Friday, March 17, 2023

🤐Why the Bank Run Appears Over… For Now

Good morning. The past week has proven volatile amid the two largest bank failures since 2008...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. The past week has proven volatile amid the two largest bank failures since 2008. However, swift action over the weekend by the FDIC, and moves by central bankers in Europe to shore up Credit Suisse (CS) are stemming the fear. So too is the potential for regional banks like First Republic Bank (FRC) to be acquired.

One can't help but notice that there's a clear group of winners here – the banks that have been dubbed "too big to fail." That could bode well for these companies in the coming quarters, as new customer deposits could lead to higher returns without those banks seeing higher risks.

Traders may want to look at owning those banks, with speculative traders looking at the regional players trading at the steepest discount to their book value as a way to potentially own shares of one of the mega-banks at a lower cost.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 32,246.55 +1.17%
S&P 3,960.28 +1.76%
NASDAQ 11,717.28 +2.48%
*As of market close
Markets jumped higher on Thursday, as banking giants moved to stabilize troubled regional banks.
Oil rose 0.8 percent, last going for $68.17 per barrel.
Gold dipped 0.4 percent, ending at $1,924 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies trended higher, with bitcoin at $25,026 at the stock market close.

Today's TOP TIPS
Stick With Strong, Accessible Brands in a Slowing Economy
Investors are more than willing to place trades outside their comfort zone in a bull market. But in a slowing economy, they tend to gravitate towards the tried and true. That explains the relative outperformance of value stocks in a flat or sideways market.

Investors do the same thing as consumers. They cut back on new products and services, and stick with what's tried and true. That's why there are so many brands out there – including those at a reasonable price.

» FULL STORY

Insider Trading Report: Charles Schwab (SCHW)
Walter Bettinger, CEO at Charles Schwab (SCHW), recently bought 50,000 shares. The buy increased his holdings by 8 percent, and came to a total cost of $2.965 million.

He was joined by a number of other company officers and directors. The company's CFO bought 5,000 shares, at a cost of just under $297,000. One director bought 10,000 shares, paying just under $568,000. The buys come just a few weeks after the last insider sales at the company.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: United Airlines Holdings (UAL)
Airliner United Airlines Holdings (UAL) has held up well over the past year, with a 12 percent gain amid the market's overall 10 percent drop. One trader sees that outperformance continuing in the months ahead.

That's based on the January 2025 $45 calls. With 672 days until expiration, 5,497 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 143, for a 38-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the calls paid $11.13 to make the bullish bet.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
European Central Bank Surprises with Rate Hikes

The European Central Bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points, or half a percent, yesterday. The bank cited the ongoing need to keep inflation in check as the major threat to the economy. Traders had speculated in recent days that the bank would slow or pause its rate hikes, as large institutions such as Credit Suisse (CS) were in need of liquidity support.
Students Move Towards Apprenticeship Programs

An increasing number of students are moving away from college and towards apprenticeship programs. That includes both blue-collar and white-collar jobs. Apprenticeship programs for white collar work may involve a two-year degree rather than a four-year one, which significantly lowers student loan debts and can even pay students as they go.
Retailers Prepare for a Recession

Retailers from big box stores to grocery chains are expecting the economy to continue to slow, based on statements from their most recent earnings report. The plan is to stock up on high frequency inventory, and to become more strategic about discounts in general, while also looking for ways to reward customers for their loyalty.
Apple Experimenting with AI Tool

Consumer tech giant Apple (AAPL) recently held an internal event focusing on AI and large language models. Many teams are working on creating a service that would be tied to its voice assistant, Siri. The move comes amid a surge of interest in AI, with other big tech companies working on their own version or in a partnership with services such as ChatGPT.
White House Tells ByteDance to Sell TikTok

The Biden administration is telling tech firm ByteDance to sell the U.S. arm of its social media platform TikTok, or face a potential ban. This comes as bipartisan legislation has been announced that would set new rules for foreign tech firms to cut down on data collection and spying in the U.S.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
FRC  12.484%
AMD  7.137%
ADBE  6.139%
INTC 6.019%
ANET 5.767%
BOTTOM
SEDG 6.408%
NWL 3.524%
BXP 3.313%
LUMN 3.282%
DISH 3.087%

Quote of the Day
We're seeing the bank turmoil that started in Silicon Valley, it's really spreading across the globe. the markets are realizing that you're seeing the banks are in trouble because a lot of their profitability models have been based on, for the most part, zero-interest rates.
- Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda, on the move lower in bank stocks, which has expanded internationally in recent days.

Sponsored Content
The Incredible Dividend Map... Where Stocks Yield 26% a Year
What's the highest-yielding stock you've ever owned? Did it pay you 8%... 10%... maybe even 12%?

Well, the stocks on this map blow that out of the water. Their dividends have risen so fast over the years that they're now yielding us an average of 26%.

You need to see this for yourself… because when you start getting paid 26% on your money, your financial problems pretty much evaporate.


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