Saturday, December 17, 2022

The Grinch Comes for the Markets

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Manward Financial Bulletin
 

The Grinch Comes for the Markets

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Amanda Heckman

Amanda Heckman
Editorial Director

The well-publicized Santa Claus rally has been the subject of much speculation over the past month.

Would Americans' holiday spending send the markets on a tear? Or would inflation worries and interest rates lead to more volatility?

The action this week suggests that investors won't catch a glimpse of the man in the red suit in these last few trading days of the year.

But Christmas isn't quite canceled. As we'll see, certain investors may still find presents under the tree...

First, a quick recap of this week's craziness.

It was the most wonderful time of the month...

On Tuesday, we got the inflation figures for November. The consumer price index rose just a hair over October's reading, coming in 0.1% higher. And year over year, it increased 7.1%. Those numbers narrowly beat estimates of 0.3% and 7.3%.

The markets were thrilled. The S&P 500 shot up close to 3% in early morning trading on Tuesday. Investors cheered the idea that inflation was slowing.

[Is Your Portfolio "Shock-Proof"? An ominous press conference is scheduled for early in the afternoon of March 22, 2023. Details Here.]

But then everyone's favorite unelected Grinch took the stage on Wednesday. The Fed raised interest rates another 50 basis points, as expected. And in a move that extinguished all the holiday cheer on Wall Street, Jay Powell insisted no pivot would be coming anytime soon.

More rate hikes are coming in 2023.

Humbug.

The markets dropped after the announcement... and remained in a bad mood Thursday.

The downturn this week was significant, but Manward subscribers were prepared...

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During Andy's latest monthly video call with Alpha Money Flow and Venture Fortunes subscribers - which coincided with Powell's speech - he showed viewers a crucial chart of the S&P 500 and its 125-day moving average.

If the S&P stayed above that average, he explained, we'd be in good shape for a Santa Claus rally... and we'd be able to ride his bullish sleigh into the new year.

But on Thursday, the S&P crossed under it... meaning a bearish trend will likely ring in the new year.

S&P 500 Crosses the Line

View larger image

This isn't all bad news. It simply means investors need to take a different approach... especially if they're still following textbook investing advice like the once-vaunted 60-40 portfolio.

This out-of-date strategy - which touts an unbalanced mix of stocks and bonds - has had a terrible year. One of its worst in history, in fact, as both stocks and bonds have fallen thanks to rising interest rates.

It's something we at Manward have been railing against for years.

This week's action only proves it further: The old way of investing is dead. More than a decade of record-low interest rates and free money has put it to bed forever.

As Andy told subscribers in our call on Wednesday, now's the time to use a direct, targeted approach to find the best companies in a variety of sectors.

No one sector is going to outperform right now. But plenty of solid, cash-rich companies will.

And with Andy and Alpesh as your guides... you won't have any trouble finding them.

Forget the Grinch. Manward will give you plenty of reasons to be merry in 2023.

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This Powerful Group Got It All Wrong... and We're Paying for It

 

No doubt our "leaders" in Washington would say that they act with the best of intentions. But those intentions come with huge costs, as Joel explains in his essay this week. What is born out of a desire to "help" quickly takes a wrong turn. When the government makes the rules, we lose so much more than our ability to choose. Keep reading...

Stock of the Week: This Iconic Company Is Off to the Races

 

When you see Alpesh's latest Stock of the Week, you may think he's gone crazy. It's nothing like the other stocks he's shown you. But it's got huge growth potential... despite the headwinds we're seeing in the economy and the markets. And it's ready to break out. Get all the details on the stock - including its ticker - in his latest video. Click here or on the image below to watch it.

Video - This Iconic Company Is Off to the Races
 

Parting Words

 

"If Santa should fail to call, bears may come to Broad and Wall." - Yale Hirsch, creator of the Stock Trader's Almanac

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Amanda Heckman | Editorial Director

Amanda Heckman is the editorial director of Manward Press. With unrivaled meticulousness, she has spent the past dozen or so years sharpening Andy's already razorlike wit... and has worked with numerous bestselling authors and award-winning financial gurus along the way.

 

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