📈Will the Latest Yellow Flag to the Economy Impact Stocks?📈

Good morning. "Fake it 'til you make it," is a good way for building confidence when starting...

It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning."Fake it 'til you make it," is a good way for building confidence when starting out in one's career. But the truth is, the mentality is a huge part of the economy. That's seen in a number of economic measures, such as those that look into what's called confidence. While consumer confidence is the best-known, small business confidence is pointing to a yellow flag for the economy right now. Rising inflation, sliding profit margins, and a labor shortage are a trifecta of pain for these firms. These businesses were the worst hit by the pandemic lockdowns, but they're also companies without the same access to capital markets as publicly-traded stocks. Delta variant or not, big businesses are likely to get bigger, and they're the ones already traded. So the latest business confidence data shouldn't shy investors away from the stock market. Now here's the rest of the news: Sponsored Content Urgent New Crypto Alert – BUY BUY BUY Silicon Valley millionaire Jeff Brown called it in 2014, when he first bought Bitcoin. In 2015, he called it again, when he publicly recommended Bitcoin at $240... In 2016, he recommended Nvidia at $25... before it hit $799... and he predicted the #1 returning tech stock in 4 years out of 5... In 2017, he called it again – when he recommended Bitcoin again along with two other cryptocurrencies, which have since soared as high as 924.3%... Now he believes THIS could be his most profitable public recommendation to date! Click here for the full details on his urgent new buy alert before it expires. MARKETS DOW 35,264.67 +0.46% S&P 4,436.75 +0.10% NASDAQ 14,788.09 -0.49% *As of market close • Stocks traded mixed on Tuesday, with a slight loss for the Nasdaq, and a reverse from Monday. • Oil rallied 3 percent, closing at $68.44 per barrel. • Gold rose 0.2 percent, last going for $1,730 per ounce. • Cryptocurrencies slightly dipped, with Bitcoin at $45,641 at the stock market close. Today's TOP TIPS This Strong Brand Keeps Serving Up Income Growth With the stock market at all-time highs, investors can either jump in at high prices, look for value trades, or focus on great companies trading at reasonable prices. That last category has been strong for strategies such as dividend growth. More companies continue to raise their dividends, signaling a return to normal, or at least that a company can thrive during a pandemic. » FULL STORY Insider Trading Report: Energy Transfer LP (ET) Bradford Whitehurst, CFO at Energy Transfer LP (ET) recently picked up 5,000 more shares. The buy increased his holdings by 0.65 percent, and came to a total purchase price of just over $46,000. This is the second insider buy of the year, following a 200,000 share buy from a director back in May. Over the past 3 years, insider buys have far exceeded sellers, even as shares have more than doubled off their pandemic lows. » FULL STORY Unusual Options Activity: AT&T (T) Shares of telecom giant AT&T (T) dropped from 52-week highs earlier in the year as the company announced it would sell off its media assets to refocus on being a telecom company. One trader is betting that shares will trend back up. That's based on the December $30 calls. With 128 days until expiration, over 25,340 contracts traded against an open interest of 222 for a 114-fold jump in volume. The buyer of the calls paid about $0.38 to make the trade. » FULL STORY IN OTHER NEWS • US Hits 10 Million Job Openings The latest Bureau of Labor Statistics data indicates that there are now a record 10.1 million job openings. While hiring is rampant, many employers have had to resort to hiring bonuses, childcare, and other enticements to address the current labor shortage. • China's Crackdowns Demystified Over the past few months, Chinese regulators have cracked down on a number of companies across a variety of industries. The industries at stake total over $1 trillion in market value, and have led to a huge drop in many Chinese stocks. One theory behind the crackdown is that the country is working on encouraging domestic consumption and fighting rising income inequality. • Restaurant Traffic Declines on Rising Delta Variant Numbers Recent data shows that a sizeable percentage of the population has been scaling back on dining out over the past month, as Delta variant cases are on the rise. While many restaurants survived the pandemic by increasing delivery and online-ordering options, such orders tend to avoid the high profit-margin items such as drinks, so lower traffic could spell some trouble ahead for the industry. • Chanos Warns on Market Valuations Billionaire Jim Chanos, who has made some of his biggest profits from short-selling, has warned that the market valuation is high and the cycle could point to a pullback. One of his biggest red flags is the size of retail involvement in stocks, which tends to peak as stock market cycles peak. • Amazon Moves to Compensate Consumers for Defective Products Amazon (AMZN) is making big changes in its returns policy. The company is now looking to directly pay customers for their claims under $1,000 at no cost to sellers. The new policy is expected to cover more than 80 percent of castes. S&P 500 MOVERS TOP NUE 9.575% KSU 7.474% MELI 6.994% SYY 6.521% APA 6.421% BOTTOM MRNA 5.72% MU 5.361% ABMD 4.024% TFX 3.881% LRCX 3.643% Quote of the Day Despite the delta variant surge in cases across the U.S., recent mobility data suggest that consumer spending should remain robust. Weekly foot traffic data gathered by Placer.ai for sectors sensitive to COVID-19 such as hotels, dining, leisure, and fitness continues to increase to sit near or surpass pre-pandemic peaks. However, as summer comes closer to an end, any significant declines or changes to the narrative are worth watching. - Jason Pride, chief investment officer of private wealth at Glenmede, on the current traffic trends suggesting a continued move higher for Covid-sensitive sectors, even with rising Delta variant cases. Sponsored Content Biden About to Unleash Bitcoin Crackdown? Silicon Valley millionaire Jeff Brown called it in 2014, when he first bought Bitcoin. In 2015, he called it again, when he publicly recommended Bitcoin at $240... In 2016, he recommended Nvidia at $25... before it hit $799... and he predicted the #1 returning tech stock in 4 years out of 5... In 2017, he called it again – when he recommended Bitcoin again along with two other cryptocurrencies, which have since soared as high as 924.3%... Now he believes THIS could be his most profitable public recommendation to date! Click here for the full details on his urgent new buy alert before it expires. 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