 
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By Gavin Bade

With additional reporting from Doug Palmer

President Joe Biden and first lady Jill Biden gesture during a welcome ceremony as part of the '2023 North American Leaders' Summit at Palacio Nacional on January 9 in Mexico City.

President Joe Biden and first lady Jill Biden gesture during a welcome ceremony as part of the '2023 North American Leaders' Summit at Palacio Nacional on January 9 in Mexico City. | Hector Vivas/Getty Images

TRADE TROUBLES — The Biden administration is promising a revamped approach to its long dormant Latin American trade agenda. But even its allies remain skeptical.

Biden’s diplomatic team has spent most of his first term trying to rebuild alliances in Europe and Asia stressed by former President Donald Trump’s brash nationalism. They have only recently started to turn their attention to Latin America, but lawmakers and corporate officials alike say those efforts are scant — and their patience is starting to wear thin.

“I struggle to see what this administration is doing in Latin America that has any heft to it,” Sen. Tim Kaine (D. Va.) said.

Kaine’s comments came during a contentious Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing last month, where he and other lawmakers grilled representatives from the State and Treasury Departments on why the administration has been, in their words, ignoring Latin America.

“I am so embarrassed because when I meet these heads of state,” said Committee Chair Bob Menendez (D-N.J.), “I can’t tell them that they’re wrong” when they criticize the U.S. agenda for the hemisphere.

The administration says it has a plan. Last year it announced the Americas Partnership for Economic Prosperity — a broad forum for discussing supply chains, sustainability, anti-corruption and other economic issues. State Department Under Secretary Jose Fernandez said focusing on those issues will help U.S. trading partners more than the traditional model of trade agreements focused on cutting tariffs and expanding market access.

“Tariffs [are] not what’s keeping Latin America from growing. If tariffs were all that it took, this wouldn’t be an issue,” he told lawmakers. “It’s about corruption, lack of transparency, lack of infrastructure, health frameworks that don’t work, government instability — those are the things we’re trying to look at in APEP.

But critics say APEP today is little more than those initial talking points, with firms frustrated with the lack of any opportunity to file comments with the U.S. government outlining their hopes for the proposed agreement.

“We filed comments with Global Affairs Canada on APEP because the administration never asked us,” Ed Brzytwa, vice president of international trade at the Consumer Technology Association, told POLITICO.

There was talk of the administration formally launching negotiations in late 2022 or early 2023, but “nothing really has happened,” added Beth Hughes, vice president for trade and customs policy at the American Apparel and Footwear Association.

“We hear more from, like, Costa Rica about it than we do from our own government,” Hughes said.

Biden’s team says they’re working on it. Administration officials in recent weeks have held high-level briefings with House and Senate trade lawmakers, saying they will soon have updates to the Latin American trade agenda, which Kaine acknowledged in the hearing.

“We’ve been told the administration is pivoting APEP to a revamped approach,” Kaine said at the hearing. “But we’ve gotten no information on the approach, no firm agreements have come out of APEP, no multilateral work on specific initiatives.”

If more progress isn’t made soon, even Biden’s allies like Kaine worry about the U.S. falling further behind China in the race for economic influence in Latin America and the Caribbean, where Beijing already has more than 20 member nations for its Belt and Road Initiative.

“If China’s offer is we’re not demanding reforms, just saying here is some money, here’s an investment, and our offer is [that] once we help you improve all these aspects of yourself we’re open to interaction … we will fall farther and farther behind,” Kaine said.

Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com. Or contact tonight’s author at gbade@politico.com or on Twitter at @GavinBade.

 

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What'd I Miss?

— Army chief retires as Tuberville hold snarls the Pentagon’s top ranks: For the first time in U.S. history, two of the eight seats on the Pentagon’s Joint Chiefs of Staff are filled by interim officers, thanks to Alabama Sen. Tommy Tuberville’s eight-month-long hold on military promotions. Today, outgoing Army Chief of Staff Gen. James McConville retired, handing the job of running the service to his No. 2, Gen. Randy George. And with that, the Army joined the Marine Corps as the second military branch to be without a uniformed leader who’s able to act with the full force of Senate confirmation, with no end in sight to the blockade.

— Government watchdog finds U.S. embassies running software vulnerable to attacks: The State Department is running outdated software at many of its embassies and missions — making them easy prey for hackers — and lacks the cybersecurity personnel to secure critical networks, according to a report from a government watchdog. The Government Accountability Office put together the report before news broke last month that Chinese hackers had hacked into the emails of high-level State Department officials. It highlights the fact that concerns about the State Department’s ability to protect its sensitive communications are long-running and deep.

Nightly Road to 2024

RULEBOOK SCRAP — In late June, California GOP Chair Jessica Millan Patterson and RNC committee members Harmeet Dhillon and Shawn Steel floated a new set of delegate selection rules that could make their state more competitive in the GOP nomination process.

Blindsided by the proposal — which would potentially allow lower finishers to claim more delegates than under the previous system — Trump’s aides and allies jumped into action and called state leaders to complain.

And after speaking to Trump’s concerned inner circle, House Speaker Kevin McCarthy and his home-state allies made phone calls to Patterson: This new setup wouldn’t do, they said; she needed to change the rules.

That is just one glimpse into the myriad ways Trump’s team has worked behind the scenes to ensure delegate selection rules play to their favor — or, in their rivals’ telling, to “rig” the system.

POLITICO’s Rachael Bade reports on the fight to figure out exactly how the delegate system will work — essential to the possible outcome of the Republican primary.

TAKE THIS SHOW ON THE ROAD — Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie made a surprise visit to Ukraine today to visit President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and reaffirm his support of the United States’ funding efforts for the country, reports POLITICO’s Kelly Garrity.

The trip marked Christie’s first time to Ukraine since Russia launched its invasion last year and made him the second GOP presidential candidate to visit the nation. Former Vice President Mike Pence visited in June.

On the trip today, Christie met with Zelenskyy and visited towns affected by the war, including the once-Russian-occupied city of Bucha, a Christie spokesperson confirmed to POLITICO.

Other Republican presidential candidates, including former President Donald Trump, say the United States should slow its financial support to Ukraine. The United States has sent over $75 billion in humanitarian and military assistance to Ukraine since the start of the war.

CRIMSON TIDE — Former President Donald Trump has won the support of the entire Republican Alabama U.S. House delegation as well as five statewide elected officials, extending his commanding lead over his primary rivals in endorsements, reports POLITICO’s Alex Isenstadt.

Trump is set to make an appearance at the Alabama Republican Party dinner this evening in Montgomery. He has received the support of all six Alabama GOP House members: Robert Aderholt, Mike Rogers, Gary Palmer, Barry Moore and Dale Strong. He also has endorsements from Sen. Tommy Tuberville, Lt. Gov. Will Ainsworth and Agriculture Commissioner Rick Pate, and all three members of the Alabama Public Service Commission. The state’s junior senator, Katie Britt, has not yet endorsed in the race. Nor has the governor, Kay Ivey.

CRYPTO CANDIDACY — Miami Mayor and cryptocurrency enthusiast Francis Suarez — who already takes his salary in Bitcoin — is now accepting campaign donations for his 2024 bid in the form of cryptocurrency, reports POLITICO’s Kelly Garrity.

Suarez announced the new fundraising effort today during an interview with CoinDesk, an online news site covering bitcoin and digital currencies.

The longshot Republican hopeful has tied his political brand to crypto since he swept into office in 2017, promising to turn the Florida city into the “crypto capital.” Last year, he unveiled the “Miami bull” statue — a futuristic adaptation of the iconic Wall Street sculpture — to mark the start of the Bitcoin 2022 conference in Miami.

AROUND THE WORLD

Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny, left, and his associate Daniel Kholodny are seen at a TV screen as they appear in a video link provided by the Russian Federal Penitentiary Service during a hearing today.

Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny, left, and his associate Daniel Kholodny are seen at a TV screen as they appear in a video link provided by the Russian Federal Penitentiary Service during a hearing today. | Alexander Zemlianichenko/AP Photo

DISSIDENT BEHIND BARS — A Russian court today sentenced opposition leader and Kremlin critic Alexei Navalny to an additional 19 years in a maximum-security prison, finding him guilty on extremism charges in what critics have lambasted as a “sham trial,” writes Claudia Chiappa.

Navalny, who is already serving a nine-year prison term in a maximum-security facility in Melekhovo, 250 kilometers east of Moscow, now faces decades behind bars.

Prosecutors had requested a 20-year sentence for Navalny, who said on social media on Thursday before the verdict that he expected to receive a lengthy “Stalinist” sentence.

“When the figure is announced, please show solidarity with me and other political prisoners by thinking for a minute why such an exemplary huge term is necessary,” he wrote. “Its main purpose is to intimidate. You, not me.”

Although he has visibly lost weight, Navalny cut a relaxed figure, chatting to co-defendant Daniel Kholodny ahead of the hearing and appearing to crack jokes with the defense team while the verdict was being read out.

Prosecutors had also asked for Navalny to be transferred to a “special regime” penal colony, likely more isolated and with restricted access, a request that was granted by the court.

 

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Nightly Number

187,000

The number of jobs that U.S. employers added in July, fewer than the 200,000 expected but still a strong sign that the job market remains resilient in the face of higher interest rates. The unemployment rate dipped to 3.5 percent, as economists are increasingly expressing confidence that inflation fighters at the Federal Reserve can pull off a rare “soft landing’’ — raising interest rates just enough to rein in rising prices without tipping the world’s largest economy into recession.

RADAR SWEEP

STRONGER TOGETHER — Around the country, large corporations are buying up land and buildings, leading to complex arguments about rising prices, space, land use and gentrification. When families face displacement, they often have little recourse. But in Durango, Colorado, when a corporation with the reputation of hiking rents threatened to buy a mobile home park, 63 families banded together and — with the help of investment from the nonprofit Elevation Community Land Trust — made a successful offer on the property to form a housing co-operative. It’s a new potential form of collective action that can work, if there’s buy-in from the entire community. Kirbie Bennett and Jamie Wanzek report on the co-op and its implications for High Country News.

Parting Image

On this date in 1983: President Ronald Reagan poses with Mobutu Sese Kebo — the president of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, then known as Zaire — in the White House Rose Garden. Mobutu, a U.S. ally during the Cold War, became well known for embezzlement and corruption.

On this date in 1983: President Ronald Reagan poses with Mobutu Sese Kebo — the president of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, then known as Zaire — in the White House Rose Garden. Mobutu, a U.S. ally during the Cold War, became well known for embezzlement and corruption. | Charles Tasnadi/AP Photo

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