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January 8th, 2023 | Issue 164 |
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And here we are! 2023 began as 2022 had ended: all eyes are on the Fed, inflation and employment and continue to be closely monitored. Volatility is still present throughout the market. Treasuries, oil, and various sectors have all taken their turn dipping and spiking while fears of recession cool and heighten. All in all, it appears the majority of uncertainty we had in 2022 will carry into 2023. But fear not, just as promised in last week's issue, I will be giving my 2023 predictions for the year - and based on 2022's successful prediction, one could assume a fairly high success rate on these. Last week, we reviewed our 2022 predictions which for the most part came true: a strong dollar, rising interest rates, and rising volatility. For 2023, I have compiled a list of seven new predictions that I strongly believe will take place, and from them, I have formed one key takeaway for the entire year's outlook. Here are YellowTunnel's 2023 Year in Trading Predictions: - A strong dollar will retest recent highs.
- Inflation will be on the decline, while a drop in yield will take place across the globe.
- Major market selloff: SPY can reach $320-$280 levels (20-30% dropoff)
- Multiple rallies and sell-offs will take place with average drawdowns of 15%
- Tech Struggles: TSLA reaching $70, AAPL reaching $80
- Positive Equity Return in 2023: Following a major selloff, a major rally takes place and ample levels of cash will be maintained this year
- Crypto Crash: Bitcoin lowering further to $10,000
Taking that in, this propagates one general view of the 2023 market landscape: the year of active investing. No longer will buying and holding suffice as merely enough to make a buck in the market. Passive investing will no longer net gains, while those that are quick to make active investments are more likely to profit. Following the 2008 financial crisis, the world entered a decade of low-interest rates, low inflation, and easy printing of money. Consequently, due to Covid's impact on our global economy, we've gone from an economic standstill to a remarkable amount of quantitative easing, which most likely caused hyperinflation levels. Michael Burry, the celebrated hedge fund manager portrayed in the film "The Big Short" concerning the prediction of 2008's financial disaster, has recently predicted that inflation is here to remain. Even if there are moments where we witness a deflationary period, it will be fleeting and followed by numerous periods of inflation, much like those experienced during the 70s and 80s. How will 2023 affect individual investors? The time of buy-and-hold or passive investment, where one reviews their holdings on a quarterly basis, will probably yield negative growth. We think this will be a decade of hedge fund managers who specialize in active investment and are able to go long and short the market strategically. As the days of low interest rates, free money, and minimal inflation are slowly fading away, we anticipate a larger sovereign debt crisis to ensure - one that is greater than in 2011 but not as extreme as the real estate crisis of 2008. Although accurately predicting when these events will take place may prove impossible, it is essential to be proactive by actively managing your portfolio for maximum security. I anticipate 2023 to be a downward market with a notable economic recession. Experts predict that the markets may plummet from 40-60% of their peak values and, as 0% interest rates are far behind us, inflation will become inevitable and bear markets will re-emerge every 2-4 years. But what does this mean for you? It's time to start researching active investing approaches - they have been proven to outperform passive strategies over the course of the next decade! To remain ahead in today's volatile market environment, learn how you can use this secret strategy now before it's too late. I have been using this strategy along with my A.I. toolset, which I developed and honed in over the years, to help me beat the market continuously. Last year, in a resounding down year for markets, the YellowTunnel community was still able to book gains! See my performance results further below, where we booked double-digit gains! But that's not all. Along with trading tips, recommendations, and open access to my personal trade log, we will be working through non-trading factors that impact your day-to-day trading. In webinars, workshops, and weekly videos, we discuss the everyday happenings of the market, as well as strategy and a psychological focus, aimed at positioning yourself and your portfolio for the best, profit-making performance! With YellowTunnel, you get the best of both worlds: top-down and bottom-up approaches. Not to mention our portfolio is continuously managed with exceptional care, even through economic downturns like 2008 - so join us today! Yellowtunnel Trading Services and Tools Review As I've stated, at YellowTunnel, we focus on not only trading-centered ideas but also non-trading opportunities that will offer our subscribers a chance to become more well-rounded and complete traders. In addition to the trading tools and ideas available on our website and during our weekly webinars, we provide other resources that can help supplement your Live Trading experience. That is precisely why I recommend being part of our YellowTunnel trading community, where you can discuss and dissect multiple trading strategies with others. This is exactly what we did in my latest Strategy Roundtable, which we hold weekly on YellowTunnel. I recommend checking out our latest Roundtable webinar in its entirety below: |
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| Vlad Karpel
YellowTunnel and Tradespoon Founder |
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P.S. Click here for access to the Power Trading Live Strategy Roundtable Recorded every Thursday. P.P.S. Join our Discord Community to participate in our Free Live Market Volatility Trading Room Session every Monday and Wednesday at 8:15 am CST. Click Here To Join |
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If you're searching for a dollar index fund with impressive outcomes, the US Dollar Index Bullish Invesco Fund (UUP) is my top choice. It consistently outperforms the competition in terms of data analysis and scores highly within my universe. |
US Dollar Index Bullish Invesco Fund (UUP) currently trades at $27.95 near the median UUP's 52-week range, $25-$30. UUP has achieved a grade of "A" for excellence, placing it in the upper 10% within my system. Additionally, UUP is currently trading significantly lower than its earlier levels. By investing in the bullish fund, you will gain access to a long position on the dollar - which, based on its recent low points, indicates a high potential for gains. What's more, it shorts non-U.S currencies such as the euro and yen. Overall, this symbol offers an excellent way to capitalize on dollar performance while hedging against other currencies. |
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PERMANENT BEST 2023 INFLATION/RECESSION-RESISTANT EARNINGS SEASON TRADES LIMITED ACCESS! |
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WHEN: Thursday, January 19th |
| THE TIME: 12:00 Noon Eastern Time (11:00 AM Pacific) |
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TOPIC: HOW TO RACK UP TO 36% GAINS OVERNIGHT FROM
Inflation/Recession Resistant Earnings Season Trades |
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Immediate Free Access to my watch list of stock I will be trading. Right now is the best time to pick through the trades that are expected to soar. Don't miss this opportunity. Click Here to join. A prompt reply will save you a spot. |
So, if you've been feeling anxious about the market's record ups and downs and not sure what's the best possible strategy now for fast, low-risk and significant profits, be sure to save your spot now by taking just a moment by clicking on the "Click Here To Register Now" box below. As one of a limited number of participants, you'll have an opportunity to participate in our "biggest concern" survey and you'll also have the opportunity to ask your specific trading questions for me to answer. I expect upcoming events to be challenging for most traders. But you're my followers, and I want you to come out ahead during this earnings season inflation frenzy. Just click on the following link below to register right now for my "How to Rack-UpTo 36% Overnight Gains From Inflation/Recession Resistant Earnings Season Trades" Webinar at 1 p.m. ET on January 19th… URGENT: REGISTRATION IS EXPECTED TO FILL UP FAST! |
CURRENT TRADING LANDSCAPE |
As of Friday, the 5-day chart shows the $SPY was trading 1.65% higher, near $386. Major U.S. indices were mixed throughout the week but traded impressively higher on Friday. The volatility index ticked up to open the week but has steadily declined on its way toward Friday, finishing near $21, about 4% lower for the week. |
Presently, the overhead resistance levels for the SPY are situated at $390 and then $402. Additionally, its support is placed at $376 and then further down to $370. My current outlook on this market indicates that it will likely experience more lows in a span of two to eight weeks from now. In light of such circumstances, I highly advise investors to exercise caution by hedging their investments against potential losses. See $SPY Seasonal Chart. As the market continues to shake out and volume increases, I expect greater volatility in these early months of 2023. The weekly jobless claims will largely affect such instability along with companies beginning their quarterly earnings reports next week. Thus, one particular stock stands out as particularly appealing for my portfolio... |
Looking at the latest market conditions, it appears the dollar is in a position to rebound from a recent dip if market conditions are to flip as expected. With the recent uptick to end the week, markets are positioned to sell off if earnings do not meet expectations or provide signs that inflation will be quelled. With this in mind, the dollar should find its footing and regain some strength it lost to tend the year. |
As seen above, the dollar, based on the Dollar Index (DXY), has sold off since hitting a peak near the end of October. With the holiday rally and midterm election clarity supporting markets, there was a notable decline in what was 2022's best performer. However, with 2023 starting off as it has, I am under the belief we could see the dollar mimic its 2022 start-of-year trend and trend higher. The $DXY sold off on Friday, down 1.06%. Its 52-week range sits at $94-$114, which means its current price of $103 sits right in the middle of its annual range. Here, we can see the dollar go in either direction. However, if markets are lower following earnings, we could see a decent spike in the dollar's value. The upbeat December jobs report sent gold higher and the dollar lower but positioned the market in an interesting spot as we entered the first earnings season of the year. Coming off the heels of a hawkish Fed, a labor report which was not too strong to sour investors, and slightly lower inflation, the first few weeks of 2023 could see a rise in volatility with a strengthening dollar. If that is the case, this brings me to one particular symbol I love trading during times like these when I'm looking to make a buck off the buck... |
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NOTE: We encourage all subscribers to view the instructional videos on how to best use your membership and invite our members to participate in live weekly strategy roundtable workshops that are also archived for your convenience so that they can to be viewed at a later time. |
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How To Trade a Bear Market Strategy Roundtable With the unpredictable nature of the market and the uncertainty ahead of us, I can't emphasize enough how vital it is for our readers and members of the Yellow Tunnel community to keep referring to our Live Trading Room so as to maintain a close tie of how our I and my AI platform is navigating us in and out of select trades. It's FREE and I highly encourage everyone to sign up for the Live Trading Room and keep checking in throughout the trading day. Every Monday and Wednesday, I highlight our best strategies and potential trading setups via the DISCORD server. It's the future of bringing together a trading community's total services, educational products, live chat venues, support, news, how-to tutorials, webinars, live-trading demonstrations, and tons of market analysis. It is incredibly interactive and full of crucial and timely information. Just go to: |
https://discord.gg/YjBfkaqGGu I also want to emphasize to traders how vital a stop-loss discipline is to winning and being successful in an unforgiving market. We employ specific stop-loss instructions with every trade. The buy and sell programs controlled by high-frequency related algorithms can create great profits or cause sudden losses, so it is imperative to maintain an element of controlling risk with each trade. |
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To effectively trade in today's rapidly moving equity markets, active day traders and swing traders must stay ahead of market changes due to inflation, global uncertainty, politics, as well as innovations and technological changes used by hedge fund traders and proprietary trading firms. With traders like you in mind, we designed this intensive roundtable where you will deepen your understanding of all aspects of stock and options trading in today's changing market. |
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DISCLAIMER: Vlad and his team may have a financial interest in the picks as they trade many of the same equities and options they pick. Vlad Karpel and YellowTunnel (Company) is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. All investing strategies are made available to the general public on a regular basis. We do not provide personalized financial advice or investment recommendations. As an investor, you know that any kind of investment opportunity has its risks. There is no such thing as low-risk stocks and we recommend you invest wisely and that only risk capital should be used to trade. Investing in Stocks and Options is highly speculative. No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed here and on our website. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE SUCCESS: It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators developed at YellowTunnel will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Nor should it be assumed that future picks will be profitable or will equal past performance. All of the content on our website and in our email alerts is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities. Remember, you should always consult with a licensed securities professional before purchasing or selling securities of companies profiled or discussed on YellowTunnel.com. Performance results that are discussed above are from the Live Trading Room. Multiple YellowTunnel tools were used to achieve these results. Trade % Gain/Loss is calculated by dividing the $ Gain/Loss by the Max Risk, which is the posted Stop Loss for the trade. Yellow Tunnel's performance data represents the average return on all trading recommendations from January 1, 2020, to today. *Win rate percentage reflects the average that Yellow Tunnel's software helped me identify a profitable investment strategy.** Triple-digit returns are not typical and are not intended to reflect the likelihood of similar returns in the future. |
This email was sent to edwardlorilla1986.paxforex@blogger.com by info@yellowtunnel.com. Questions or inquiries regarding the website and/or service may be submitted via email to info@yellowtunnel.com. You may also complete our inquiry form located here. YellowTunnel LLC, 318 Half Day Rd., Suite #215, Buffalo Grove, Illinois 60089. Website: https://www.yellowtunnel.com Copyright © 2022 Yellow Tunnel LLC. All rights reserved. If you want to unsubscribe from all or some of our emails please click this link. |
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