Wednesday, February 16, 2022

Consistency Pays for This 8.4% Yielder

Shield

AN OXFORD CLUB PUBLICATION

Wealthy Retirement

View in browser

SPONSORED

"Poised to make a killing over the next decade." - Fortune

3 Coin Trees
 

If you missed the early stages of Bitcoin... cannabis stocks... and electric vehicles... you're in luck.

Fortune reports that one elite class of stocks is at the beginning of a new bull market.

Are you ready for it?

Click here to see how to get in on potentially the last megatrend of our lifetimes.

An 8.4% Yielder With a Steady Dividend Safety Rating

Marc Lichtenfeld, Chief Income Strategist, The Oxford Club

Marc Lichtenfeld

Last May, I looked at MPLX (NYSE: MPLX), an oil and gas refining master limited partnership (MLP) formed by Marathon Petroleum (NYSE: MPC).

At the time, it received a "B" rating for dividend safety. The only concern was that cash available for distribution (CAD), the measure of cash flow that we use for MLPs, was expected to dip to $4.1 billion from $4.3 billion the prior year.

It turns out that MPLX actually grew cash flow in 2021 to $4.8 billion, the highest it's been in years. Keeping costs low was a key part of driving the number higher.

This year, however, cash available for distribution is forecast to dip sharply, all the way to $3.2 billion. That's a substantial 34% haircut from last year's figure. Though, keep in mind that Wall Street analysts underestimated MPLX's 2021 cash flow by $660 million in May.

Regardless, we'll assume the analysts will at least get the direction of cash flow correct this time and that the number will be lower than 2021's total.

SPONSORED

WTF over Money
 

One trade, every week.

This former CBOE trader has an 83% win rate.

And now he's offering a guarantee he'll beat that.

What the f&*k?!

You gotta watch this!

Even if they're right and cash flow falls all the way down to $3.2 billion, MPLX will still be able to pay the projected $2.9 billion in distributions.

MPLX has an impressive distribution history, having raised the distribution every year since 2013.

MPLX's Distribution Is on the Rise
 

Once 2022 is over, if the distribution is in fact higher than 2021's, that will make it 10 years in a row that MPLX has raised the distribution. MPLX will be eligible for an upgrade, even if cash flow is lower. When a company has boosted the dividend for 10 years straight, it is given a bonus point by Safety Net because it has demonstrated that the dividend is important to it and that it will strive to protect it.

The current $0.705 quarterly distribution generates an 8.4% yield.

Investors should keep an eye on the company's cash flow. If it falls this year as projected and then continues to decline, management may face some hard decisions down the road. But for the next 12 months, the distribution should be safe.

Dividend Safety Rating: B

Dividend Grade Guide
 

If you have a stock whose dividend safety you'd like analyzed, leave the ticker symbol in the comments section.

You can also check to see whether we've written about your favorite stock recently. Just click on the magnifying glass in the upper right corner of the Wealthy Retirement homepage and type in the company name in the box.

Good investing,

Marc

Leave a Comment

SPONSORED

5G Triggers Buying Frenzy!

Some of the world's richest men (identities revealed here) have invested $49.7 billion in 5G.

These men have built their fortunes on their ability to profit from emerging trends.

Here's how you can ride their coattails...

No comments:

Post a Comment

Are You Making This Mistake When Trading Each Month?

Monument Traders Alliance Alerts ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌...