Sunday, May 2, 2021

Trump tightens his grip on the GOP

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POLITICO Playbook

By Tara Palmeri

Presented by

DRIVING THE DAY

There are some very encouraging new numbers for President JOE BIDEN this morning: Sixty-four percent of Americans said they're optimistic with the direction of the country, according to an ABC/Ipsos poll.

"The last time the country came close to that level of optimism about the coming year was in December 2006." More from ABC

But DONALD TRUMP also had some wins this weekend — further signs he is cementing his grip on the GOP and exacting revenge on those Republicans who supported his impeachment.

— In Saturday's Texas special election for the U.S. House, Trump-endorsed SUSAN WRIGHT came out on top in a 23-person multi-party field. While there will be a runoff, the likely second-place finisher is GOP state Rep. JAKE ELLZEY, who has voiced his own support for Trump. Worth noting: In 2020, Trump won this district by just 3 points, and Dems' challenges turning out their voters bode poorly for them in 2022. More from Ally Mutnick

— Sen. MITT ROMNEY was "lustily" booed at the Utah Republican convention Saturday, and narrowly survived a censure vote over his support for Trump's impeachment. More from the Salt Lake Tribune

— House GOP frustrations with Rep. LIZ CHENEY (R-Wyo.) are "at a boiling point" over her continuing criticism of Trump. And that could lead to a snap election on her position as the No. 3 leader in the GOP Conference. More from The Hill

— Retirements by House Dems in competitive seats are starting to add up, and that could imperil their chances at holding onto the House. Meanwhile, "only one Republican from a competitive seat, Rep. LEE ZELDIN (R-N.Y.) has so far signaled he will leave the House." More from WaPo

One — VERY LARGE — caveat to this spate of good news for Trump: The FBI raid this week of the home of his former lawyer, RUDY GIULIANI. Giuliani's son, ANDREW, seemed to waffle when asked whether the former NYC mayor would flip on Trump.

— But even that story got more complicated over the weekend, after WaPo, NYT and NBC posted incredibly wide-ranging corrections, all but retracting their reports earlier this week that the FBI warned Giuliani that he was being used to spread Russian disinformation. Those media misfires will only aid Giuliani and company as they try to muddy the waters over what really happened.

Good Sunday morning. Thanks for reading Playbook. Drop us a line: Rachael Bade, Eugene Daniels, Ryan Lizza, Tara Palmeri.

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SUNDAY BEST …

— National security adviser JAKE SULLIVAN on ABC's "This Week," on whether the White House will temporarily waive vaccine patents: "We believe that the pharmaceutical companies should be supplying at-scale and at-cost to the entire world, so that there is no barrier to everyone getting vaccinated."

— Sullivan on the Iran nuclear talks: "We have not yet reached agreement in Vienna, which is where the talks between the world powers and Iran are taking place right now. There is still [a] fair distance to travel to close the remaining gaps … There is no deal now. We're hoping to continue to make progress, and we're hoping ultimately to achieve the objective that President Biden has laid out."

— Council of Economic Advisers Chair CECILIA ROUSE on "Fox News Sunday" on inflation fears: "We do expect some transitory price increases. The Fed expects that as well. We do not see evidence that, at the moment, that those have become what we call 'de-anchored' so that we expect runaway inflation. But that said, we know we have to be vigilant. And we are watching the data. But for the time being, we expect at most transitory inflation."

— Sen. BILL CASSIDY (R-La.) on "Fox News Sunday" on Biden's infrastructure package: "When people say, 'Wait a second, I like this because we need a new bridge across the Calcasieu River and Lake Charles,' I'm saying this plan will not give it to you. The amount of spending for roads and bridges is so low that — and split between 50 states over five years — you're not going to get your bridge."

— White House senior adviser ANITA DUNN on CNN's "State of the Union" on why Biden wore a mask outdoors even though he's fully vaccinated: "The president takes the CDC guidelines very seriously. And he's always taken his role as sending a signal to follow the science very seriously as well. We do take some extra precautions for him because he is the president of the United States. But I would say that people should follow the CDC guidelines."

 

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BIDEN'S SUNDAY — The president and first lady JILL BIDEN will leave Wilmington, Del., at 8:25 p.m., getting back to the White House at 9:20 p.m. VP KAMALA HARRIS has nothing on her public schedule.

 

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PLAYBOOK READS

People recounting ballots are pictured. | Getty Images

PHOTO OF THE DAY: Contractors recount ballots from the 2020 election in Maricopa County, Ariz., on Saturday even after two audits found no widespread fraud evidence. | Courtney Pedroza/Getty Images

THE WHITE HOUSE

NYT'S MAUREEN DOWD: "The Jimmy Carter and Joe Biden Show": "Joe Biden has respect for his elders. And there aren't that many of them. Before the president's rally near Atlanta on Thursday, he and Jill went out of their way to pay respects to the 96-year-old JIMMY CARTER.

"This made Biden the first president to make a pilgrimage to Plains since Carter left office, unless you count YASIR ARAFAT. If there's a pol who knows what it feels like to be underappreciated by his own party, it's Biden. And he wasn't going to continue to let Carter, at the end of his life, be treated like a pariah in peanutville. … Carter has long nursed hurt feelings about how he was slighted by his Democratic successors."

THERE'S A RIVER OF POWER — "Biden stocks his White House with Ivy Leaguers," by Daniel Lippman: "Joe Biden, a proud graduate of the University of Delaware and Syracuse Law School who has bragged about going to a 'state school,' has stocked his top White House staff with nearly twice as many Ivy League graduates as the first iteration of the Trump White House, according to a POLITICO analysis.

"Forty-one percent of senior- or mid-level Biden White House staffers — or 82 people out of 201 aides analyzed — have Ivy League degrees. By contrast, only 21 percent of the comparable White House staff had such credentials under President Donald Trump."

VEEP FILES — "Harris-led campaign to stem migration from Central America faces steep challenges," WaPo: "Vice President Harris has kicked off U.S. efforts to deter people from leaving Central America's 'Northern Triangle' countries through programs designed to create more economic and political stability in the region.

"Facing a surge of illegal crossings at the U.S.-Mexico border, the Biden administration has said it is seeking to demonstrate a commitment to improving conditions in Guatemala, El Salvador and Honduras as part of an effort to reduce the flow. But similar campaigns under previous administrations have failed to make meaningful progress, leading to cyclical spikes at the border since 2014. And high-level corruption among government officials has complicated U.S. efforts to negotiate with leaders who have little political will for reform."

"Beam her up: Harris to chair the National Space Council," by Eugene and Bryan Bender: "Kamala Harris is adding chair of the National Space Council to her expanding vice presidential portfolio, senior administration officials announced Saturday.

"Harris will put her own 'stamp' of priorities on the cabinet-level body that coordinates national security priorities, civilian exploration and the growing private economy of space, including 'supporting sustainable development of commercial space activity, advancing peaceful norms and responsible behaviors in space, achieving peaceful exploration objectives with our allies and partners,' an official said. The list also includes a focus on climate change, STEM education, diversity in the workforce, promoting regional economic development and enhancing cybersecurity in space systems."

CONGRESS

BIPARTISAN BLIP — "Democrats signal they're open to concessions on infrastructure," WaPo: "President Biden and top Democrats are signaling privately they are willing to make concessions over Biden's $2.3 trillion infrastructure plan, or break it into chunks, if that will attract even a handful of Republican votes and allow them to notch a bipartisan win, people familiar with the strategy say.

"The president spoke recently with Sen. SHELLEY MOORE CAPITO (R-W.Va.) and suggested he was contemplating her counteroffer of roughly $568 billion more seriously than he viewed the Republican response to his Covid-19 relief legislation …

"Now, there is a 'significant' level of back-and-forth between the administration and the Senate Republicans who were involved in crafting a counterproposal, [Capito] added. 'I don't think there's been, you know, stop signs or caution flags or anything like that that I'm seeing to think that we shouldn't be negotiating in earnest,' she said. 'And that's what we're doing.'"

POLITICS ROUNDUP

BIG IMPLICATIONS — "'There's a lot of crazy going on': Pro-Trump lawyer blows up key GOP race," by Marc Caputo: "LIN WOOD played a starring role in Georgia's GOP civil war after the 2020 elections. Now the pro-Trump lawyer is taking his roadshow to South Carolina, where he's campaigning as a 'chaos' candidate to lead the state Republican Party … mounting an unexpectedly strong challenge to the incumbent chairman, DREW MCKISSICK.

"The outcome has outsized implications because of South Carolina's role in GOP presidential primaries — the state hosts the first primary in the South, and almost always votes for the eventual Republican nominee. It's emblematic of broader divisions between longtime GOP members and those brought into the Republican fold by Donald Trump, who remains the party's center of gravity."

2024 WATCH — "Why Kristi Noem Is Rising Quickly as a Republican Prospect for 2024," NYT: "If Gov. RON DESANTIS of Florida is widely seen as the brash heir apparent to Mr. Trump, and senators like JOSH HAWLEY and TOM COTTON are attempting to put a more ideological frame on Trumpism, [South Dakota Gov. KRISTI] NOEM is trying to cement her place as the only female Trump ally echoing the former president's trigger-the-left approach among the upper tiers of potential 2024 candidates.

"But her stumble on the trans bill planted some doubts among social conservatives, and her appearances on Fox News most weeks and her time spent at Mr. Trump's Mar-a-Lago fund-raising site have prompted griping in South Dakota. At home, Ms. Noem's apparent White House ambitions bother Republicans who want her focused on the state's needs, even as some in the party relish the attention her rising profile is bringing to the tourism-dependent state.

"She's now on her fourth chief of staff in just over two years and has an increasingly awkward relationship with JOHN THUNE, South Dakota's senior senator, and has favored the national party circuit over building relationships in the turn-of-the-century State Capitol in Pierre."

OH, CRIST — "Charlie Crist's bid for Florida governor faces early threats," by Marc Caputo and Matt Dixon: "Former Florida Gov. CHARLIE CRIST officially launches his comeback campaign for his old job early next week — his third bid for the office but the first as a likely underdog in what could be a crowded field. …

"Crist advisers say they understand the complications he faces. … And the Republican-turned-independent-turned Democrat has lost his last two statewide races: his 2014 campaign to unseat then-Gov. RICK SCOTT and his decision to forego reelection as governor to run for U.S. Senate in 2010, when MARCO RUBIO chased him out of the GOP primary and beat him in the general election."

DON JR. GETS HIS SENATE CANDIDATE IN PA — "Republican Sean Parnell expected to run for Senate in Pennsylvania," by James Arkin: "SEAN PARNELL, a military veteran and former congressional candidate in Pennsylvania, met with Republican leaders in Washington last week as he moves towards a potential Senate campaign, according to two sources familiar with his plans. …

"In 2020, Parnell lost to Democratic Rep. CONOR LAMB by roughly 2 percentage points. … Parnell is close with DONALD TRUMP JR., the former president's son and political adviser. Trump Jr. has previously said he would support Parnell for whatever office he sought in 2022."

OL' KENTUCKY HOME — "Biden's Expansive Infrastructure Plan Hits Close to Home for McConnell," NYT: "[T]he Brent Spence Bridge [between Cincinnati and northern Kentucky] has become a window into the depth of the political and ideological divide that is shaping the debate in Washington over Mr. Biden's $2.3 trillion plan, so profound that [MITCH] MCCONNELL — a longtime proponent of fixing the structure — has become its most vocal and hostile opponent.

"Although the president's initiative could provide the best chance in decades to upgrade a bridge that Mr. McConnell has deplored as 'outdated and inadequate,' it is also a costly plan, paid for primarily through substantial tax increases on businesses and the rich. The senator wasted no time denouncing it as a bloated, partisan expansion of big government."

YANG GANG — "Yang describes himself as serial entrepreneur, but he often worked for someone else," by Joe Anuta

KEMP'S NEXT MOVE — "Kemp's visit to Texas border in 'crisis' highlights his 2022 strategy," Atlanta Journal-Constitution: "It wasn't [Gov. BRIAN] KEMP'S first visit to the region: He made a far quieter trip in December in the teeth of Georgia's U.S. Senate runoffs, when his absence didn't capture much widespread attention during the brutal campaign for control of the chamber.

"This trip was a different story, thanks in part to aggressive promoting by Kemp's office. Pictures of the governor standing under a towering section of the border wall and flanked by National Guard troops on a remote road were splashed on social media — along with a torrent of criticism that made Kemp a trending topic on Twitter."

CALI'S SHADOW GOVERNOR — "Arnold Schwarzenegger Is No Longer the Governor of California. Right?" NYT: "ARNOLD SCHWARZENEGGER settled into a big leather rocker recliner on the back patio of his mansion. … Here is where Mr. Schwarzenegger has been holding court in person ever since he went to Dodger Stadium in January to get vaccinated, an event that has been viewed 20 million times on social media.

"People clamor to get penciled in for a back-patio visit — not just the usual show business people, but also political consultants, talk show hosts and people trying to oust Gov. GAVIN NEWSOM. Up Mandeville Canyon they come, through the wrought iron gates, to talk Newsom with Schwarzenegger. They usually end up talking Schwarzenegger with Schwarzenegger."

GOLDEN STATE READ — "'I Got Obama'd': A California conflict-resolution guru entered politics thinking he could fix it. Instead, it brought a punishing counterattack," by Amanda Ripley for POLITICO Magazine

HELPFUL VISUAL — "See How Few People It Takes for a State to Lose or Gain a House Seat," NYT

 

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PANDEMIC

THE CRISIS IN INDIA — "India sets pandemic record with more than 400,000 new cases; Fauci says crisis is 'like a war,'" WaPo: "After a devastating week of soaring infections, India reported more than 400,000 new cases Saturday, a global record. Experts believe that number will climb even higher in the coming days, an unimaginable burden for a health system already under siege with hospitals issuing pleas for oxygen.

"India's experience underscores a sobering paradox: Even as the United States and Europe move away from the darkest days of the pandemic, other countries are engaged in a desperate struggle against the virus."

AMERICA AND THE WORLD

THE AFGHANISTAN PULLOUT — "Formal start of final phase of Afghan pullout by US, NATO," AP: "The final phase of ending America's 'forever war' in Afghanistan after 20 years formally began Saturday, with the withdrawal of the last U.S. and NATO troops by the end of summer. President Joe Biden had set May 1 as the official start of the withdrawal of the remaining forces — about 2,500-3,500 U.S. troops and about 7,000 NATO soldiers.

"Even before Saturday, the herculean task of packing up had begun. The military has been taking inventory, deciding what is shipped back to the U.S., what is handed to the Afghan security forces and what is sold as junk in Afghanistan's markets. In recent weeks, the military has been flying out equipment on massive C-17 cargo planes."

"Taliban attacks airfield as U.S. troops begin withdrawal from Afghanistan," CBS

FOR YOUR RADAR — "Progress noted at diplomats' talks on Iran nuclear deal," AP: "High-ranking diplomats from China, Germany, France, Russia and Britain made progress at talks Saturday focused on bringing the United States back into their landmark nuclear deal with Iran, but said they need more work and time to bring about a future agreement.

"After the meeting, Russia's top representative, MIKHAIL ULYANOV, tweeted that members of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA, 'noted today the indisputable progress made at the Vienna talks on restoration of the nuclear deal.' 'The Joint Commission will reconvene at the end of the next week,' Ulyanov wrote. 'In the meantime, experts will continue to draft elements of future agreement.'"

INSIDE THE TRUMP PLAYBOOK — "Trump's Secret Rules for Drone Strikes Outside War Zones Are Disclosed," NYT: "The Biden administration has disclosed a set of rules secretly issued by President Donald J. Trump in 2017 for counterterrorism 'direct action' operations — like drone strikes and commando raids outside conventional war zones — which the White House has suspended as it weighs whether and how to tighten the guidelines.

"While the Biden administration censored some passages, the visible portions show that in the Trump era, commanders in the field were given latitude to make decisions about attacks so long as they fit within broad sets of 'operating principles,' including that there should be 'near certainty' that civilians 'will not be injured or killed in the course of operations.' At the same time, however, the Trump-era rules were flexible about permitting exceptions to that and other standards, saying that 'variations' could be made 'where necessary' so long as certain bureaucratic procedures were followed in approving them."

BOOK CLUB

SNEAK PEEK — "Elizabeth Warren Grapples With Presidential Loss in New Book," NYT: "The question came at a campaign cattle call in April 2019, just a few months after ELIZABETH WARREN announced her presidential bid: How would she address 'the urge to flee to the safety of a white male candidate?'

"After a question-and-answer session spent presenting her plans to address maternal mortality, criminal justice, housing, redlining and tribal sovereignty, that remark came as 'a big bucket of cold water,' Ms. Warren, the Massachusetts senator, writes in a new memoir about her failed campaign. … Her book, 'Persist,' addresses Ms. Warren's effort to grapple with that question. Obtained by The New York Times before its release next week, it offers a peek into Ms. Warren's personal view of her loss … and her own shortcomings."

MEDIAWATCH

WHOOPS — "Newsmax apologizes to Dominion employee for falsely alleging he manipulated votes against Trump," WaPo

DESSERT

BE CURIOUS, NOT JUDGMENTAL — "The Strange Bipartisan Appeal of Ted Lasso," by Joanna Weiss for POLITICO Magazine: "It seems a widespread notion … that Ted Lasso has some crucial quality that politics is lacking, no matter which party the show belongs to. But what is it?"

CLICKER — "The nation's cartoonists on the week in politics," edited by Matt Wuerker — 15 funnies

 

JOIN TUESDAY FOR A CONVERSATION ON SMALL BUSINESSES AFTER COVID-19: About one in six small businesses in the U.S. closed their doors since the pandemic began. The ones that remained open are getting by with fewer employees after laying off workers or a hiring freeze. What is ahead for small businesses in 2021 as they try to weather the ongoing economic uncertainty? And how does President Biden's $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief package intend to support small-business owners? Join POLITICO for a virtual conversation with White House economic adviser Jared Bernstein and Joyce Beatty, chair of the Congressional Black Caucus, on what small businesses need to survive and thrive beyond the Covid economic crisis. REGISTER HERE.

 
 
PLAYBOOKERS

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — Alex Yudelson is now deputy executive secretary of the Domestic Policy Council. He most recently was chief of staff for the city of Rochester, N.Y., and is an alum of the Obama White House, where he worked for Yohannes Abraham.

ENGAGED — Jackie Rooney, head of internal strategic response at Facebook, and Halter Cunningham, director of marketing at Circufiber Inc., got engaged Friday at 'Sconset Beach on Nantucket, Mass. He surprised her with the proposal before going to their favorite breakfast spot, Island Kitchen. The couple met through his sister, Katie Cunningham, when Jackie and Katie became friends working on Mitt Romney's 2012 campaign. Pic Another pic

HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Rep. Peter Welch (D-Vt.) … Mika Brzezinski … Indiana Gov. Eric Holcomb Steve Elmendorf … WSJ's Matt Murray … CNN's Poppy Harlow … Facebook's Lindsey Held Bolton … MSNBC's Jesse RodriguezKimberly Morrall ... Kyle DowneyDaniel Kroese … POLITICO's Andrew McGill, Andrew Atterbury, Nick Sobczyk and Justine Lore ... Megan Harrington ... Julianna GoldmanRuss Sullivan of Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck … Karen Doyne ... Rick Stengel Taylor Lioce ... NRSC's T.W. ArrighiDrew Florio Emily Tisch Sussman Hilary Clifford ... S&P Global's Katie ThompsonRaul Paez ... Jeff Butler ... BofA's Bess EvansConchita Cruz … former Commerce Secretary Penny Pritzker ... former Rep. Robert L. Turner (R-N.Y.) (8-0) ... Twitter's Lauren Devoll ... Mollie Wilken … Cogent Strategies' Will Bohlen ... Alon Ben-Meir ... Christian Pierre-Canel ... Nate Zimpher Dorothy McAuliffe ... Joel Payne

Send Playbookers tips to playbook@politico.com. Playbook couldn't happen without our editor Mike Zapler and producers Allie Bice, Eli Okun and Garrett Ross.

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