Thursday, November 19, 2020

Sector Analysis and Key Events for Thursday

INO.com  INO Morning Markets Report

The Most Profitable Day In History

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Summary
The Dow Future has retreated 13 points to 29353. The US Dollar Index climbed 0.250 points to 92.566. Gold is lower 5.440 dollars to 1861.405. Silver has eased 0.1935 dollars to 23.9950. The Dow Industrials eased 344.93 points, at 29438.42, while the S&P 500 trended lower by 41.74 points, last seen at 3567.79. The Nasdaq Composite eased 97.74 points to 11801.60. Streaming charts of these markets are available at MarketClub

Blog Postings and Videos
CVS Finally Breaks Out
Wednesday Nov 18th

What To Expect Under A Biden Presidency
Tuesday Nov 17th

Gold & Silver: One More Move Down?
Monday Nov 16th

Key Events for Thursday

7:00 AM ET. MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey

Composite Idx (previous 833.9)

Composite Idx, W/W% (previous -0.5%)

Purchase Idx-SA (previous 293.5)

Purchase Idx-SA, W/W% (previous -2.6%)

Refinance Idx (previous 3973.1)

Refinance Idx, W/W% (previous +0.6%)

8:30 AM ET. October New Residential Construction - Housing Starts and Building Permits

Total Starts (expected 1.45M; previous 1.415M)

Housing Starts, M/M% (expected +2.5%; previous +1.9%)

Building Permits (expected 1.56M; previous 1.553M

Building Permits, M/M% (expected +0.5%; previous +5.2%)

10:00 AM ET. 3rd Quarter Advance Quarterly Services

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report

Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl) (previous 488.706M)

Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +4.277M)

Gasoline Stocks (Bbl) (previous 225.356M)

Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -2.309M)

Distillate Stocks (Bbl) (previous 149.289M)

Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -5.355M)

Refinery Usage (previous 74.5%)

Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day) (previous 20.18M)

Total Prod Supplied, Net Chg (Bbl/day) (previous +1.818M)

2:00 PM ET. SEC Closed

8:30 AM ET. November Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey

Business Activity (expected 22.0; previous 32.3)

Prices Paid (previous 28.5)

Employment (previous 12.7)

New Orders (previous 42.6)

Prices Received (previous 14.0)

Delivery Times (previous 20.5)

Inventories (previous -2.5)

Shipments (previous 46.5)

8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims

Jobless Claims (expected 710K; previous 709K)

Jobless Claims, Net Chg (previous -48K)

Continuing Claims (previous 6786000)

Continuing Claims, Net Chg (previous -436K)

8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales

Corn (Metric Tons) (previous 978.3K)

Soybeans (Metric Tons) (previous 1468.5K)

Wheat (Metric Tons) (previous 300.5K)

9:45 AM ET. Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index

10:00 AM ET. October Existing Home Sales

Existing Sales (expected 6.46M; previous 6.54M)

Existing Sales, M/M% (expected -1.2%; previous +9.4%)

Unsold Homes Month's Supply (previous 2.7)

Median Price (USD) (previous 311800)

Median Home Price, Y/Y% (previous +14.8%)

10:00 AM ET. October Leading Indicators

Leading Index, M/M% (expected +0.7%; previous +0.7%)

Leading Index (previous 107.2)

Coincident Index, M/M% (previous +0.2%)

Lagging Index, M/M% (previous -0.1%)

10:00 AM ET. 3rd Quarter Quarterly Retail E-Commerce Sales

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report

Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) (previous 3927B)

Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf) (previous +8B)

11:00 AM ET. Nov. Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Survey of Tenth District Manufacturing

Mfg Activity Idx (previous 23)

6-Mo Exp Prod Idx (previous 31)

Mfg Composite Idx (previous 13)

6-Mo Exp Composite Idx (previous 31)

4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings

4:30 PM ET. Money Stock Measures

4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window

10:00 AM ET. October Regional & State Employment & Unemployment



 
Currencies Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
US DOLLAR INDEX 92.566 +0.250 +0.27%
Invesco DB US Dollar Index 24.935 +0.005 +0.02%
US Dollar/Canadian Dollar 1.310050 +0.001570 +0.12%
Euro/US Dollar 1.18337 -0.00137 -0.12%
JAPANESE YEN Dec 2020 0.009617 -0.000021 -0.22%
SWISS FRANC Dec 2020 1.0972 -0.0011 -0.10%
US Dollar/Hong Kong Dollar 7.75295 +0.00031 0.00%
CURRENCIES:http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=currencies"

CURRENCIES: The March Euro currency closed up 2 points at 1.1900 today. Prices closed near mid- range today. The bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage as prices are not far below the September high.

The March Japanese yen closed up 345 points at .96465 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. Bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. However, this month's spike high is strong overhead resistance for the bulls to overcome.

The March Swiss franc closed up 5 points at 1.1027 today. Prices closed near the session high today. The Swissy bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage.

The March Canadian dollar closed up 26 points at .7673 today. Prices closed near the session high today. The bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage.

The March British pound closed up 25 points at 1.3297 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today and closed at a 2.5-month high close. The bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage.

The March U.S. dollar index closed down 0.133 at 92.215 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. The bears have the firm overall near-term technical advantage.




 
Energy Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
CRUDE OIL Dec 2020 41.59 -0.03 -0.08%
NY HARBOR ULSD HEATING OIL Dec 2020 1.2692 +0.0064 +0.55%
NATURAL GAS Dec 2020 2.600 -0.115 -3.75%
RBOB GASOLINE Dec 2020 1.1549 +0.0011 +0.10%
Invesco DWA Energy Momentum ETF 15.2445 -0.3460 -2.73%
United States Gasoline 19.860 +0.035 +0.19%

ENERGIES

ENERGIES: December Nymex crude oil closed up $0.63 at $42.06 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. The bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a fledgling uptrend on the daily bar chart.

December heating oil closed up 335 points at $1.2726 today. Prices closed near the session high today. The bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a fledgling uptrend on the daily bar chart.

December (RBOB) unleaded gasoline closed up 208 points at $1.1740 today. Prices closed near the session high today. The bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage.

December natural gas closed up 3.1 cents at $2.723 today. Prices closed near mid-range and saw a mild short-covering bounce after hitting a five-month low Tuesday. The bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage.




 
Food Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
COFFEE DECEMBER 2020 119.35 -0.40 -0.33%
SUGAR #11 WORLD MARCH 2021 15.32 -0.13 -0.84%
SUGAR #16 JANUARY 2021 29.70 -0.19 -0.64%
ORANGE JUICE - A JANUARY 2021 128.45 +1.55 +1.22%
IPATH SER B BLOOMBERG SUGAR SUBINDEX TOTAL RETURN 46.0280 -0.0378 -0.09%
IPATH SER B BLOOMBERG SOFTS SUBINDEX TOTAL RETURN 38.860 -0.470 -1.21%

FOOD & FIBER

SOFTS: March sugar closed up 9 points at 15.40 cents today. Prices closed near mid-range today. Prices Tuesday hit a 2.5-year high. The sugar bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a 2.5-month- old uptrend on the daily bar chart and have seen a bullish upside breakout from a trading range.

March coffee closed up 365 points at 123.15 cents today. Prices closed near the session high today and hit another two-month high. The coffee bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage as prices are in a steep uptrend on the daily chart.

March cocoa closed up $77 at $2,594 a ton today. Prices closed nearer the session high today and hit a seven-week high. The cocoa bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. A steep three-week-old uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart.

March cotton closed up 45 points at 71.75 cents today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. The cotton bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage and are keeping alive a 7.5-month-old price uptrend in place on the daily bar chart.

January orange juice closed up 100 points at $1.2790 today. Prices closed near the session high and hit a three-month high today. FCOJ bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage and have momentum amid an accelerating price uptrend in placed on the daily chart.




The Most Profitable Day In History

When this company makes a stunning announcement on December 4, 2020... everything changes. And the people who know about it ahead of time could turn every $500 into $55,280. A small investment now has the chance to turn you into a multimillionaire. Overnight.


 
Grains Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
CORN Dec 2020 420.00 -4.75 -1.17%
OATS Dec 2020 295.75 -0.75 -0.25%
WHEAT Dec 2020 596.00 -2.25 -0.37%
Teucrium Corn Fund ETV 14.1962 +0.0962 +0.72%
IPATH SER B BLOOMBERG GRAINS SUBINDEX TOTAL RETURN 49.8950 +0.3445 +0.73%
ELEMENTS Linked to the ICE BofAML Commodity Index eXtra Grains Total Return 3.15 -0.15 -4.70%
SOYBEANS Jan 2021 1164.25 -9.50 -0.88%
SOYBEAN (MINI) Jan 2021 1164.000 -8.875 -0.82%
SOYBEAN MEAL Dec 2020 391.4 -3.6 -0.93%
Teucrium Soybean Fund ETV 17.7800 +0.0300 +0.18%

GRAINS

GRAINS: March corn futures closed up 2 3/4 cents at $4.29 1/2 today. Prices closed near mid-range today. The bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a 3.5-month-old price uptrend on the daily bar chart.

January soybeans closed up 8 3/4 cents today at $11.78 1/4 a bushel. Prices closed near mid-range today and hit a contract high. Bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. A three-month-old price uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart.

March soybean meal closed down $0.60 at $390.80 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. Prices Tuesday hit a contract high. The meal bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. A three-month-old price uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart.

March bean oil closed up 94 points at 37.98 cents today and hit another contract high. Prices closed nearer the session high. The bean oil bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage.

March SRW wheat closed up 5 1/2 cents at $6.08 1/2 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. Bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage.

March HRW wheat closed up 4 3/4 cents today at $5.66 1/4. Prices closed nearer the session high today. HRW bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a 3.5-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart.




 
Indexes Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
Dow Jones Industrial Average 29438.42 -344.93 -1.26%
NASDAQ Composite 11801.60 -97.74 -0.88%
S&P 500 3567.79 -41.74 -1.24%
SPDR S&P 500 356.4501 -4.1699 -1.24%
iShares Russell 2000 ETF 176.030 -2.430 -1.52%

U.S. STOCK INDEXES

GENERAL STOCK MARKET COMMENT: The U.S. stock indexes closed firmer today. The marketplace is presently grappling with the specter of a Covid-19 vaccine coming to the public in the coming months that will likely give economies a strong boost, while at the same time realizing it's going to be a grim winter as the pandemic continues to rage in many areas around the globe, including the U.S. and parts of Europe. On this day so far, it appears traders are more focused on the promising vaccine. Still weighing on trader/investor sentiment, however, is the likelihood that no new U.S. government stimulus package is on horizon despite millions of Americans struggling after Covid wiped out their jobs. In overnight news, the Euro zone October consumer price index rose 0.2% from September and was down 0.3%, year-on- year. Those numbers were in line with market expectations and still don't show any signs of problematic inflation any time soon. Once the pandemic is under control and economies start to recover rapidly, that's likely when producer and consumer prices could start to rise at a faster clip. The U.S. dollar index is weaker again today and the greenback bears are having a good week. The other important outside market sees crude oil prices higher and trading around $42.15 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note futures is currently trading at 0.86%.



 
Interest Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
T-BONDS Dec 2020 173.06250 +0.21875 +0.13%
iShares Floating Rate Bond ETF 50.716 +0.004 +0.01%
5 YEAR T-NOTES Dec 2020 125.523438 +0.023438 +0.02%
ULTRA T-BONDS Dec 2020 217.3125 +0.6250 +0.29%
Invesco Senior Loan Portf 21.94 0.00 0.00%

INTEREST RATES

December U.S. T-Bonds closed down 11/32 at 172 7/32 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. The bond market bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a choppy, 3.5-month-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

December U.S. T Notes closed down 6.5 (32nds) at 138.03.0 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. The note market bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a six-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.




 
Livestock Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
FEEDER CATTLE Nov 2020 136.950 -0.475 -0.34%
LEAN HOGS Dec 2020 66.0 +0.5 +0.75%
LIVE CATTLE Dec 2020 110.450 -0.900 -0.83%
IPATH SER B BLOOMBERG LIVESTOCK SUBINDEX TOTAL RETURN 33.7400 -0.1109 -0.33%

LIVESTOCK

LIVESTOCK: February live cattle closed down $0.47 at $113.10 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. Bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage as prices have made a strong rebound from the October low. A fledgling price uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart.

January feeder cattle closed down $1.97 at $137.75 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. Bulls still have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are still in a four-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart but now just barely.

February lean hogs closed up $0.10 at $65.72 today. Prices closed nearer the session high. Bulls have the slight overall near-term technical advantage but need to show more power soon to halt a downtrend in place on the daily bar chart.




 
Metals Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
GOLD Nov 2020 1865.8 -7.7 -0.40%
SPDR Gold Trust 175.4889 -1.0111 -0.57%
SILVER Dec 2020 24.055 -0.340 -1.42%
PALLADIUM Dec 2020 2319.2 -20.1 -0.88%
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X Shares 21.08 +1.23 +6.80%
Invesco DB Precious Metals Fund 51.3700 -0.3236 -0.62%

PRECIOUS METALS

METALS: December gold futures were down $9.80 at $1,875.30 in midday trading today and near mid-range. The gold bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage.

December silver futures were down $0.171 at $24.48 at midday today and near mid-range. Silver futures bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage.

December N.Y. copper closed up 5 points at 319.85 cents today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. The copper bulls still have the solid overall near-term technical advantage.




 
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