Thursday, July 8, 2021

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What'll happen to downtowns with fewer office workers?
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Daily Brew

Beam

Good morning. After a one-year absence due to the pandemic, the Scripps National Spelling Bee finals return tonight, but with an entirely new slate of judges: iPhones that autocorrect to "ducking," the red squiggly line, and people who end relationships over the wrong use of "your." Good luck to the contestants!

MARKETS

Nasdaq

14,665.06

S&P

4,358.13

Dow

34,681.79

Bitcoin

$34,240.35

10-Year

1.319%

Apple

$144.57

*Stock data as of market close, cryptocurrency data as of 6:00pm ET. Here's what these numbers mean.

  • Markets: After taking a one-day breather, the S&P once again closed at a record thanks to a push by Big Tech names like Apple (which also hit a record).
  • World: Haiti's interim prime minister, Claude Joseph, declared a "state of siege" and called for calm after President Jovenel Moïse was assassinated by gunmen early Wednesday morning, causing an already unstable situation in the country to deteriorate further.

TECH

The Great Chinese Tech Spanking of 2021

The Wall Street bull under the Chinese flag's shadow

NYC-listed, Beijing-based companies have been thrown on a bucking bronco by the Chinese government this year. And the g-forces have only been ramping up this week as China seeks to curtail its tech giants' power and get a tighter grip on the data they hold.

The crackdown has fully spooked investors: More than $800 billion of market value has been wiped from Chinese tech giants since a February peak; ride-hailing company Didi has lost more than $17 billion in value since Monday. 

A brief timeline 

In April, China blocked Jack Ma's Ant Group from going public (it was on track to be the biggest IPO...ever) and forced the company to restructure.

One month later, China's Cyberspace Administration called out 105 apps, including ByteDance-owned Douyin (better known as TikTok in the US), for collecting and illegally accessing user data.

Then last month, Chinese regulators reportedly tried to delay ride-hailing giant Didi Chuxing's IPO. When Didi decided to go public anyway last week, the government halted new app downloads and user signups in China. 

The latest: The China Securities Regulatory Commission is planning to close a legal loophole that has long been used by major Chinese companies, including Alibaba and Tencent, to go public in the US. The change would force companies classified under a certain corporate structure (known as the Variable Interest Entity model if you want to sound smart af) to seek the government's approval before listing shares in the US or Hong Kong. 

Looking ahead...all this could lead to a possible techxodus of up to $2 trillion worth of shares from US markets to China. Hong Kong could soon become the only place for non-Chinese investors to buy stakes in Chinese tech companies as regulators throttle firms listed in the US. 

If you don't believe us, the Hong Kong stock exchange's holding company, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing, jumped as much as 6.2% yesterday.

        

REAL ESTATE

When Downtowns Turn Into Ghost Towns

If there's no one to buy a $15 Sweetgreen salad and bring it back to their desk to eat all alone, does downtown even exist? 

A jump in remote/hybrid work post-Covid could threaten central business districts in places like Boston and San Francisco, where office space makes up 70%–80% of downtown real estate, per a new study from the NYT's Upshot with CoStar. 

The threat is real: 

  • Even as some large banks push employees back into NYC skyscrapers, 74% of Fortune 500 CEOs around the country are looking to cut office space. 
  • In downtown DC, daytime population took a nosedive, dropping 82% from February 2020 to February 2021.

The takeaway: Not all US downtowns are equally vulnerable to a tumbleweed-rolling-across-the-street future. Cities like San Diego and Nashville that have a more balanced makeup of residential, retail, and office space in their central districts could be more resilient coming out of the pandemic. But cities that aren't as balanced will need to get creative in repurposing office space to avoid widespread vacancies and lower property tax revenue.

        

ENERGY

What's Behind the Oil Squabble in the Gulf?

Game of Risk, played in oil barrels

Francis Scialabba

You might've seen recent headlines mentioning an unusual dispute among OPEC members that's causing major uncertainty in the oil market, especially as gas prices continue to tick up in the US.

What's going on: The United Arab Emirates blocked a plan introduced by its friend and neighbor, Saudi Arabia, that would boost oil output in stages. The UAE wants to increase its own production by more than the Saudi plan allows for, so talks fell apart and oil prices hit a six-year high earlier this week.

The UAE's strategy: The country is envisioning a future with more renewable energy and stricter climate-focused policies. It wants to pump (and sell) as much oil as it can now to snag as much market share as possible when demand hits its peak, estimated to be around 2030. 

Looking ahead...the UAE and Saudi Arabia have brought riches to the Gulf through the extraction of oil; they want to use that wealth to prepare for a time when fossil fuels won't be as lucrative—and divergent strategies are leading them to butt heads.  

        

SPONSORED BY BEAM

We Know You Like Sleeping

Beam

Once upon a time we told you about dream. It's the yummy bedtime powder that has folks sleeping like newborn pups. 

When we last mentioned beam's dream powder, it was powering 1.5 million nights of high-quality better sleep, now that number is over 2 million (and we're assuming you had something to do with it). 

That means 2 million well-rested overachievers aren't just getting more shut-eye, they're getting better shut-eye. Dream provides your body with sleep enhancing vitamins and minerals, like magnesium, reishi, l-theanine, and nano cbd. It's a bedtime blend of organic cacao powder and organic cinnamon powder—without any calories or added sugar. 

After taking dream:   

  • 98% of people feel an improvement in quality of sleep (not just quantity)
  • 97% of people feel more energized the following day

Readers can get 20% off their dream subscription along with a free limited edition mug, frother, VIP customer service, flexible delivery cadence, and a 30-day money-back guarantee.

This is an offer you don't wanna sleep on.

GRAB BAG

Key Performance Indicators

Stat: Sotheby's is auctioning a gigantic pear-shaped 101.38-carat diamond this Friday, but there's a decentralized twist: the auction house will accept bitcoin or ether as payment. With an expected sale price of as much as $15 million, it would be the most expensive physical object ever publicly offered for purchase using crypto.

Quote: A "very beautiful development."

That's how President Trump described his class-action lawsuit against Facebook, YouTube, and Twitter, as well as most of their chief executives, for allegedly violating his free speech rights. Experts say the challenge is a Hail Mary, but either way Trump began to send fundraising emails off of it immediately. 

Read: Some misunderstandings around the Sha'Carri Richardson saga. (The Range Report)

        

SHIPPING

Whatever Refloats Your Boat

Ship stuck in Suez Canal

Mahmoud Khaled/Getty Images

More than three months after the Ever Given got stuck in the Suez Canal—and our hearts—the 1,300-foot container ship was released from boat jail yesterday following an investigation into whose fault the whole fiasco really was. 

Ever Given's blockage of a crucial trade route for six days in March racked up almost $1 billion in delays and rescue costs. So as soon as the ship was refloated, Egyptian officials seized it and said, "Somebody's gotta pay for this."

  • The ship owner's lawyers argued that the Suez Canal Authority (SCA) shouldn't have allowed the ship into the canal in the first place because of the impending sandstorm that eventually caused the ship to run aground.

In the end, Ever Given's owner and insurers paid the SCA an undisclosed amount—some Egyptian media reported $550 million and a "we're sorry" tugboat—and the ship carrying goods worth hundreds of millions continued its much-delayed journey to the Netherlands.

        

WHAT ELSE IS BREWING

  • The Delta variant is now the dominant strain of Covid-19 in the US, according to the CDC.
  • Melinda Gates will resign from the foundation she and her ex-husband Bill founded if they find they can't work together successfully over the next two years, per the foundation's CEO Mark Suzman.
  • Google was hit by an antitrust lawsuit from dozens of states targeting its Google Play store.
  • Chobani filed confidentially to go public, and it could be worth as much as $10 billion when it rings the bell.
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning won the NHL's Stanley Cup for the second consecutive year.

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BREW'S BETS

"What do you think?" You probably won't ever say that again once you read this guide to asking useful questions.

Kitchen essentials: If you're planning on spending a few weeks at an Airbnb this summer, check out this vacation rental kitchen checklist.

Refresh your thinking on deadlines by going inside the mind of a master procrastinator. 

GAMES

The Puzzle Section

Brew Mini: Completed by the Brew Crew in a record 32 seconds. Beat that

Three Headlines and a Lie 

Can you spot the fake headline hidden among the three real news stories? 

  1. Mayor of Texas town accidentally sells high school for $790,000
  2. Teletubbies announce they have received Covid-19 vaccines and prompt hilarious reactions
  3. World's first elderly sex robot with 'wrinkles and silver hair' created by RealDoll
  4. Cop played Taylor Swift song hoping YouTube's copyright system would block BLM protestor's video, ploy backfires

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ANSWER

No Texas schools were accidentally sold in the making of this newsletter

              

Written by Jamie Wilde, Matty Merritt, and Neal Freyman

Illustrations & graphics by Francis Scialabba

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