Wednesday, September 2, 2020

FX Strategy 02 Sep 2020

 
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FX Strategy 02 Sep 2020

 

In the G10 FX Market, NZD and USD are the top gainers today while CHF and AUD are the top losers, down -0.29% and -0.27% versus the dollar, respectively. In the rates market, global yields were trading mixed today. The US 10-year was trading at 0.687, up 1.5bp. The Japan 10-year was trading at 0.037, flat 0.0bp. The German 10-year was trading at -0.437, down -2.2bp. The UK 10-year was trading at 0.274, down -2.4bp.

 

In the Asian equities, markets were trading mixed today. The Nikkei 225 was trading at 23247.15, up 0.47%. The Kospi was trading at 2364.37, up 0.63%. The Hang Seng was trading at 25128.0, down -0.23%. In the European equities, indices were trading firm today. The DAX 30 was trading at 13109.65, up 1.04%. The FTSE 100 was trading at 5929.35, up 1.15%. The Euro Stoxx 50 was trading at 3304.75, up 0.83%.

 

Looking at Equity Futures so far,The FTSE100 Futures was trading at 5922.5, up 1.21%. The Euro Stoxx 50 Futures was trading at 3302.0, up 0.95%. The SP500 Futures was trading at 3541.38, up 0.41%.

 

In the Energy space, Oil futures were trading firm today. The Brent Crude Futures was trading at 46.02, up 0.97%. The WTI Crude Futures was trading at 43.19, up 1.01%.

 

Today we have already seen economic data released from Australia, with GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q2 (Actual -7% v Forecast -6.2%) and YoY Q2 (Actual -6.3% v Forecast -5.5%). We have also had German Retail Sales for July YoY (Actual 4.2% v Forecast 5.1%) and MoM (Actual -0.9% v Forecast -0.5%), UK Nationwide Housing Prices MoM for August (Actual 2% v Forecast 0.4%) and at 09:00 GMT EA PPI for July will be released with YoY (Previous -3.7% v Forecast -3.5%) and MoM (Previous 0.7% v Forecast 0.3%).

 

This afternoon we have ADP Employment Change for August (Previous 167K v Forecast 1000K) at 12:15 GMT, with US Factory Orders for July MoM following at 14:00 GMT (Previous 53.5 v Forecast 52). Fed's Williams is also speaking from 14:00 GMT with BoE's Broadbent on the wires from 14:30 GMT. Weekly US Oil data is also released; we then have BoE's Haldane, Fed's Mester and Fed's Kashkari speaking separately at 15:30 GMT, 16:00 GMT and 18:00 GMT respectively.Later this evening we have Australian data with CommBank Services PMI Final (Previous 58.2 v Forecast 48.1) and Composite PMI Final (Previous 57.8 v Forecast 48.8) for August.

 

10-Year Yields Daily Chart (1-month)

 
 

Daily FX Pivots

 
 

Brent Crude Daily Chart (1-month)

 
 

Forex Chart and Technical Analysis

 

EURUSD Chart (Two-week)

 
 

Strategy: Resistance at 1.1942 for 1.1831
Short-term view: EURUSD resistance comes in at 1.1942 MACD and RSI have a bearish bias. Hence, we see a dip to 1.1831 enter at 1.1905. Above 1.1942 to open 1.1982

 

GBPUSD Chart (Two-week)

 
 

Strategy: Resistance at 1.3408 for 1.3333
Short-term view: GBPUSD resistance comes in at 1.3408 MACD and RSI have a bearish bias. Hence, we see a dip to 1.3333 enter at 1.3383. Above 1.3408 to open 1.3459

 

USDJPY Chart (Two-week)

 
 

Strategy: Support at 105.65 for 106.46
Short-term view: USDJPY support comes in at 105.65 MACD and RSI have a bullish bias. Hence, we see a bounce to 106.46 enter at 105.92. Below 105.65 to open 105.34

 

AUDUSD Chart (Two-week)

 
 

Strategy: Resistance at 0.7382 for 0.7327
Short-term view: AUDUSD resistance comes in at 0.7382 MACD and RSI have a bearish bias. Hence, we see a dip to 0.7327 enter at 0.7364. Above 0.7382 to open 0.7405

 
 
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