Tuesday, April 18, 2023

📊This Upcoming Data Could Lead to a Debt Ceiling Crisis Sooner than Expected

Good morning. It's tax day in America. So maybe it's not the best morning. But, the next few...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. It's tax day in America. So maybe it's not the best morning. But, the next few weeks will provide more data on the U.S. Treasury's coffers, as the bulk of taxes owed comes in and refunds head out. Usually, this data isn't that important.

However, right now the U.S. government is at its debt ceiling. And it's possible that the government could run out of money sooner than expected. With early estimates ranging from August to October for politicians to hit an agreement, that deadline may be shortened. That could lead to more market volatility, as could any final political agreement given the changes in government spending and even tax rates that could occur.

For now, traders should continue to play to current market conditions and use volatility to profit whether stocks move up or down.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 33,987.18 +0.30%
S&P 4,151.32 +0.33%
NASDAQ 12,157.72 +0.28%
*As of market close
Stocks closed higher on Monday, closing at highs of the day.
Oil dipped 1.9 percent, closing at $80.97 per barrel.
Gold dropped 0.4 percent, ending at $2,009 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies traded lower, with Bitcoin hitting $29,490 at the stock market close.

Today's TOP TIPS
Customers Are Slowing Spending, But Will Never Stop Entirely
Most economic activity is driven by consumer spending. That's why changes in consumer spending can cause stocks to rise or fall. Some areas can hold up well, particularly those consumer goods or services that offer reasonable quality at a reasonable price.

That's because a slowing economy will cause consumers to shift to lower-price options rather than stop spending entirely. That may not be good news for upscale brands or services, but for some companies, it may indicate higher share prices ahead.

» FULL STORY

Insider Trading Report: Acuity Brands Inc (AYI)
Laura O'Shaughnessy, a director at Acuity Brands Inc (AYI) recently added 632 shares. The buy increased her stake by 43 percent, and came to a total cost of just under $100,000.

The director was also the most recent buyer, with a 575 share pickup last July. Otherwise, there have been two insider sales at the company, one of which came from the exercise of a stock option.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: GXO Logistics (GXO)
E-commerce logistics firm GXO Logistics (GXO) has seen shares move in an uptrend over the past few months. One trader is betting that trend will play out over the next month.

That's based on the May $55 calls. With 31 days until expiration, 4,528 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 108, for a 41-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the calls paid $1.53 to make the bullish bet.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
Lagarde Confident U.S. Will Avoid a Debt Default

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated that she's confident that the U.S. will resolve its debt ceiling crisis. Currently, there is the potential for a debt default as early as this summer without a political agreement on spending and a new debt ceiling limit.
Homebuilder Sentiment Rises for April

Sentiment among homebuilders rose by 1 point for April, hitting a reading of 45. The sentiment index is based on a neutral reading at 50, so there's still slightly negative sentiment in the market. Currently, about one-third of housing inventory is new homes, well above the historical average of 10 percent.
Countries Look to Lessen Dependence on China

A number of countries, largely the United States and allies, are looking at ways to reduce their economic dependence on China. That includes limiting ties in some strategic sectors while preserving overall trade, investment, and diplomatic ties. The move comes following the shutdown of global supply chains during the pandemic, and China's close relationship with Russia.
Sega Looking to Buy Rovio for $775 Million

Japanese video game giant Sega has made an offer to buy Finnish game company Rovio in a deal valued at $775 million. Rovio is best known for the Angry Birds mobile game. Previously, Israeli-based Playtika had made a $810 million bid for Rovio that fell through last month.
SpaceX Scrubs Starship Test Launch

Privately-held SpaceX has scrubbed a test launch of its Starship space launch system on Monday, after engineers could not troubleshoot a pressurization issue in the rocket's booster. The test will be the first following the issuance of a vehicle operator license from the Federal Aviation Administration that is good for 5 years.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
ENPH  7.963%
MTB  6.917%
DLR 6.293%
FSLR 5.278%
WBD 4.971%
BOTTOM
STT 10.496%
MRNA 8.195%
BK 5.382%
KEYS 4.218%
MRO 3.206%

Quote of the Day
Retail sales came in weaker than expected, but a lot of the miss had to do with lower gas prices, which all things being equal is a slight positive for spending. Inflation has been coming down as gas prices have been coming down, but that can reverse in an instant, which would drive the headline numbers higher. What is more concerning is that core (which excludes food and gas prices) has been stubbornly high – and where we believe the risks to higher-rates-for-longer lie.
- Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Independent Advisor Alliance, on the possibility of inflation rates moving higher in the months ahead given how core inflation is holding up strong.

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The energy crisis doesn't look like it's going away anytime soon. But tech expert Adam O'Dell has found a little-known company that has developed new tech to access the largest energy source on Earth … a source that could produce 5X as much power as the largest oil field … in just one year. There's still time to get in early.

Click here for the full story.


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