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March 5th, 2023 | Issue 172 |
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This week, investors heard from Fed members and continued to receive alarming inflation data, which pushed markets lower to start the week. However, by the week's end, we saw a reversal that put all three major U.S. indices on track to finish the week in the green. Next week's employment data and the Beige Book should further illuminate current economic standings and provide guidance on how the Fed could act during the end of this month's Federal Open Market Committee meeting. At home, as I prepared for my upcoming yoga retreat, I packed several books to take with me. The monthly book club I was in had just wrapped up its latest book, and I was already looking forward to what came next as well as discussing our current read -"Day of the Oprichnik." "The Day of the Oprichnik" is a novel written by Russian historian and activist Vladimir Sorokin in 2006, prior to the invasion of Crimea. The book is a dystopian work of fiction set in 2030 Moscow, wherein the author references the Oprichnik, a special force created by Ivan the Terrible during the 16th century. |
Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Day_of_the_Oprichnik |
Sorokin depicts a future Russia that has remained on a path of totalitarianism, isolationism from the West, and loyalty to China. He describes the manipulation of religion, book burning, and sexual perversion as means to control and subjugate the masses. Although a work of fiction, the book is relevant for traders and investors as it provides a glimpse into the possible future of Russia and its relationships with other nations. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine, the involvement of Russia and China, and the impact of sanctions on the global economy are all concerns for traders. The book is X-rated and not suitable for all audiences, but for those interested in predicting the future or hedging their portfolios against black swan events, it may be worth reading. The story serves as a reminder of the importance of learning from history and the potential consequences of political and economic decisions. In recent years, Russia's actions have had a significant impact on the financial markets. The conflict in Ukraine and the imposition of sanctions by the US and its allies have led to a decline in the Russian economy. The Russian stock market fell by 50% in 2014, and the ruble lost 40% of its value against the US dollar. The sanctions have also affected companies doing business in Russia, such as ExxonMobil, which had to halt its operations there. Furthermore, the involvement of China in the conflict adds another layer of complexity to the situation. China's potential supply of weapons to Russia has raised concerns from the U.S., which has warned of severe sanctions against China if it provides lethal weapons. As these geopolitical situations continue to brew, I cannot help but make very obvious modern-day connections. In conclusion, "The Day of the Oprichnik" is a thought-provoking novel that provides insight into the potential future of Russia and its relationship with other nations. Traders and investors should pay close attention to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and the involvement of Russia and China, as these developments can have a significant impact on financial markets. Conversations like these are what we strive for in our weekly webinars. Connecting the fundamentals of technical analysis with current market conditions and additional insights is what sets YellowTunnel apart from the rest. Not only do I bring a personal touch, combined with top-of-the-line A.I., but also key psychological pillars. Our community is designed to provide you with a unique trading experience where you can benefit from our A.I. trading program and learn from other experienced traders. YellowTunnel provides a 30-day risk-free trial that gives you full access to our platform and allows you to explore different trading strategies. You can test out our predictive software and trade intelligence platform and see for yourself the accuracy of our signals and the power of our trading tools. Our community is designed to provide you with the support and guidance you need to become a successful trader. For more information on the YellowTunnel tools and our trading community, I suggest reviewing our latest Strategy Roundtable, which we hold weekly on YellowTunnel. I also recommend checking out our latest Roundtable webinar in its entirety below: |
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| Vlad Karpel
YellowTunnel and Tradespoon Founder |
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P.S. Click here for access to the Power Trading Live Strategy Roundtable Recorded every Thursday. |
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TRADE IDEA OF THE WEEK Best Fast Trade: Big Bank Bounce-Back |
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Morgan Stanley (MS) is a global financial services firm that provides a wide range of financial products and services, including investment banking, sales and trading, wealth management, and asset management. With a history dating back to 1935, Morgan Stanley is one of the largest investment banks in the world, with operations in over 41 countries and a team of over 80,000 employees. Morgan Stanley's stock, which is listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol "MS," has performed well over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 index. In the past 12 months, MS stock has gained over 14%, driven by the strong performance of its wealth management and investment banking businesses. Morgan Stanley's wealth management business has been a key driver of growth for the firm in recent years, with the company's asset and wealth management division accounting for nearly half of its total revenue. The division has benefited from a strong market environment and increased demand for wealth management services among high-net-worth individuals. In addition, Morgan Stanley's investment banking business has also performed well, benefiting from a surge in IPO activity and increased demand for M&A advisory services. The company has also made a number of strategic acquisitions in recent years to strengthen its position in key markets, including its acquisition of E*TRADE Financial in 2020, which has helped to expand its retail brokerage and online banking businesses.
Buying MS stock now may be a good idea due to the oversold market and the fact that banks have held strong. This is not an investment call, but with a 1-2 month holding time, it may be a worthwhile consideration. Let's review our A.I. data...
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It's been very difficult the last year… |
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| | It's been difficult the last year. I am an American citizen, originally from Kyiv, Ukraine, and I have family and friends back home. Freedom to build a business, and especially freedom of the press, has been a blessing. Thank you for American values and for sharing them with my family and me. We appreciate your support and honor of our rights. |
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As a thank you, I would like to show you what I do (in real-time). Every trade recommendation that I make using this system – comes straight from the list of trade recommendations I use myself. Not only that, but every trade I make is logged in detail for you to review at any time. As the market changes with the first anniversary of the Ukrainian war, the ups and downs of inflation, and further global uncertainty…you can see my new trading updates LIVE so that you can Do-As-I-Do and even copy my trading strategy during these changing times. From January 1, 2020, to today (March 3, 2023, my total return on risk is an astounding 632%. I've made 1777 trades since then, with 1506 of them having made money. ** |
(A portion of Yellow Tunnel sales will go to directly help the Ukrainian people) |
CURRENT TRADING LANDSCAPE |
After a tumultuous start to the week, all three major U.S. indices are now poised to end in the green, thanks to an expansion in the services sector which investors are digesting. Although benchmark Treasury yields reached over 4% for the first time since November this week, they have now started to dip, giving investors some hope. On Friday, the 10-year Treasury yield fell to 3.993%, down from its previous close above 4%. This fall in yields has been a boon to technology shares, which have surged as a result. An increase in bond yields reduces the present value of future cash, adversely impacting company valuations—technology companies particularly, as they rely on future profits. The U.S. economy and interest rates are being closely watched by investors, who are looking for clues as to the direction they may take. On Friday, the Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) services index for February landed at a reading of 55.1, indicating an expansion, albeit slightly lower than January's 55.2 but higher than economists' expectations of 54.5. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion. On Thursday, U.S. stocks experienced a rise in the face of an uptick in bond yields. This followed hawkish comments by Federal Reserve officials and economic data pointing to persistent inflation. Although this rise in bond yields can reduce the present value of future cash that composes company valuations, the 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4%, below the 4.073% it had risen to on Thursday, and below its November level. Meanwhile, the two-year Treasury yield hit a new 52-week high of 4.902%. The Department of Labor reported that seasonally adjusted, initial jobless claims for the week ending February 25 landed at 190,000, indicating a still-resilient labor market. This was down from the 192,000 reported the previous week and below economists' projections of 197,000. Investors are also keeping a close eye on earnings reports from retail companies such as Kroger and Macy's, which were released Thursday. While Salesforce saw an 11.5% increase in stock price after posting better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings, other retail earnings reports had mixed results; Lowe's beat expectations for the fourth quarter but saw a drop in its stock price, and Dollar Tree topped estimates but disappointed in its guidance, resulting in a minimal rise in stock price. Kohl's stock price declined by 1.7% after it reported a significant loss in the fourth quarter and missed analysts' estimates. On Wednesday, the U.S. stock market experienced a decline following hawkish comments from Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari. Kashkari suggested that a more significant interest rate hike was likely, and this sentiment was further compounded by the latest manufacturing data released by the ISM, which came in slightly worse than expected at 47.7—below economists' forecasts of 47.8—and a slight increase from January's reading of 47.4... |
The financial sector has seen some pressure due to rising interest rates and a fluctuating U.S. dollar. However, recent earnings reports from major banks have been positive, showing strong consumer spending and lending activity. With the Federal Reserve signaling continued rate hikes and an expanding economy, the financial sector may be poised for a rebound. Keep an eye on this sector as it could present an opportunity for investors in the near future. If the financial sector is to go the way we believe, there is no better symbol to get involved with than my go-to financial ETF. |
The SPDR Select Sector Fund - Financials ETF (XLF) tracks the performance of the financial sector within the S&P 500 index. This sector includes companies involved in banking, insurance, and other financial services. The XLF ETF has performed well over the last year, benefiting from a growing economy and rising interest rates; however, it dipped over the last month. Even though there are worries about the potential impact of higher interest rates on the financial sector as well as the broader market, XLF has managed to thrive in a variety of market conditions. Overall, the XLF ETF remains an important benchmark for investors looking to gain exposure to the financial sector. As with any investment, it is important to carefully consider the risks and potential rewards before making a decision. Let's review our A.I. data... |
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NOTE: We encourage all subscribers to view the instructional videos on how to use your membership best and invite our members to participate in live weekly strategy roundtable workshops that are also archived for your convenience so that they can be viewed at a later time. |
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How To Trade a Bear Market Strategy Roundtable With the unpredictable nature of the market and the uncertainty ahead of us, I can't emphasize enough how vital it is for our readers and members of the Yellow Tunnel community to keep referring to our Live Trading Room so as to maintain a close tie of how our I and my AI platform is navigating us in and out of select trades. It's FREE and I highly encourage everyone to sign up for the Live Trading Room and keep checking in throughout the trading day. Every Monday and Wednesday, I highlight our best strategies and potential trading setups via the DISCORD server. It's the future of bringing together a trading community's total services, educational products, live chat venues, support, news, how-to tutorials, webinars, live-trading demonstrations, and tons of market analysis. It is incredibly interactive and full of crucial and timely information. Just go to: |
https://discord.gg/YjBfkaqGGu I also want to emphasize to traders how vital a stop-loss discipline is to winning and being successful in an unforgiving market. We employ specific stop-loss instructions with every trade. The buy and sell programs controlled by high-frequency related algorithms can create great profits or cause sudden losses, so it is imperative to maintain an element of controlling risk with each trade. |
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To effectively trade in today's rapidly moving equity markets, active day traders and swing traders must stay ahead of market changes due to inflation, global uncertainty, politics, as well as innovations and technological changes used by hedge fund traders and proprietary trading firms. With traders like you in mind, we designed this intensive roundtable where you will deepen your understanding of all aspects of stock and options trading in today's changing market. |
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DISCLAIMER: Vlad and his team may have a financial interest in the picks as they trade many of the same equities and options they pick. Vlad Karpel and YellowTunnel (Company) is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. All investing strategies are made available to the general public on a regular basis. We do not provide personalized financial advice or investment recommendations. As an investor, you know that any kind of investment opportunity has its risks. There is no such thing as low-risk stocks and we recommend you invest wisely and that only risk capital should be used to trade. Investing in Stocks and Options is highly speculative. No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed here and on our website. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE SUCCESS: It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators developed at YellowTunnel will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Nor should it be assumed that future picks will be profitable or will equal past performance. All of the content on our website and in our email alerts is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities. Remember, you should always consult with a licensed securities professional before purchasing or selling securities of companies profiled or discussed on YellowTunnel.com. Performance results that are discussed above are from the Live Trading Room. Multiple YellowTunnel tools were used to achieve these results. Trade % Gain/Loss is calculated by dividing the $ Gain/Loss by the Max Risk, which is the posted Stop Loss for the trade. Yellow Tunnel's performance data represents the average return on all trading recommendations from January 1, 2020, to today. *Win rate percentage reflects the average that Yellow Tunnel's software helped me identify a profitable investment strategy.** Triple-digit returns are not typical and are not intended to reflect the likelihood of similar returns in the future. |
This email was sent to edwardlorilla1986.paxforex@blogger.com by info@yellowtunnel.com. Questions or inquiries regarding the website and/or service may be submitted via email to info@yellowtunnel.com. You may also complete our inquiry form located here. YellowTunnel LLC, 318 Half Day Rd., Suite #215, Buffalo Grove, Illinois 60089. Website: https://www.yellowtunnel.com Copyright © 2023 Yellow Tunnel LLC. All rights reserved. If you want to unsubscribe from all or some of our emails please click this link. |
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