Thursday, November 18, 2021

🤫 Scoop: GOP donor revolt

Plus: India's free pass | Thursday, November 18, 2021
 
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Axios Sneak Peek
By the Axios Politics team ·Nov 18, 2021

Welcome back to Sneak. You can't overstate the motivating force of an impending recess.

Situational awareness: The House is on track to pass Democrats' landmark social spending bill as soon as tonight, after the Congressional Budget Office largely affirmed lawmakers' expectations of its cost.

Smart Brevity™ count: 934 words ... 3.5 minutes. Edited by Glen Johnson.

 
 
1 big thing: Scoop - GOP donors "furious" with McConnell, others
Sen. Rick Scott is seen delivering a speech.

Sen. Rick Scott addresses the Republican Jewish Coalition in Las Vegas on Nov. 5 — the day the House passed the bipartisan infrastructure bill. Photo: Bridget Bennett/Bloomberg via Getty Images

 

Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) told his colleagues this week top party donors were "furious" with the number of Republicans — including Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell — who voted for the bipartisan infrastructure bill, two sources familiar with his remarks tell Axios' Alayna Treene.

Why it matters: Scott chairs the National Republican Senatorial Committee, which relies on donors to help it elect candidates — and re-elect incumbents. The criticism highlighted how toxic the vote has become for the 19 Senate and 13 House Republicans who joined with Democrats to pass the bill.

  • McConnell is already being lambasted by former President Trump for his vote.
  • The donors complained to Scott it was foolish for any member of their party to help deliver a win to President Biden.
  • Scott was at a donor retreat this month when the House passed the $1.2 trillion measure, allowing Biden to sign it into law. He relayed the donors' reaction during the Senate Republicans' closed-door conference lunch Tuesday, the sources said.

What we're hearing: Scott delivered the news while giving a presentation regarding the latest internal polling from the NRSC.

  • He added that some donors had also been paying attention to Trump's statements, one of the sources said, which have included the former president calling the Republicans "RINOs" who "should be ashamed of themselves."
  • Scott's remarks landed a bit awkward, the second source told Axios, given many in the room not only voted for the infrastructure package but helped craft it.

Keep reading.

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2. India's free pass
President Biden is seen hosting India Prime Minister Narenda Modi in the Oval Office.

President Biden meets with India Prime Minister Narendra Modi in September. Photo: Sarahbeth Maney-Pool/Getty Images

 

The State Department has bypassed a recommendation from an independent government commission to name India to its "red list" of countries engaged in "systematic, ongoing and egregious" violations of religious freedom — for the second consecutive year.

Why it matters: The omission is the latest example of leniency applied to India by the administration and U.S. lawmakers, Axios' Zachary Basu writes. Strengthening ties with the world's largest democracy has featured prominently in both the Trump and Biden administrations' strategy for countering China.

  • Officials in New Delhi now regard China as their biggest security threat, aligning with U.S. concerns about Beijing's intent around the world.
  • Former President Trump had no qualms about embracing Prime Minister Narendra Modi, a Hindu nationalist. He once was banned from entering the U.S. over "severe violations of religious freedom" during his time as governor of the state of Gujarat.
  • For Biden, who's pledged to place human rights at the "center" of his foreign policy, the issue is far more delicate.

Zoom out: The next test of Modi's free pass will be whether India is sanctioned for acquiring Russia's S-400 air defense system. That move is required under the Countering America's Adversaries Through Sanctions Act (CAATSA).

  • Turkey was sanctioned in 2020 for the same purchase, but unlike India, Turkey is a NATO ally. Its use of Russian military equipment could lead to U.S. security concerns, since the Russians could gain insight into U.S. defense capabilities.

Senators from both parties, including Sens. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Mark Warner (D-Va.), have called on Biden to issue a sanctions waiver for India.

  • A State Department spokesman said: "We have not made a determination on a potential waiver with respect to Indian arms transactions with Russia.  CAATSA does not have a blanket or country-specific waiver provision."
  • "We, of course, urge all of our allies and partners to forgo transactions with Russia that risk triggering sanctions under the CAATSA."

Keep reading.

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3. Charted: Dem Air Force
Data: Kantar/CMAG; Chart: Thomas Oide/Axios

Democrats and progressive groups are trouncing Republicans and corporate America on Senate ads surrounding the president's Build Back Better agenda, according to data from Kantar/CMAG reviewed by Axios' Hans Nichols.

Why it matters: With the fate of the president's $1.75 trillion social spending and climate plan resting in the Senate, outside groups have flooded the airwaves to build — or undermine — political support for the package.

By the numbers: Democrats and affiliated groups have spent $54 million on cable, broadcast and radio ads since August.

  • This month, they've booked some $9 million.
  • By comparison, Republican and conservative groups have reserved some $15 million since August.
  • They're set to spend only $1 million this month.
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4. Ohio Republicans' super PAC two-step
An illustration shows an elephant climbing increasingly high stacks of pennies.

Illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios

 

Republican candidates in one of the nation's most hotly contested Senate races are pushing the bounds of high-dollar politicking, an examination by Axios' Lachlan Markay shows.

Why it matters: Anti-corruption rules bar candidates from coordinating with supportive super PACs. In Ohio's GOP Senate primary, huge amounts of money are pouring in, and operatives are finding creative ways to leverage it without breaking federal law.

What's happening: The latest ostensibly independent group to enter the fray, a super PAC called Ohio Leads, is backing former state GOP chair Jane Timken, and it has some notable ties to a major Timken campaign fundraiser.

  • It was officially formed in September, and this week reported spending more than $220,000 on pro-Timken digital ads.
  • In advertising disclosures on Facebook, the group lists a phone number associated with a Republican operative who advises the Ricketts family, which includes some of the GOP's top donors.
  • Late last month — after Ohio Leads was formed but before it began running ads — the Timken campaign held a fundraiser at the Ricketts residence, according to an invitation obtained by Axios.
  • Two sources familiar with the event told Axios it was organized by Sylvie Légère, the wife of then-Republican National Committee finance chair Todd Ricketts, who did not attend the event to avoid the appearance of favoritism in his RNC position.

Keep reading.

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5. Pic du jour
Two turkeys are seen in the Willard Hotel ahead of their traditional pre-Thanksgiving pardoning by the president.

Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

 

"Peanut Butter" and "Jelly" make their own plans at the Willard Hotel on the eve of the traditional pre-Thanksgiving pardoning by the president.

  • The two turkeys are from Jasper, Indiana.
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📬 Thanks for reading. We'll be back Sunday evening. A reminder your family, friends and colleagues can subscribe to Sneak or any of Axios' other free local and national newsletters through this link.

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