👁️ Will Inflation Just Be the Start of Stagflation? 👁️

Good morning. Economists used to believe that there was a tradeoff between inflation and..

It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. Economists used to believe that there was a tradeoff between inflation and unemployment. The numbers could be moved to provide the perfect mix to ensure a full labor force. The 1970s, however, saw rising prices and rising unemployment at the same time. This "stagflation" was thought impossible until it appeared. There have been some comparisons between the 1970s and today, thanks to a 5 percent read on inflation. If that number proves transitory – and it may yet rise more before falling—things will likely get back to normal. And while employers are boosting employee wages now, that's to meet strong demand for employment, and offset higher benefit levels right now. The jump in wages may also prove transitory. For now, these higher cost inputs can be passed through by companies to their customers, making the stock market still attractive while this debate goes on. Now here's the rest of the news: Sponsored Content Just $19 –That's It. "Hi, my name is Jeff Clark. For the past 36 years, I've shown people from all walks of life how to make money in the markets. Retired stockbrokers... presidents of companies... people with almost no financial experience... and everything in between. But I haven't done it the usual way… My method is different. It's unlike anything you've probably ever seen before. We're unveiling it right now for just $19. That's the lowest price my publisher has EVER offered for a trading research service… And it won't be available for long. Watch a '10-second live demo' of this method to see how it works." Watch Now MARKETS DOW 34,633.53 +0.38% S&P 4,319.90 +0.52% NASDAQ 14,522.38 +0.13% *As of market close • Stocks moved higher on Thursday, with the S&P 500 again closing at a record high. • Oil rose 2 percent, closing at $74.93 per barrel. • Gold rallied 0.3 percent, last trading at $1,776 per ounce. • Cryptocurrencies generally dropped, with Bitcoin at $33,315 at the stock market close. Today's TOP TIPS Stocks In This Sector Are Firing on All Cylinders, and Rewarding Shareholders A number of sectors are looking strong going into the back half of the year. In one sector, costs are going down, expenditures look likely to drop, and prices remain robust, which makes for an attractive move going forward. The sector? Oil and natural gas. A number of companies are looking good as OPEC is set to meet on production, with oil potentially capable of seeing oil hit $100 per barrel. » FULL STORY Insider Trading Report: Foley Trasimene Acquisition Corp (WPF) Michael Gravelle, general counsel at Foley Trasimene Acquisition Corp (WPF), recently bought 10,000 shares. The buy represents an initial purchase by the holder. The total cost came to $99,800. The buy occurred on the same day that William Foley, a major owner, also bought 100,000 shares, at a cost of $999,000. The company CEO also bought 10,000 shares at the same time. One fund with a major stake in the company has been a seller of shares since the company went public. » FULL STORY Unusual Options Activity: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Shares of semiconductor firm Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) have seen a strong rally in the past few weeks. One trader sees that trend continuing through the end of the month. That's based on the July 30 $110 calls. With 28 days until expiration, over 7,190 contracts traded against an open interest of 268, for a 27-fold jump in volume. The buyer of the calls paid $1.04 to make the trade. » FULL STORY IN OTHER NEWS • Jobless Claims Drop to 364,000 Workers filing for unemployment benefits dropped to 364,000. That's a pandemic low, and a 50 percent drop since the first week of April alone. In total, the drop is seasonally adjusted to be 51,000 lower than the prior week. With a long-term decline in sight, and with many states ending extended unemployment benefits, the second half of the year may see an end to labor market supply shortages. • Gas Prices Top $3 Nationally as OPEC Set to Meet Oil prices topped $75 for the first time since 2018, and national gas prices are, on average, now over $3.00, a 7-year high, going into the driving-heavy summer season. Meanwhile, some gas stations are experiencing shortages due to a lack of truck drivers. OPEC is set to potentially increase its production, which could help lower prices. • Analysts Continue to Drop Coverage of Meme Stocks A number of analysts are simply dropping coverage of highly volatile meme stocks like GameStop (GME) and AMC Entertainment (AMC). The high daily volatility and retail interest make it difficult for analysts to make rapid changes in their views based on the rapid price changes. Some meme stocks have taken advantage of retail interest to sell shares and raise capital and pay off debt, but other meme stocks simply pop and drop. • Real Estate Demand Shifts to Warehouses Rising e-commerce trends have led to a shift in demand in commercial real estate to warehouses. From online giants to big-box stores, demand for warehouse space has never been higher. Key markets such as Columbus and Savannah, which can reach large populations within a day's drive, are among regional markets seeing strong demand. • Mercado Bitcoin Raises $200 Million at $2.1 Billion Valuation Mercado Bitcoin, a Brazilian-based cryptocurrency exchange, has raised $200 million in Series B funding. That places the company as one of the largest unicorns in Latin America, and comes after a Series A funding round in January. The company says that it has 2.8 million customers to date, or 70 percent more than the retail investor base trading on Brazil's stock exchange. S&P 500 MOVERS TOP FANG 6.082% OXY 5.085% MRO 4.038% DXC 3.724% SLB 3.312% BOTTOM WBA 7.413% MU 5.731% KLAC 3.846% TER 3.419% AMAT 3.125% Quote of the Day If inflation fears do calm further and bond yields remain lower for longer, expect growth and technology stocks to continue leading the stock market higher. However, should strong economic growth aggravate inflationary worries and again force bond yields higher, correction fears may intensify, and leadership should be centered among cyclical stock sectors, smaller cap stocks and even international stocks. - Jim Paulsen, Leuthold Group chief investment strategist, on the twin dynamics likely to cause market volatility in the second half of the year, with an eye towards the more optimistic scenario of economic growth and lowering inflation expectations playing out. Sponsored Content Just $19 –That's It. "Hi, my name is Jeff Clark. For the past 36 years, I've shown people from all walks of life how to make money in the markets. Retired stockbrokers... presidents of companies... people with almost no financial experience... and everything in between. But I haven't done it the usual way… My method is different. It's unlike anything you've probably ever seen before. We're unveiling it right now for just $19. That's the lowest price my publisher has EVER offered for a trading research service… And it won't be available for long. Watch a '10-second live demo' of this method to see how it works." Watch Now Not sure the best way to get started? Follow these simple steps to hit the ground running. › Step #1 - Get These FREE Reports: Warren Buffett's Top 5 Stocks | 10 Great Stocks Under $10 | 7 High Yield Dividend Stocks › Step #2 - Join Our Premium Advisory: The Next Superstock › Step #3 - Claim Your Free Copy Of: Big Book Of Chart Patterns | How to Trade Weekly Options For Weekly Income Nothing in this email should be considered personalized financial advice. 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