| | | | |  | | By Ryan Lizza and Eugene Daniels | | | With help from Eli Okun and Garrett Ross
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We're keeping our eyes on the brewing Joe Manchin/Bernie Sanders faceoff regarding an energy permitting reform bill promised as part of the deal to pass the Inflation Reduction Act last month. | | | | |  | DRIVING THE DAY | | THE WEEK — Today: DONALD TRUMP faces 10 a.m. deadline to respond to DOJ's appeal of Judge AILEEN CANNON's special master order. JOE BIDEN travels to Boston for a speech on cancer policy. Senate returns for votes. … Tuesday: August consumer price index data released. White House hosts event celebrating passage of the Inflation Reduction Act. The House returns for votes. Primaries in Delaware, New Hampshire and Rhode Island. … Wednesday: Biden travels to Michigan for the Detroit Auto Show. Congressional Women's Softball Game … Saturday: The Bidens head to the U.K. for QUEEN ELIZABETH's funeral (which is next week). JUST POSTED — Andrew Rice and Olivia Nuzzi have a 12,000-word cover story for the new issue of New York Mag: "What the Right Found on Hunter's Laptop." The piece is the result of a six-month investigation into how 217 gigabytes of HUNTER BIDEN's alleged personal data entered the public domain. THE RUSSIAN RETREAT — CNN: In the last week, Ukraine has recaptured more territory "than Russian forces have captured in all their operations in Ukraine since April." … AP: "Ukraine keeps initiative, claims it reached Russian border" RED FLAG — "Yes, the Polling Warning Signs Are Flashing Again," by NYT's Nate Cohn: "Democrats are polling well in exactly the places where surveys missed most in 2020." HAPPENING TODAY — Biden will be at the JFK Library in Boston to deliver an address on his "Cancer Moonshot" initiative. In a preview of his remarks, the White House said Biden will announce RENEE WEGRZYN as the first director of the Advanced Research Projects Agency for Health, which Biden pushed to create earlier this year. He'll also create a new National Biotechnology and Biomanufacturing Initiative via executive order, aiming to ensure that biotechnologies for the fight against cancer are made in America. SENATE PREVIEW — We're keeping our eyes on three big things this week when senators return this afternoon: 1. The brewing Manchin-Sanders faceoff. Sen. JOE MANCHIN (D-W.Va.) was promised an energy permitting reform bill as part of the deal to pass the Inflation Reduction Act last month. Biden signed off on it. Majority Leader CHUCK SCHUMER said last week it will be attached to the bill to fund the government through mid-December. Key Democratic climate hawks, such as Hawaii Sen. BRIAN SCHATZ , have endorsed the plan. But nobody consulted BERNIE SANDERS (I-Vt.), who last week attacked "the so-called 'side-deal' that the fossil fuel industry is pushing to make it easier for them to pollute the environment and destroy the planet." The continuing resolution needs to pass by the end of the month. 2. The status of the marriage bill. Sens. TAMMY BALDWIN (D-Wis.), SUSAN COLLINS (R-Maine) and KYRSTEN SINEMA (D-Ariz.) are leading the negotiations. Schumer world will be looking for signs of Republican support — especially after Tuesday's GOP lunch, where it is sure to be discussed. Don't expect quick action this week. Per a Dem aide: "The earliest Schumer could file cloture on a marriage agreement would be the end of the week, when the Senate finishes processing the circuit court judges currently in the queue." 3. How will the White House handle the new Taiwan bill? On Wednesday, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee will mark up the Taiwan Policy Act, which its authors call a "comprehensive overhaul" of Taiwan policy that would increase military support and strengthen U.S. ties to the island. A recent delay in the markup gave the White House some time to shape the bill, which China sees as an affront to the One China policy. We will be looking to see how hawkish the final version is and how the White House and Schumer respond to it.
| | | | A message from PhRMA: According to new findings, insured Americans favor policy solutions that improve their ability to navigate and access their care while lowering their out-of-pocket costs – by tackling the barriers introduced by insurers and middlemen like PBMs. Read more. | | | HOUSE PREVIEW — The House is back Tuesday. A few things to watch: 1. Shutdown politics. It's that time of year again. There's little incentive for any congressional faction to mess around with a shutdown, but as the Manchin-Sanders drama makes clear, there will be some brinkmanship — and not just from the minority — before the CR clears. 2. Will a policing bill ever materialize? In a dear colleague letter to House colleagues outlining September priorities, Majority Leader STENY HOYER was noncommittal on holding a vote to boost police funding, something Dem frontliners have wanted for months: "The House will also be ready to consider legislation supporting law enforcement and addressing a rise in crime this legislative work period whenever work is completed on readying bills for the Floor." 3. Hoyer said House Dems will take up a trio of messaging, er, government reform bills meant to "prevent the kind of abuses of office and lack of transparency that were rampant under the previous administration and protect the nonpartisan, merit-based nature of our federal civil service": H.R. 2988, the Whistleblower Protection Improvement Act; H.R. 8326, the Ensuring a Fair and Accurate Census Act; and H.R. 302, the Preventing a Patronage System Act. STAT OF THE DAY — FiveThirtyEight: "60 Percent Of Americans Will Have An Election Denier On The Ballot This Fall" According to FiveThirtyEight's analysis, a majority of House Republicans in the next Congress are likely to be election deniers: "118 election deniers and eight election doubters have at least a 95 percent chance of winning." Good Monday morning. Thanks for reading Playbook. Drop us a line: Rachael Bade, Eugene Daniels, Ryan Lizza . THE PLAYBOOK BOOK CLUB Q&A — New York magazine reporter (and former POLITICO) GABRIEL DEBENEDETTI's new book, "The Long Alliance," comes out Tuesday. In it, he explores the complex and — as he puts it — "misunderstood relationship" between Biden and BARACK OBAMA. Debenedetti tells Eugene he decided to write the book after the 2020 election because the commentary was that "Biden would represent a third Obama term … and in fact, he thought about the world very differently than Obama. … Their relationship was not the simple 'best friendship' that the public narrative around it suggests. It is by far the closest relationship between a president and vice president — or a president and former president — that we have in modern times. But it's also really complicated." The 2016 election served as an inflection point. "They're as close as they're going to be [after eight years in office]. But it's also a very painful moment for both of them, as Obama essentially chooses HILLARY CLINTON," Debenedetti says. "[After they leave office,] they're not talking a ton. They do catch up occasionally, mostly about family things. They talk about how their kids and grandkids are doing, but it takes a long time for them to really get back into a regular rhythm. And that [happens in] the run-up to the 2020 election. But even then, it looks very little like it did at its highest points, because then you had Obama essentially trying to figure out how serious Biden was about running in 2020. He wasn't convinced it was a great idea, [but] he wasn't against it necessarily." What sticks with Debenedetti after writing the book: "One of the things that I think back on a lot is that [their relationship has] just fluctuated wildly over time. There are times when they look inseparable, and there are times when they're not talking at all."
| | | | A message from PhRMA: New research examines how insured Americans navigate unclear and unaffordable insurance coverage. | | | A sneak peek of two interesting tidbits from the book … — After Biden endorsed same-sex marriage before Obama, "a new coolness set in between some of Obama's loyalists and Biden's aides, some of them no longer getting invites to regular White House staff meetings. Even the VP himself noticed when, despite being under the impression that he was supposed to be a leading voice on the reelection campaign as an attack dog against [MITT] ROMNEY, his public schedule was cut back for a few weeks," Debenedetti writes. "From then on, he rarely brought any of this up with colleagues. But in private, in his innermost inner circle, he was still proud — no matter how uncomfortable he'd made Obama. Once some of the dust had settled, he and BEAU sat down in front of a TV and together rewatched the interview over and over, to marvel at what he'd done." — On election night in 2018, Biden talked to Romney, "who'd been easily elected to the Senate that night as a rare Trump-opposing Republican. They were warm as Biden cheered Romney's win. Then Obama's old rival got to the point: 'You have to run,' Romney said." Read an exclusive excerpt: "'You Believe This S--t?' Biden's Complicated Friendship With Obama"
| | BIDEN'S MONDAY:
— 9 a.m.: The president will receive the President's Daily Brief.
— 9:40 a.m.: Biden will leave the White House, arriving in Boston at 11:20 a.m.
— 12:45 p.m.: Biden will speak at Logan Airport about the bipartisan infrastructure law, leaving the airport at 1:30 p.m.
— 4 p.m.: Biden will deliver his "Cancer Moonshot" remarks at the John F. Kennedy Library and Museum.
— 6 p.m.: Biden will take part in a DNC reception.
— 7:10 p.m.: Biden will depart Boston, arriving back at the White House at 9:05 p.m.
Press secretary KARINE JEAN-PIERRE will gaggle on Air Force One on the way to Boston.
VP KAMALA HARRIS' MONDAY — The VP will meet with civil and reproductive rights leaders at 5 p.m. to talk about reproductive justice.
THE SENATE will meet at 3 p.m. It will hold confirmation and cloture votes, respectively, at 5:30 p.m. on SALVADOR MENDOZA JR.'s and ARIANNA FREEMAN's judicial nominations.
THE HOUSE is out.
BIDEN'S WEEK AHEAD:
— Tuesday: The president will host an event celebrating the Inflation Reduction Act, with Biden and Harris speaking.
— Wednesday: Biden will travel to the Detroit Auto Show to tout electric vehicles.
— Thursday: Biden will host the United We Stand Summit and deliver a keynote speech. He'll also go to the 45th Congressional Hispanic Caucus Institute Gala for Hispanic Heritage Month.
— Friday: Biden will hold a bilateral meeting with South African President CYRIL RAMAPHOSA.
— Saturday: The Bidens will head to the U.K. for the queen's funeral. | | | | | | THE U.K. HAS A NEW PRIME MINISTER. As a new face takes over leadership of the Conservative Party in the U.K, what does this mean for the future of British politics? Catch up on all U.K. politics news with POLITICO's daily London Playbook newsletter. SUBSCRIBE TODAY. | | | | | PHOTO OF THE DAY
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John Fetterman prepares to throw a t-shirt that states "FETTERWOMAN" to supporters during a rally in Blue Bell, Pa., on Sunday, September 11. | Mark Makela/Getty Images | | | PLAYBOOK READS | | ALL POLITICS PRIMARY COLORS — WaPo's Dave Weigel breaks down the three big GOP primaries in New Hampshire on Tuesday, which will replay some familiar intraparty debates over ideology and electability, though notably without Trump's intervention in any of them. Interesting detail: Gov. CHRIS SUNUNU — who has called Senate frontrunner DON BOLDUC a "conspiracy theorist type" and not "a serious candidate" — tells Weigel he'll endorse Bolduc nonetheless against Democratic Sen. MAGGIE HASSAN if he wins the primary. On the other side of the aisle, New Hampshire's Democratic incumbents are still putting daylight between themselves and Biden on various policies and statements (though not abortion), Axios' Josh Kraushaar adds from Dover. FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — The DSCC is announcing new investments in its "Defend the Majority" organizing/field program, adding another $16 million to bring the total funding to $46 million. They're partnering with state Democratic parties and coordinated campaigns to make the additional investment. MORE CAVALRY FOR MASTERS — Sentinel Action Fund, the new Heritage-linked super PAC, will spend $3.5 million on TV ads and $1.5 million on voter outreach to bolster Arizona GOP Senate nominee BLAKE MASTERS, Natalie Allison scoops. "[President JESSICA] ANDERSON said the super PAC, which launched this spring, had always intended to spend money in Arizona's Senate race, but they decided to jump in now after what Anderson called the recent 'dustup' surrounding GOP funding for the race." WHAT THIEL IS UP TO — At the National Conservatism Conference in Florida on Sunday, the billionaire praised Gov. RON DeSANTIS as "probably the best of the governors in terms of offering a real alternative to California," per Insider's Kimberly Leonard, though voiced concerns about housing prices in Florida as a liability for the GOP. Thiel urged Republicans to offer the country a more positive message to voters instead of just "nihilistic negation" bashing Democrats. ROCKIN' THE SUBURBS — After the Philly Inquirer's Jonathan Tamari and Julia Terruso reported last week that MEHMET OZ is trying to "pivot to the suburbs that have abandoned the GOP," a flurry of national coverage now looks at the suburban Pennsylvania battleground. — Oz's approach: focusing on crime and steering away from the hardest-line anti-abortion positions, Josh Kraushaar reports. Notably, the Chamber of Commerce gave $3 million to the Senate Leadership Fund to bolster Oz. — JOHN FETTERMAN's approach: "'Don't piss women off': Fetterman makes abortion rights push in Philadelphia suburbs," by CNN's Gregory Krieg — Fetterman health update, via the Philly Inquirer's Julia Terruso : "Fetterman, who is dealing with auditory processing issues after his May 13 stroke, spoke for about 10 minutes. He stumbled over very few words compared with previous speeches. He did not take any questions from the media." NOT UP FOR DEBATE — Arizona Democratic gubernatorial nominee KATIE HOBBS won't appear for a debate with Republican KARI LAKE next month, her campaign said Sunday. More from the Arizona Republic CONGRESS McCARTHY ASCENDANT — Many potential threats to House Minority Leader KEVIN McCARTHY's speakership bid have been taken down in GOP primaries this year, thanks to outside groups aligned with McCarthy jumping in with spending. The New Hampshire primaries are the last test, Ally Mutnick and Olivia Beavers report from Henniker . "As the primary season ends on Tuesday, only a handful of Republican nominees in safe seats and battlegrounds have said they will oppose a McCarthy run for speaker, carving a clearer path for him to seize the gavel next Congress — even if the GOP's potential majority is smaller than it once seemed it could be." GOP House hopeful BOB BURNS on McCarthy: "He's dead to me at this point. I'm not going to support him … And quite frankly if it boils down to it, I may run against him." JAN. 6 AND ITS AFTERMATH COMING THIS FALL — "16 weeks left for a heap of questions: Jan. 6 panel weighs its endgame," by Nick Wu and Kyle Cheney: "Should they seek Donald Trump's testimony? What should they do with Republican lawmakers who defied subpoenas? Will they be able to negotiate an interview with MIKE PENCE? Members of the Jan. 6 select committee are confronting a momentous to-do list, including some of their most precedent-setting decisions. … "[L]awmakers are still deciding when to release a comprehensive final report, as well as hundreds of witness transcripts … The panel is expected to soon announce additional public hearings, finalize efforts to obtain the testimony of two crucial Secret Service witnesses and issue legislative recommendations designed to prevent future attempted disruptions to the transfer of power." COMING NEXT YEAR (POSSIBLY) — If Republicans retake the House, their Jan. 6 investigation will likely pivot sharply in focus, emphasizing security lapses, the Capitol Police and the Capitol Police Board, Jordain Carney reports this morning. There would be precious little Trump talk. Particularly "central to the party's 2023 plans is a report, slated for release later this year by a group of Republicans led by Rep. JIM BANKS (R-Ind.) … that urges changes to the management and structure of Capitol security."
| | | | A message from PhRMA:   New research examines how insured Americans navigate unclear and unaffordable insurance coverage. | | | POLICY CORNER STORY OF THE DAY — Child poverty plunged 59% from 1993 to 2019, with rates falling in every state and roughly evenly across racial lines, NYT's Jason DeParle reports in a staggering deep dive into one of the most consequential and under-covered developments in American life. DeParle and researchers from Child Trends found that the share of children living in poverty fell from 28% to 11%. "Its magnitude is unequaled in the history of poverty measurement," co-author DANA THOMSON says. They cite a number of contributing factors — but none more important than a significant expansion of government aid through safety net programs. "Starting in the 1990s, tough welfare laws shrank cash aid to parents without jobs. But other subsidies grew, especially for working families, and total federal spending on low-income children roughly doubled," DeParle writes. "'The federal government declared war on poverty, and poverty won,' President RONALD REAGAN said a generation ago. With child poverty at a record low, that narrative of defeat appears obsolete." THE WHITE HOUSE FUNERAL ARRANGEMENTS — The U.K. is asking foreign leaders coming to QUEEN ELIZABETH II's funeral to travel on commercial planes and take buses together from London to the funeral, Cristina Gallardo reports from London. "'Can you imagine Joe Biden on the bus?' one foreign ambassador based in London complained via WhatsApp message early Sunday." The Bidens look set to be the only American leaders invited, given space constraints. Biden and other foreign leaders will be hosted by KING CHARLES III at a Buckingham Palace reception the evening before. WAR IN UKRAINE THE VIEW FROM 1600 PENN — Worries are rising at the White House that the growing energy crisis in Europe could damage the American economy and strain transatlantic relations, especially if Russian President VLADIMIR PUTIN inflicts more pain on Europe, WaPo's Jeff Stein reports. White House officials are examining the possibility of increasing liquefied natural gas exports to Europe. Aides "are worried that the [American inflation] situation could get worse again quickly if Putin cuts off oil and gas shipments." JUDICIARY SQUARE THE LEONARD LEO EFFECT — It's not just Cannon: Trump-appointed judges across the country have recently issued a bevy of "controversial decisions … that have been criticized as out of step with longstanding legal principles," Josh Gerstein and Kyle Cheney report . Trump appointed an outsize number of judges. And on everything from immigration to the Voting Rights Act, "envelope-pushing rulings have fueled questions about whether Trump's judicial picks are more conservative or more partisan than those of previous Republican presidents and whether decades of unorthodox decrees from those judicial picks lie ahead."
| | | | SUBSCRIBE TO POWER SWITCH: The energy landscape is profoundly transforming. Power Switch is a daily newsletter that unlocks the most important stories driving the energy sector and the political forces shaping critical decisions about your energy future, from production to storage, distribution to consumption. Don't miss out on Power Switch, your guide to the politics of energy transformation in America and around the world. SUBSCRIBE TODAY. | | | | | | | PLAYBOOKERS | | George W. Bush delivered the ball for the first pitch at the Texas Rangers game commemorating the anniversary of 9/11. Huma Abedin, Anna Wintour, Jerry Seinfeld and Jon Bon Jovi all took in the U.S. Open final just a few seats apart. Amy Klobuchar ran into some constituents at a D.C. sports bar while watching the Vikings beat the Packers. Robert Costa went to the Pearl Jam concert at Madison Square Garden. MEDIA MOVES — Matt Shuham will be a misinformation reporter at HuffPost. He currently is an extremism reporter at Talking Points Memo. … Lindsay Wigo is starting at Townhall as production manager. She most recently was senior creative producer at the RNC. TRANSITIONS — Jonathan "Johnny" Chavkin is now executive speechwriter and SVP in Prosek Partners' D.C. office. He most recently was speechwriter for the CIA director and deputy director, and is a State Department alum. … Aoife McCarthy is now an SVP of SKDK's public affairs practice. She most recently led federal policy comms at Instacart. … Rosanna Maietta is joining the American Clean Power Association as chief comms officer and senior counselor to the CEO. She most recently was EVP of comms and public relations at the American Hotel and Lodging Association (AHLA). WEEKEND WEDDINGS — Steve Feder, director of trips and advance and chief of protocol at DHS, and Justin Wheeler, associate brand manager at Johnson & Johnson, got married Saturday in Philadelphia. They met in 2013 while living in NYC. Pic … Another pic — Alex Marquardt, senior national security correspondent for CNN, and Amanda McClements, owner and founder of Salt & Sundry, got married Friday in Mallorca, Spain, at the Marquardt family's home. Guests had dinner and danced in the middle of a field of olive trees under the harvest moon. Pic … Another pic … SPOTTED: Cecilia Vega, Ayman Mohyeldin, Maria Abi-Habib and Bryan Denton, Julia Ioffe, Leila Fadel, Abby Hauslohner and Ryan Lucas, Lauren Pratapas and John Legittino, Evan Hill, David Greene and Rose Previte, Betsy Korona and Lee Ferran. WELCOME TO THE WORLD — Kara Carscaden, SVP of global public affairs for the Estee Lauder Companies and an Obama campaign alum, and Scott Mulhauser, partner and head of public affairs at Bully Pulpit Interactive and a Biden and Obama administration alum, welcomed Lila Robin Mulhauser on Aug. 30. Instapic HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Rep. Trey Hollingsworth (R-Ind.) … Max Boot … The Daily Beast's Matt Lewis … Fox News' Andrea DeVito … POLITICO's Ben Schreckinger, Walt Houseknecht and Derek Robertson … NBC's Tom Costello … Greg Wetstone … Sam Brownback … Jason Stverak of Sen. Kevin Cramer's (R-N.D.) office … Prism Group's John Stanford … Maria Roumel … Desiree Sayle … Emily Lampkin … Melissa Schulman … Liz Wroe of Leavitt Partners … Kimberly Breier … Brett Thompson ... VOA's John Lippman ... Kelsi Browning … Venable's Alex Botting ... Ed Moy, former director of the U.S. Mint … former Sen. Scott Brown (R-Mass.) … former Reps. Henry Waxman (D-Calif.) and Ben Chandler (D-Ky.) ... James Faeh … Pam Stevens ... Zack Pohl of Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's office … AP's Ashraf Khalil … Jill Alper Did someone forward this email to you? Sign up here. Send Playbookers tips to playbook@politico.com or text us at 202-556-3307. Playbook couldn't happen without our editor Mike DeBonis, deputy editor Zack Stanton and producers Setota Hailemariam and Bethany Irvine.
| | | | A message from PhRMA: According to new data, insured Americans are struggling to navigate their health care coverage, particularly the insurer- and PBM-imposed barriers and cost sharing practices that stand between them and their medicines:
· 39% of insured Americans say they don't understand what's covered by their insurance.
· Even with insurance, 15% report they would be unable to afford health care if they were to become seriously ill because of high out-of-pocket costs.
Americans want policy reforms that improve their insurance by providing more predictability and transparency in what is covered and lowering what they pay out of pocket. Read more in PhRMA's latest Patient Experience Survey. | | | | | | | Follow us on Twitter | | | | Subscribe to the POLITICO Playbook family Playbook | Playbook PM | California Playbook | Florida Playbook | Illinois Playbook | Massachusetts Playbook | New Jersey Playbook | New York Playbook | Ottawa Playbook | Brussels Playbook | London Playbook View all our political and policy newsletters | | Follow us | | | | |
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