Monday, December 28, 2020

Sector Analysis and Key Events for Monday

INO.com  INO Morning Markets Report

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Summary
The Dow Future has climbed 157 points to 30266. The US Dollar Index climbed 0.052 points to 90.275. Gold has slid 17.955 dollars to 1876.895. Silver has slid 0.3530 dollars to 26.2850. The Dow Industrials climbed 70.04 points, at 30199.87, while the S&P 500 climbed 13.05 points, last seen at 3703.06. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 33.62 points to 12804.73. Streaming charts of these markets are available at MarketClub

Blog Postings and Videos
The Fed Warms To Climate Change
Sunday Dec 27th

Merry Christmas From INO.com
Thursday Dec 24th

Tech Stocks - A "Win-Win-Win"?
Tuesday Dec 22nd

Key Events for Monday

9:45 PM ET. Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index

N/A U.S. federal offices closed on Christmas Eve as financial markets close

N/A Marianas: Christmas Day

N/A U.S.: Christmas Day. Financial markets

10:30 AM ET. December Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey

Business Activity (previous 12.0)

Mfg Production Idx (previous 7.2)

4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings

4:30 PM ET. Money Stock Measures

4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings




 
Currencies Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
US DOLLAR INDEX 90.275 +0.052 +0.06%
Invesco DB US Dollar Index 24.345 +0.015 +0.06%
US Dollar/Canadian Dollar 1.283995 -0.000460 -0.04%
Euro/US Dollar 1.22052 -0.00055 -0.05%
JAPANESE YEN Jan 2021 0.009663 +0.000009 +0.09%
SWISS FRANC Mar 2021 1.1258 +0.0011 +0.10%
US Dollar/Hong Kong Dollar 7.75285 +0.00068 +0.01%
CURRENCIES:http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=currencies"

The March Dollar was slightly lower overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to slightly lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above Monday's high crossing at $90.95 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If March resumes the decline off November's high, monthly support crossing at $88.15 is the next downside target. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at $90.95. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $91.97. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at $89.64. Second support is monthly support crossing at $88.15.

The March Euro was steady to slightly higher overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $121.66 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off November's low, the 62% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $125.38 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at $123.04. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $125.38. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $121.66. Second support is the December 9th low crossing at $120.90.

The March British Pound was higher overnight and is poised to resume the rally off May's low. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session beings trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March renews the rally off September's low, the February-2019 high crossing at 1.3728 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.3247 would signal that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 1.3643. Second resistance is the February-2019 high crossing at 1.3728. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.3247. Second support is November's low crossing at 1.2876.

The March Swiss Franc was steady to slightly lower overnight as it extends this week's trading range. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.1264 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If March renews the rally off November's low, the September-2018 high crossing at 1.1408 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 1.1371. Second resistance is the September-2018 high crossing at 1.1408. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.1264. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.1117.

The March Canadian Dollar was steady to slightly higher overnight as it consolidates some of its losses off last-Thursday's high. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, the 50-day moving average crossing at $76.91 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $78.22 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. If March renews this year's rally, the October-2018 high crossing at $79.05 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at $78.85. Second resistance is the October-2018 high crossing at $79.05. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $76.91. Second support is the November 13th low crossing at $75.96.

The March Japanese Yen was steady to lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to slightly lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 0.0964 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off November's low, the 87% retracement level of March's decline crossing at 0.0981 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 0.0974. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the February-March rally crossing at 0.0981. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 0.0964. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.0960.



 
Energy Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
CRUDE OIL Feb 2021 48.69 +0.46 +1.15%
NY HARBOR ULSD HEATING OIL Jan 2021 1.5021 +0.0121 +1.02%
NATURAL GAS Jan 2021 2.284 -0.234 -7.33%
RBOB GASOLINE Jan 2021 1.3920 +0.0131 +1.19%
Invesco DWA Energy Momentum ETF 17.6117 -0.2488 -1.96%
United States Gasoline 23.57 -0.10 -0.54%

ENERGIES

February crude oil was lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top is in or near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $46.76 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If February extends the rally off November's low, the 62% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $52.41 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at $49.43. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $52.41. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $46.76. Second support is December's low crossing at $44.10.

February heating oil was steady to lower overnight as it consolidates some of Wednesday's rally. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $143.67 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If February extends the rally off November's low, the 38% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $152.86 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at $151.88. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $152.86. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $143.67. Second support is the December 2nd low crossing at $134.29.

February unleaded gas was steady to slightly lower overnight as it consolidates some of Wednesday's rally. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $130.95 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If February extends the rally off November's low, the 62% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $152.11 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at $139.69. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $152.11. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $130.95. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $120.98.

February Henry natural gas was lower in late-overnight trading as it extends Wednesday's decline. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If February extends this week's decline, December's low crossing at 2.393 is the next downside target. If February resumes the rally off December's low, the 38% retracement level of the October-December-decline crossing at 2.797 is the next upside target. First resistance resistance is the 38% retracement level of the October-December-decline crossing at 2.797. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 2.933. First support is December's low crossing at 2.393. Second support is weekly support crossing at 2.179.



 
Food Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
COFFEE MARCH 2021 126.15 +1.60 +1.28%
SUGAR #11 WORLD MARCH 2021 14.92 +0.09 +0.61%
SUGAR #16 MARCH 2021 28.40 +0.01 +0.04%
ORANGE JUICE - A JANUARY 2021 119.00 +1.05 +0.89%
IPATH SER B BLOOMBERG SUGAR SUBINDEX TOTAL RETURN 44.260 +0.775 +1.76%
IPATH SER B BLOOMBERG SOFTS SUBINDEX TOTAL RETURN 41.520 +0.505 +1.30%

FOOD & FIBER

March coffee closed higher on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to slightly higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 12.19 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off November's low, the 87% retracement level of the September-November decline crossing at 13.17 is the next upside target.

March cocoa closed lower on Wednesday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that a low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 26.08 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 25.05 would open the door for a larger-degree decline.

March sugar closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close set the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 15.07 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If March renews the decline off November's high, the October 30th low crossing at 13.94 is the next downside target.

March cotton closed higher on Wednesday as it consolidates some of Monday's decline. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 73.80 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March resumes the rally off April's low, the July-2018 high crossing at 79.56 is the next upside target.



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Grains Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
CORN Mar 2021 452.5 +1.5 +0.37%
OATS Mar 2021 338.25 +2.75 +0.93%
WHEAT Mar 2021 621.0 -6.0 -0.98%
Teucrium Corn Fund ETV 14.75 +0.08 +0.59%
IPATH SER B BLOOMBERG GRAINS SUBINDEX TOTAL RETURN 52.275 +0.605 +1.28%
ELEMENTS Linked to the ICE BofAML Commodity Index eXtra Grains Total Return 3.589 +0.289 +9.05%
SOYBEANS Jan 2021 1267.5 +4.0 +0.37%
SOYBEAN (MINI) Jan 2021 1264.625 +1.125 +0.10%
SOYBEAN MEAL Jan 2021 421.9 +5.1 +1.34%
Teucrium Soybean Fund ETV 18.9000 +0.0200 +0.12%

GRAINS

March corn was higher overnight as it extends this month's rally. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off April's low, weekly resistance marked by the June-2019 high on the weekly continuation chart crossing at $4.64 1/4 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $4.22 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the overnight high crossing at $4.49 3/4. Second resistance is the June-2019 high on the weekly continuation chart crossing at $4.64 1/4. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $4.29 1/4. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $4.22.

March wheat was higher overnight as it extends the rally off December's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March resumes the rally off December's low, October's high crossing at $6.37 3/4 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.98 1/4 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the overnight high crossing at $6.33 3/4. Second resistance is October's high crossing at $6.37 3/4. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.98 1/4. Second support is the December 7th low crossing at $5.65 1/2.

March Kansas City wheat was steady to fractionally lower overnight. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends this month's rally, the 87% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $6.12 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.61 1/2 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $5.87 1/4. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $6.12. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.61 1/2. Second support is the December 7th low crossing at $5.30 3/4.

March Minneapolis wheat was higher overnight. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to slightly lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March resumes the rally off December's low, November's high crossing at $5.86 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at crossing at $5.61 1/4 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at $5.83 3/4. Second resistance is November's high crossing at $5.86. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at crossing at $5.61 1/4. Second support is the December 16th low crossing at $5.54 1/4.

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March soybeans were higher overnight as it extends the rally off December's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off August's low, the 50% retracement level of the 2012-2019-decline crossing at $12.89 1/2 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $11.91 1/2 would signal that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for a possible test of the 50-day moving average crossing at $11.39 1/4. First resistance is the overnight high crossing at $12.75. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the 2012-2019-decline crossing at $12.89 1/2. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $11.91 1/2. Second support is the December 2nd low crossing at $11.43.

March soybean meal was higher overnight as it extends this month's rally. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off August's low, monthly resistance crossing at $432.50 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $381.80 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the overnight high crossing at $422.80. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at $432.50. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $393.20. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $381.80.

March soybean oil was higher overnight as it extends the rally off October's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off October's low, monthly resistance crossing at 41.25 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 38.51 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the overnight high crossing at 41.17. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at 41.25. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 38.51. Second support is the December 2nd low crossing at 36.42.



 
Indexes Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
Dow Jones Industrial Average 30199.87 +70.04 +0.25%
NASDAQ Composite 12804.73 +33.62 +0.30%
S&P 500 3703.06 +13.05 +0.39%
SPDR S&P 500 368.90 +1.33 +0.40%
iShares Russell 2000 ETF 199.07 -0.07 -0.04%

U.S. STOCK INDEXES

The March NASDAQ 100 was steady to higher overnight. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If the NASDAQ 100 extends the rally off November's low into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. Closes below Monday's low crossing at 12,461.00 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at 12,789.75. Second resistance is unknown. First support is Monday's low crossing at 12,461.00. Second is the 50-day moving average crossing at 12,052.83.

The March S&P 500 was steady to slightly higher overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below Monday's low crossing at 3637.20 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends this year's rally into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at 3720.00. Second resistance is unknown. First support is Monday's low crossing at 3637.20. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3545.95.



 
Interest Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
T-BONDS Mar 2021 172.09375 -0.65625 -0.37%
iShares Floating Rate Bond ETF 50.723 +0.002 0.00%
5 YEAR T-NOTES Dec 2020 125.710938 -0.054688 -0.04%
ULTRA T-BONDS Mar 2021 211.1875 -1.3750 -0.63%
Invesco Senior Loan Portf 22.23 +0.04 +0.18%

INTEREST RATES

March T-bonds were steady to lower overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to slightly lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March renews the decline off the November 20th high, December's low crossing at 171-04 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 173-26 would signal that a low has been open while opening the door for a possible test of November's high crossing at 177-06. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 173-26. Second resistance is the November 20th high crossing at 175-21. First support is the December 4th low crossing at 171-04. Second support is November's low crossing at 170-22.

March T-notes were steady to slightly lower overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to slightly lower opening with the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral signaling that sideways trading is possible near-term. Closes above Monday's high crossing at 138.080 would open the door for additional gains near-term. Closes below last-Wednesday's low crossing at 137.195 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 138.080. Second resistance is November's high crossing at 138.300. First support is the December 4th low crossing at 137.075. Second support is November's low crossing at 136.265.



 
Livestock Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
FEEDER CATTLE Jan 2021 140.900 +0.450 +0.33%
LEAN HOGS Feb 2021 66.875 -1.100 -1.64%
LIVE CATTLE Dec 2020 112.150 +0.375 +0.35%
IPATH SER B BLOOMBERG LIVESTOCK SUBINDEX TOTAL RETURN 34.3450 -0.0677 -0.20%

LIVESTOCK

February hogs closed up $1.95 at $67.98.

February hogs closed sharply higher on Wednesday as it renewed the rally off December's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If February extends this month's rally, December's high crossing at $69.60 is the next upside target. Closes below last-Wednesday's low crossing at $64.65 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at $68.13. Second resistance is December's high crossing at $69.60. First support is December's low crossing at $63.00. Second support is November's low crossing at $62.75. Third support is September's crossing at $61.55.

February cattle closed up $1.33 at $114.78

February cattle posted a key reversal up as it closed higher on Wednesday ending a two-day correction off Monday's high. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a double top with November's high might have been posted with Monday's high. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $111.91 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If February renews the rally off October's low, September's high crossing at $116.63 is the next upside target. If First resistance is November's high crossing at $115.45. Second resistance is September's high crossing at $116.63. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $111.91. Second support is the December 8th low crossing at $110.55.

March Feeder cattle closed up $0.15 at $142.03.

March Feeder cattle closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off October's low, August's high crossing at $145.30 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $140.42 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at $143.43. Second resistance is August's high crossing at $145.30. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $140.42. Second support is the December 7th low crossing at $137.25.



 
Metals Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
GOLD Dec 2020 1879.9 +1.1 +0.06%
SPDR Gold Trust 176.3200 +0.6700 +0.37%
SILVER Dec 2020 26.475 +0.664 +2.77%
PALLADIUM Dec 2020 2304.5 -56.4 -2.46%
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X Shares 19.981 -0.139 -0.77%
Invesco DB Precious Metals Fund 52.120 +0.262 +0.50%

PRECIOUS METALS

February gold was steady to slightly lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below last-Monday's low crossing at $1820.00 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. Closes above the November 16th high crossing at $1904.30 would open the door for a possible test of November's high. First resistance is the November 16th high crossing at $1904.30. Second resistance is November's high crossing at $1973.30. First support is last-Monday's low crossing at $1820.00. Second support is November's low crossing at $1767.20.

March silver was was steady to slightly higher overnight as it consolidates some of Tuesday's decline. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $24.554 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off November's low, the September 15th high crossing at $28.015 is the next upside target. First resistance is the September 15th high crossing at $28.015. Second resistance is September's high crossing at $29.380. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $24.554. Second support is November's low crossing at $21.960.

March copper was steady to slightly lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.5291 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March resumes the rally off October's low, the February-2013 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 3.7925 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at 3.6455. Second resistance is the February-2013 high on the monthly chart crossing at 3.7925. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.5291. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3.3063.



 
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