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September 11th, 2022 | Issue 147 |
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Reporting from Croatia, it was another week of mild market swings and Fed speculation that ultimately concluded with all three major U.S. indices booking their first weekly gains in four weeks. As my Croatian vacation concludes, I am looking back at all that occurred this past week, as well as what's in store ahead. The release of the Beige Book, additional comments from Fed officials, and the European Central Bank decision dominated market headlines this week as we prepare for next week's CPI data, as well as the end of the month's Federal Open Market Committee meeting. In Croatia, we continued our end-of-summer vacation by visiting some of the most unique locations I have ever seen. Going from Split to Hvar, then to Korčula and Brač, we were able to experience the islands of Croatia firsthand. |
We sailed on a boat, checking out each location over a period of days that had us visiting several extremely well-preserved 15th and 16th-century castles. Venetian influence was prominent and the cuisine was superb (highlights included some of the best fish soup and risotto I have ever had.) But one of my personal favorite moments was something I would have never expected, nor could have ever planned for. |
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Along the beaches, large piers of boats and superyachts would be docked constantly. Seeing these boats parked alongside each other I began to wonder how they so easily maintain order in what could easily be a very chaotic environment. Hundred-foot boats would slink between each other flawlessly, parallel parking and maneuvering between what I have to assume are multi-million dollar motor and sailing yachts. On top of an always-moving ocean, communicating by radio, and covering so much space - and oftentimes doing it backward! I watched these ships with awe before finally asking one of the captains on our boat how they do it. The simple answer was: by the process. A set procedure that is carried out by most docks, adjusted accordingly to each pier, and maintained by all that approach to dock their sailing vessels. There are specific radio calls, order of sailing in and out, and even a secret code! |
The more I learned about this process the more I saw the similarities between the finance world and my own trading. To be successful, you must adhere to your trading plan, follow your process, and make dutiful and timely adjustments to the ever-changing landscape. I go over my trading plan and market outlook on a weekly basis in my roundtable webinar, hosted every Thursday on YellowTunnel. Trying to keep up with the market by yourself can be overwhelming. That is why I encourage you to join a trading community where you may interact and analyze with others. I recommend checking out our latest Roundtable webinar in its entirety below: |
How To Trade a Bear Market Strategy Roundtable With the unpredictable nature of the market and the uncertainty ahead of us, I can't emphasize enough how vital it is for our readers and members of the Yellow Tunnel community to keep referring to our Live Trading Room so as to maintain a close tie of how our I and my AI platform is navigating us in and out of select trades. It's FREE and I highly encourage everyone to sign up to the Live Trading Room and keep checking in throughout the trading day. Every Monday and Wednesday, I highlight our best strategies and potential trading setups via the DISCORD server. It's the future of bringing together a trading community's total services, educational products, live chat venues, support, news, how-to tutorials, webinars, live-trading demonstrations, and tons of market analysis. It is incredibly interactive and full of crucial and timely information. Just go to: |
https://discord.gg/YjBfkaqGGu I also want to emphasize to traders how vital a stop-loss discipline is to winning and being successful in an unforgiving market. We employ specific stop-loss instructions with every trade. The buy and sell programs controlled by high-frequency related algorithms can create great profits or cause sudden losses, so it is imperative to maintain an element of controlling risk with each trade. |
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| Vlad Karpel
YellowTunnel and Tradespoon Founder |
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P.S. Click here for access to the Power Trading Live Strategy Roundtable Recorded every Thursday. P.P.S. Join our Discord Community to participate in our Free Live Market Volatility Trading Room Session every Monday and Wednesday at 8:15 am CST. Click Here To Join |
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Mega-cap tech stocks have, in recent history, been great indicators of market direction. As the oversold nature of this market makes way for an extended rebound, I am looking at this symbol which would be a perfect addition to my portfolio- as indicated by the latest forecasts and A.I.-generated data. While I still believe we are predominantly in a bear market, we have begun to mount a decent rally. Leading up to the next FOMC meeting, I believe this symbol, alongside the tech sector, should easily grow. |
Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL), the Google parent company, is one of the premier symbols in the tech sector and one I have great confidence in. Currently trading in the $109-$111 range and far below its 52-week high of 151.55, GOOGL has already profited off the end-of-the-week rally we just saw. Up over 2$ on Friday, GOOGL was able to erase its weekly deficit to come out in the green for the week. With the latest turn in the market, from overbought to oversold, I see stability in the tech sector as we approach the upcoming FOMC decision and any additional inflation data. Before I commit further to the symbol, let us review its forecast in my proprietary A.I. toolset... |
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That is a lot of value during these uncertain times. |
(A portion of Yellow Tunnel sales will go to directly help the Ukrainian people) |
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CURRENT TRADING LANDSCAPE |
As the week concluded, it became evident we were on pace for our first week of gains in nearly a month. Hawkish comments from the Fed continued this week when Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Lael Brainard stated, "the [Federal Open Market Committee] will need to raise rates even further" over an extended period of time in order to reach the target inflation level. Even with these comments, markets turned positive on Wednesday and counted to go higher to close out the week. Also, on Wednesday, we saw the latest Beige Book release, which will certainly play a factor in the upcoming FOMC meeting. The report indicated that, though the economy had minor growth by August's end, people surveyed have negative expectations for next year because of labor and other shortages as well as interest rates. Inflation was also included in the Beige Book and was noted as "considerable" after reaching a peak of 9.1% in June. According to nine of the 12 Federal Reserve districts around the country, prices climbed at a "slower" rate during this time period, although they rose overall... |
The relief rally is upon us. Following the latest Beige Book and ECB decision, markets moved higher and booked their first weekly gains in four weeks. This is something I outlined in my forecast of the market heading into September. Now that the rally has caught its first streak, there is one sector that is sure to see extended benefits. This sector should be regression-proof for the time being as this sector is key in dictating market direction -- and based on some of these technical levels, it is set for a good run. Several signs are now pointing at a move higher for the market for the time being. The dollar, which previously rallied, has begun to pull back. Amidst hawkish comments from the Fed, U.S. markets still found ways to book gains this week. With the selloff likely behind us, for now, this sector has already made some moves forward and still has good room for growth! Tech Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) is my go-to tech gauge and a perfect symbol to trade during the current upswing. XLK sold off to close in August but just this week turned higher in consecutive sessions, with Friday being its best at almost 2% gains... |
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Market Volatility LIVE Trading Room Sessions Join Our Discord Community Every Monday and Wednesday at 8:15 am CST. Click Here To Join |
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NOTE: We encourage all subscribers to view the instructional videos on how to best use your membership and invite our members to participate in live weekly strategy roundtable workshops that are also archived for your convenience so that they can to be viewed at a later time. |
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To effectively trade in today's rapidly moving equity markets, active day traders and swing traders must stay ahead of market changes due to inflation, global uncertainty, politics, as well as innovations and technological changes used by hedge fund traders and proprietary trading firms. With traders like you in mind, we designed this intensive roundtable where you will deepen your understanding of all aspects of stock and options trading in today's changing market. |
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DISCLAIMER: Vlad and his team may have a financial interest in the picks as they trade many of the same equities and options they pick. Vlad Karpel and YellowTunnel (Company) is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. All investing strategies are made available to the general public on a regular basis. We do not provide personalized financial advice or investment recommendations. As an investor, you know that any kind of investment opportunity has its risks. There is no such thing as low-risk stocks and we recommend you invest wisely and that only risk capital should be used to trade. Investing in Stocks and Options is highly speculative. No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed here and on our website. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE SUCCESS: It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators developed at YellowTunnel will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Nor should it be assumed that future picks will be profitable or will equal past performance. All of the content on our website and in our email alerts is for informational purposes only, and should not be construed as an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities. Remember, you should always consult with a licensed securities professional before purchasing or selling securities of companies profiled or discussed on YellowTunnel.com. Performance results that are discussed above are from the Live Trading Room, multiple YellowTunnel tools were used to achieve these results. Trade % Gain/Loss is calculated by dividing the $ Gain/Loss by the Max Risk which is the posted Stop Loss for the trade. Yellow Tunnel's performance data represents the average return on all trading recommendations from January 1, 2020, to today. *Win rate percentage reflects the average that Yellow Tunnel's software helped me identify a profitable investment strategy.** Triple-digit returns are not typical and are not intended to reflect the likelihood of similar returns in the future. |
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