Friday, June 25, 2021

Digging into Biden’s not-dead-yet deal

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Jun 25, 2021 View in browser
 
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By Renuka Rayasam

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HERE'S THE DEAL — We know that President Joe Biden and a group of senators agreed to something this week. We also know that the agreement may be on the verge of falling apart . But what's much less clear is what exactly the president and the senators agreed to do together, however briefly. Nightly turned to transportation editor Kathryn A. Wolfe to break down the details of the infrastructure agreement — if in fact you can still call it that — over Slack today. This conversation has been edited.

Why is it so hard to figure out what's actually in this bill?

It's still extremely vague. There are basically giant pots of money for broad areas. For instance, transit is set at $49 billion, electric vehicle infrastructure at $7.5 billion (which is probably things like charging station infrastructure). Roads, highways and what they call "other projects" is the biggest pot at $109 billion.

Then there are other big pots for things like water infrastructure — helping places like Flint with lead issues, or even just fixing up our decrepit water and sewer infrastructure. There's also $65 billion for building out broadband to places that don't currently have it.

There are also pots of money for things like the electric grid, which of course we've seen experience some major failures and issues in the South and West, and then things like "resiliency" which is hardening our infrastructure against climate change, writ broadly.

Power-lines are shown on June 15, 2021 in Houston.

Powerlines are shown on June 15, 2021 in Houston. | Brandon Bell/Getty Images

Who gets to decide how that money is spent? Congress? Federal agencies? States?

A lot will be further delineated when they write the bill, but some of this is almost certainly going to take the form of grants, which could be handed out to states or cities if they meet certain criteria — similar to how grant programs are run now.

We also have a formula now for how, say, federal money for roads and highways and bridges gets doled out, and it's possible some could be run through that formula. This is essentially a pass-through or block grant to state DOTs. And the formula is super complicated, depending on a lot of factors like size, population, etc.

How does it all get paid for?

So they have come up with a list of pay-fors, but some of them are a little fantastical. I think most expert observers don't think it will truly, fully offset what the bill will cost the federal government. Which means the rest will be made up with by deficit spending

There's also $20 billion for a "financing authority," which sounds something similar to an infrastructure bank. This concept has been around a long time and never really caught on. But the idea is you seed the bank with initial money, and then it uses it to leverage other capital to finance projects that it thinks are worthy.

Do you think that existing problems with infrastructure, say a bridge collapse, could get lawmakers moving?

There was a bridge collapse here in D.C. right as lawmakers were putting all of this together, but the cause wasn't that the bridge was decrepit (though it seems like it actually was decrepit) — the cause was that a big truck plowed into it. So that vanished quickly.

Politically speaking, disasters have to be responded to quickly, because otherwise attention fades and with it political will. There was the instance of the bridge collapse in Minnesota in 2007, when the late Jim Oberstar was chairman of T&I, and was working on a surface transportation bill. He told me that he had support for raising the gas tax and was set to go to the floor with it.

Except Congress went on a recess and when they got back, the moment had passed. He was still sad about that even years later. I think he told me that story five times.

Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas for us at rrayasam@politico.com, or on Twitter at @renurayasam.

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What'd I Miss?

— At the border, Harris says her focus is on 'root causes' of migration: Vice President Kamala Harris repeatedly emphasized that her focus is on the "root causes" of immigration during her today visit to the U.S.-Mexico border, an event that came after Republicans continually criticized her for not making the trip earlier in her term. Harris, who was put in charge of diplomatic efforts to stem the flow of migrants arriving on the southern border, visited Guatemala and Mexico earlier this month. The U.S.-Mexico border has recently seen an increase in arrivals, and Harris advised migrants "do not come" during a speech in Guatemala.

— Trudeau: 'Canadians are horrified and ashamed': Prime Minister Justin Trudeau apologized to the Cowessess First Nation today after news that 751 unmarked graves had been discovered at the site of the former Marieval Indian Residential School in Saskatchewan. The shocking discovery revealed Thursday was only the latest reminder of Canada's historic mistreatment of Indigenous people — a deadly history and enduring legacy that a federal inquiry called a genocide in 2019.

— Government report can't explain UFOs, but offers no evidence of aliens: A new intelligence report sent to Congress today concludes that virtually all of the 144 sightings of unidentified flying objects documented by the military since 2004 are of unknown origin , in an extremely rare public accounting of the U.S. government's data on UFOs that is likely to fuel further speculation about phenomena the intelligence community has long struggled to understand. The report — the government's first unclassified assessment in half a century — does not offer any definitive answers on who or what may be operating a variety of aircraft that, in some cases, appear to defy known characteristics of aerodynamics, and that officials believe pose a threat to national security.

— Garland backs legislation to end subpoenas for reporters' records: Attorney General Merrick Garland has endorsed the idea of legislation to create an enduring ban on federal prosecutors subpoenaing reporters or their phone or email records in federal investigations, but he stopped short of announcing an official endorsement on behalf of the Biden administration. During a press conference at Justice Department headquarters today, Garland reiterated that he is planning both an informal directive and new regulations to implement the policy change he announced last month ending such demands.

 

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AROUND THE WORLD

EUROPE'S POST-MERKEL ERA BEGINS — Germany's election is three months away, but in Brussels, the post-Merkel era has begun. And — to absolutely no one's surprise — it isn't pretty, Jacopo Barigazzi and David M. Herszenhorn write.

For Angela Merkel, the German chancellor and longest-serving person around the EU leaders' table, the summit that ended today almost certainly wasn't her last European Council — she'll likely still be a caretaker German leader at EU gatherings in October, as coalition talks back home determine her successor. But the impending retirement of the EU's middle-ground tone-setter was already palpable this week, as leaders shed their political politesse to implore Viktor Orbán to drop an anti-LGBTQ+ law.

And the main combatants in the room just happened to be the EU's next longest-serving leaders: the Netherlands' Mark Rutte and Hungary's Orbán, who have both been in power since 2010.

Rutte and Orbán clashed fiercely over LGBTQ+ rights Thursday night, with the Dutch premier even going so far as to suggest that Hungary should just leave the EU if it can't respect fundamental rights and freedoms. And while the argument was ostensibly about the new Hungarian measures, it represented the start of a broader battle over EU values, and who will shape the EU's voice once Merkel is gone — Rutte, a socially progressive liberal, or Orbán, the self-proclaimed champion of illiberal Christian democracy.

 

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Nightly Number

22.5

The number of years in prison Derek Chauvin, the former Minneapolis police officer who murdered George Floyd last year, was sentenced to today . In his ruling, Hennepin County Judge Peter Cahill cited the ex-officer's abuse of a position of trust and authority and particular cruelty to Floyd.

 

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PUNCHLINES

CONGRESS' SUMMER GRIND — The recent longest day of the year gave farmers more time to work their crops, and Matt Wuerker more time to find the best political satire and cartoons for the Weekend Wrap , including on increased airline violence, the various negotiations taking place on the Hill, and the debate around critical race theory.

Nightly video player of Matt Wuerker's Weekend Wrap

Parting Words

EU'S VIEWS ON RUSSIA CONFUSE — French President Emmanuel Macron thinks his fellow leaders from Poland and the Baltics are Russophobic, and that they insist on an unnecessarily tough policy toward Moscow out of misplaced paranoia.

Leaders in Warsaw, Tallinn, Riga and Vilnius, by contrast, see themselves as Russo-realistic and the French president as dangerously deluded in his soft approach to President Vladimir Putin.

In Paris, malign activities like election meddling or extra-territorial assassinations are part of a more complex relationship with Russia , a country that is also the land of ballet and the Hermitage Museum, and the obvious supplier of caviar, the perfect accompaniment to champagne, David M. Herszenhorn writes.

But in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia is the cause of violence that led hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians to emigrate to neighboring countries. Poland lives with heavy militarization in the neighboring Russian region of Kaliningrad, while the Baltics offer shelter to political opposition leaders and journalists who have fled potential persecution, including staff of news sites like Meduza, or allies of the jailed anti-corruption activist Alexei Navalny.

These contradictory views came into sharp focus this week as Macron and German Chancellor Angela Merkel pushed for a new Russia policy, only to be brutally rebuffed.

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