Tuesday, September 28, 2021

⚡Axios AM: Unpunished crime

Charted: TikTok 1 billion | Tuesday, September 28, 2021
 
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Axios AM
By Mike Allen ·Sep 28, 2021

Good Tuesday morning. Smart Brevity™ count: 1,175 words ... 4½ minutes. Edited by Zachary Basu.

🔮 Join Axios' Bryan Walsh tomorrow at 12:30 p.m. ET for a virtual event on AI's Industrial Revolution. Guests include Pittsburgh Mayor William Peduto and Intel #SmartCities expert Sameer Sharma. Sign up here.

 
 
1 big thing: Unpunished crime

Illustration: Megan Robinson/Axios

 

The pandemic slowed the criminal justice system to a crawl in much of the U.S.

  • Now an increase in violent crime is straining the system even further, Axios' Russell Contreras writes.

Why it matters: COVID caused backlogs in criminal cases to swell, forcing district attorneys to focus on the most violent offenses — and decline, delay or deal down a slew of other cases.

  • "The older a case gets, the tougher it gets to prove in a lot of cases," said Billy West, president of the National District Attorneys Association and D.A. for Cumberland County, N.C.

What's happening: Prosecutors in Chicago are pleading out or dismissing cases to help shrink courts' backlog.

  • In Oakland, prosecutors dismissed old cases amid an uptick in violent crime, Alameda County D.A. Nancy O'Malley announced.
  • New Mexico Auditor Brian Colón, who's running for state attorney general in 2022, tells Axios that some experts believe the backlog actually contributed to recent jumps in crime in urban areas.

Case in point: In Charlotte, Spencer Merriweather, the D.A. in Mecklenburg County, N.C., sees "the very real possibility that it could take more than three years before some violent crimes make their way to trial — and even longer for homicide cases."

  • Merriweather stopped prosecuting low-level drug offenses in February to focus on homicides and violent crime, Axios Charlotte's Michael Graff reports.

What to watch: State legislatures and local county governments will consider a variety of proposals — from decriminalization to hiring more prosecutors — to shrink backlogs.

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2. ⚖️ Crime in America, in two graphs
Data: FBI. Chart: Axios Visuals

The number of violent crimes in the U.S. rose by 5.6% in 2020, according to new FBI figures — the first increase in four years.

  • Aggravated assaults rose 12.1%.
Data: FBI. Chart: Axios Visuals

Murder increased 29% — the highest single-year spike in 60+ years.

  • Property crime dropped.

Go deeper: Our highlights ... Explore the stats ... Data downloads.

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3. Axios-Ipsos: Americans distrust Biden on COVID
Data: Axios/Ipsos polls. Chart: Jared Whalen/Axios

For the first time, President Biden faces a trust deficit on COVID, Margaret Talev writes from the Axios/Ipsos Coronavirus Index.

45% of those surveyed (1,105 U.S. adults, Sept. 24-27, margin of error: ±3.2 points) say they trust Biden a great deal or a fair amount to provide them with accurate information about the pandemic.

  • 53% said they have little or no trust in him.
  • Compare that with the peak of trust in Biden on COVID — 58% to 42% — in our Jan. 22-25 survey, just after his inauguration.

Between the lines: The slide can be seen across the political spectrum, with a net drop of 11 points among Democrats, 17 points with independents and 10 points with Republicans.

  • 81% of Democrats, 42% of independents and 11% of Republicans say they trust Biden on COVID.

Share this story.

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4. 🔋 Axios interview: Bill Ford on what Henry Ford would say
Ford electrification plans. Graphic: Ford

Ford Executive Chairman Bill Ford tells Axios' Joann Muller that plans announced yesterday for huge plants in Tennessee and Kentucky will help the U.S. build its own battery supply, rather than depending on Asia.

  • Why it matters: The plan is an all-in bet on the biggest auto-industry transformation since the horseless carriage more than a century ago.

Ford announced twin battery manufacturing plants in Kentucky and a "mega campus" near Memphis that'll include both battery manufacturing and vehicle assembly for electric F-series pickup trucks.

  • The plans total $11.4 billion, with nearly 11,000 new jobs.
Rendering of Ford's Blue Oval City complex planned for Tennessee. Image: Ford

Bill Ford told Joann: "My great-grandfather was the ultimate sort of disruptor ... I think if he looked at what we're announcing ... he might just say: 'What took you so long?' And he'd be right."

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5. Inside House Dems' closed-door meeting
Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.), chair of the House Progressive Caucus, arrives for House Dems' meeting in the Capitol yesterday. Photo: Alex Wong/Getty Images

House Dems started to coalesce around a deal to pass President Biden's Build Back Better infrastructure package, with progressive opposition weakening, Axios' Alayna Treene and Sarah Mucha report.

  • Why it matters: If enough progressives move, it would open a path to immediate passage of spending for roads and bridges, with a promise of future work on climate change and other progressive priorities.

Inside the room: At a closed-door meeting of House Democrats last evening, several members — mostly moderates facing competitive re-election fights — emphasized the need for the caucus (read: progressives) to accept the political reality of the Senate.

  • "The Senate's not going to go along with $3.5 trillion," Rep. Steve Cohen (D-Tenn.) told reporters after the meeting. "We don't need to sacrifice our transportation infrastructure bill on something that the Senate may never come to an agreement on."

💡 Where things are headed: Rep. Susie Lee (D-Nev.) told MSNBC's Lawrence O'Donnell that the compromise looks like a hard infrastructure vote Thursday ($1.2 trillion), with "a general framework" for a larger package of social spending, "then pass it in the next few weeks after that."

  • 🥊 Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.), the Progressive Caucus whip, said she believes progressives still have the votes needed to vote down the bill if they don't get what they're looking for.
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6. TikTok hits 1 billion users
Data: Axios research. Chart: Will Chase/Axios

TikTok passed 1 billion monthly active users, despite enormous pressure from regulators and increased competition from copycat products, Axios Media Trends expert Sara Fischer writes.

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7. ⛏️ Obama library includes ball field, vegetable garden
President Obama speaks at an alumni event yesterday. Photo: Obama Foundation via Zoom

President Obama and Michelle Obama will preside over groundbreaking festivities for the Obama Presidential Center in Chicago this afternoon.

  • The Obamas, with Mayor Lori Lightfoot and Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker, will make brief remarks in Jackson Park. In a bow to COVID, the audience will be virtual.

The library will be on 19 acres on Chicago's South Side, along Lake Michigan, between the University of Chicago and the Museum of Science and Industry.

  • The complex will include an athletic field, walking trails and a vegetable garden.

During an alumni Zoom yesterday with David Plouffe and others, President Obama, 60, said: "I'm not old enough to want to just ... be in my rocking chair and think back to ... glory years."

  • "There will be an entire section about the campaign in Iowa. ... We'll have a replica of the Oval Office, and Michelle's gowns and all that stuff and ... discussion of various issues like the economic crisis."
  • "But even in the museum, what we're going to be doing is setting up a series of exhibits showing the degree to which we were just a continuation of a thread — a running thread in American history."

Valerie Jarrett, president of the Alumni Foundation, said she hopes visitors will see the library and museum as "a catalyst for change that each one of us is capable of making, beginning here in Chicago and rippling across the world."

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8. Parting shot

Photo: David 'Dee' Delgado/Reuters

 

New York Gov. Kathy Hochul wore this necklace yesterday as she discussed COVID vaccinations.

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