Saturday, August 20, 2022

Dems battle in N.Y., GOP eyes 2024

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POLITICO Playbook

By Garrett Ross

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Assembly Member Yuh-Line Niou, Rep. Mondaire Jones, Assembly Member Jo Anne Simon, Council Member Carlina Rivera, Elizabeth Holtzman and Attorney Dan Goldman sit in chairs in a TV studio.

Progressives in New York may be watching their field's ambition get in the way of a prime opportunity to claim a congressional seat in a liberal bastion. | Mary Altaffer/AP Photo

DRIVING THE DAY

On Tuesday, New York caps off a crowded month of primaries — and with only a handful of states left to complete their pre-midterm picking, the Empire State offers one of the last big pulse checks ahead of the general election.

A trio of stories up this morning give a good sense of where things stand:

1. Progressives splinter the left's votes: Our colleague Nicholas Wu has the download on the crowded field in New York's 10th Congressional District, where the cabal of progressives are trying to overcome a surge from moderate DAN GOLDMAN . "For much as the left complains about Goldman's elite background, Democrats privately acknowledge liberal votes are splintered in the newly created 10th District, which spans from lower Manhattan into parts of Brooklyn. After recent successes uniting around one insurgent challenger in Democratic primaries, progressives may be watching their field's ambition get in the way of a prime opportunity to claim a congressional seat in a liberal bastion."

2. Meanwhile, moderates have a powerful ally: NYT's Jeffery Mays has the details on NYC Mayor ERIC ADAMS' involvement: "Just seven months into his first term, Mr. Adams, a Democrat, has injected himself into his party's divide, making endorsements in roughly a dozen state legislative primaries. Mr. Adams has endorsed incumbents, upstart challengers, and even a minister with a history of making antisemitic and homophobic statements. Behind all the endorsements lies a common theme: The mayor wants to push Albany and his party away from the left, toward the center."

3. The "out of office message" primary: NYT's Nicholas Fandos writes that campaigns like those of dueling Democratic Reps. CAROLYN MALONEY and JERRY NADLER are finding a big obstacle as they try to win over voters: the out of office message. "In a twist befitting two of the wealthiest districts in the United States, the races could well be won or lost miles outside the city, in places like the Hudson Valley, the Berkshires and, above all, the sandy coast of eastern Long Island, where otherwise reliable voters … decamp in droves each August to spend the final weeks of summer in second homes and vacation rentals.

"That reality has prompted an unusual and expensive shadow campaign — complete with beach-themed mailers, sophisticated geolocation tracking for tailored ads targeting second homes and at least one Hamptons swing by Ms. Maloney — to see who can prod more of their would-be supporters off their beach chairs and back to the city, or at least the local post office. With low turnout predicted, political operatives say as few as a thousand lost votes could be the difference between a narrow victory and a loss."

Said JUDITH SEGALL , a Manhattanite who is currently spending time in Amagansett: "I'm not coming in to vote. That's the problem: Nobody here is going to come in just to vote. … It's insane. What's this voting in August?"

DeSANTIS STUMPS FOR MASTRIANO, HIMSELF — At a Pittsburgh rally on Friday for Pennsylvania GOP gubernatorial nominee DOUG MASTRIANO, the candidate addressed supporters for about 15 minutes, while Florida Gov. RON DeSANTIS spoke for roughly 42 minutes, report the Philly Inquirer's Chris Brennan and Max Marin — the bulk of which was spent talking about his own record in Florida in a sort of proto-2024 stump speech.

"DeSantis uses 'woke' like a four-letter word," the pair write, going on to quote a riff in which the Florida governor channeled WINSTON CHURCHILL.

Ron DeSantis, right, waves to the audience while Doug Mastriano, left, looks on.

Mastriano and DeSantis at an event in Pittsburgh. | Jeff Swensen/Getty Images

"We must fight the woke in our schools. We must fight the woke in our businesses. We must fight the woke in government agencies. We can never, ever surrender to woke ideology," DeSantis said. (Churchill, of course, was talking about war with the Nazis; DeSantis is talking about, well, his fellow Americans.)

"I'm going to be working to keep the state of Florida free, and you guys have an opportunity to make Pennsylvania free," DeSantis also said, per the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette's Julian Routh.

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TEAM TRUMP TINKERS WITH 2024 TIMING — One of the looming questions following the FBI's search of DONALD TRUMP's Mar-a-Lago compound has its impact on Trump's decision to mount a 2024 campaign. NBC's Marc Caputo, Carol Lee, Peter Nicholas and Courtney Kube report that the search has "reoriented Trump's thinking about whether he should announce a presidential campaign before or after the midterm elections, according to those who have spoken with him over the past two weeks. They said Trump feels less pressure to announce early because viable challengers who might otherwise force his hand have faded into the background."

"Trump is now inclined to launch his candidacy after the November elections , in part to avoid blame should an early announcement undermine the GOP's effort to win control of Congress, said one person close to him, speaking on condition of anonymity to talk more freely."

MEANWHILE, IN DES MOINES — "Pence says he didn't leave office with classified material," reports AP's Thomas Beaumont. Beyond the headline, there's another instance of the fine line MIKE PENCE is walking when it comes to all things Trump, as he weighed in on LIZ CHENEY's primary defeat.

"'My reaction was, the people of Wyoming have spoken,' said Pence … 'And, you know, I accept their judgment about the kind of representation they want on Capitol Hill.' … "I appreciate the conservative stance Congresswoman Cheney has taken over the years,' Pence continued. 'But I've been disappointed in the partisan taint of the Jan. 6 committee from early on.'"

Good Saturday morning. Thanks for reading Playbook. Get in touch: gross@politico.com, or reach out to the rest of the team: Rachael Bade, Eugene Daniels, Ryan Lizza.

 

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SUNDAY SHOW PREVIEW — The marquee interview for the slate of Sunday shows this week appears to be Rep. LIZ CHENEY's exclusive sitdown interview with ABC's Jon Karl for "This Week." Notably, the interview was conducted in the Jan. 6 committee's hearing room. Here's a sample that ABC released on Friday:

Cheney on Pence's voiced concerns about testifying: "I believe in executive privilege. I think it matters. But I also think that when the country has been through something, as grave as this was, everyone who has information has an obligation to step forward. So, I would hope that he will do that."

Cheney on the prospect of a McCarthy speakership: "Well, my views about KEVIN McCARTHY are very clear. The speaker of the House is the second in line for the presidency. It requires somebody who understands and recognizes their duty, their oath, their obligation and he's been completely unfaithful to the Constitution and demonstrated a total lack of understanding of the significance and importance of the role of speaker, so I don't believe he should be speaker of the House and I think that's been very clear."

BIDEN'S SATURDAY: At 7:20 p.m., the president will depart Wilmington, Del., en route to Rehoboth Beach, where he is scheduled to arrive at 8 p.m.


VP KAMALA HARRIS' SATURDAY: The VP has nothing on her public schedule.

 

STEP INSIDE THE WEST WING: What's really happening in West Wing offices? Find out who's up, who's down, and who really has the president's ear in our West Wing Playbook newsletter, the insider's guide to the Biden White House and Cabinet. For buzzy nuggets and details that you won't find anywhere else, subscribe today.

 
 

PHOTO OF THE DAY

Former Vice President Mike Pence walks through the Varied Industries Building during a visit to the Iowa State Fair, Friday, Aug. 19, 2022, in Des Moines, Iowa.

Former VP Mike Pence visits the Iowa State Fair in Des Moines, on Friday, Aug. 19, | Charlie Neibergall/AP Photo

PLAYBOOK READS

9(ISH) THINGS THAT STUCK WITH US

1. THE BATTLE FOR THE SENATE: "'It's a rip-off': GOP spending under fire as Senate hopefuls seek rescue," by WaPo's Isaac Arnsdorf: "Republican Senate hopefuls are getting crushed on airwaves across the country while their national campaign fund is pulling ads and running low on cash — leading some campaign advisers to ask where all the money went and to demand an audit of the committee's finances, according to Republican strategists involved in the discussions. …

"'If they were a corporation, the CEO would be fired and investigated,' said a national Republican consultant working on Senate races. 'The way this money has been burned, there needs to be an audit or investigation because we're not gonna take the Senate now and this money has been squandered. It's a rip-off.'"

FWIW: NRSC comms director CHRIS HARTLINE vigorously pushed back on this story on Twitter.

— ARIZONA: GOP Senate nominee BLAKE MASTERS is trying to make nice with MITCH McCONNELL after a primary campaign in which Masters skewered the GOP leader.

Masters now: "I think he'll come in and spend. Arizona's gonna be competitive. It's gonna be a close race, and I hope he does come in. … And we'll find a way to work together," Masters told the AP's Jonathan Cooper on Friday.

Masters then: "'I'll tell Mitch this to his face,' Masters said during a GOP primary debate in June. 'He's not bad at everything . He's good at judges. He's good at blocking Democrats. You know what he's not good at? Legislating.'

Masters looking ahead: "On Friday, Masters predicted McConnell will get another term as GOP leader and no Republicans will challenge him. 'I think he'll be in charge. And I'm not just going to be a senator that falls in line to whatever he says,' Masters told construction company officials. 'I'll hear him out. I'm happy to listen. But my vote doesn't belong to Mitch McConnell. It doesn't belong to Donald Trump.'"

— GEORGIA: "Herschel Walker declines invitation to debate Senator Warnock in Macon," by WMAZ's Justin Baxley

— OHIO: "Can Tim Ryan Really Win Ohio's Senate Race?" by FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver

— CONNECTICUT: "Pro-Trump wins in blue states threaten GOP hopes in November," by AP's Susan Haigh: "Moderate Republicans predicted that [LEORA] LEVY's nomination ensured Democratic U.S. Sen. RICHARD BLUMENTHAL would sail to victory in November, despite a Quinnipiac poll in May registering his lowest job approval since he took office in 2011."

2. BIG NEWS IN N.C.: "NC's highest court rules on gerrymandered legislature's power, but the case isn't over," by the News & Observer's Will Doran: "North Carolina's state legislature was unconstitutionally gerrymandered to the extent that lawmakers may have lacked the authority to claim to represent the people when they passed new constitutional amendments in 2018, the N.C. Supreme Court ruled Friday."

3. BEHIND THE SCENES: Chinese President XI JINPING personally asked Biden during a July 28 call to find a way to prevent House Speaker NANCY PELOSI from visiting Taiwan, WaPo's Yasmeen Abutaleb and Tyler Pager report, citing a "senior White House official." In response, Biden "told Xi he could not oblige, explaining that Congress was an independent branch of government and that Pelosi … would make her own decisions about foreign trips."

4. BLAST FROM THE PAST: "Russia probe memo wrongly withheld under Barr, court rules," by AP's Meg Kinnard

5. THE GEORGIA INVESTIGATION: A federal judge on Friday slapped down Sen. LINDSEY GRAHAM's request to delay his testimony before the special grand jury investigating Trump's efforts to influence the 2020 election results in Georgia, AP's Kate Brumback reports. He's scheduled to testify on Tuesday.

6. FLORIDA FILES: As DeSantis touts a crackdown on alleged voter fraud in Florida, the Tampa Bay Times' Romy Ellenbogen and Miami Herald's Bianca Padró Ocasio spoke to the ex-felons who were charged: "DeSantis touted their arrest. But ex-felons say they weren't told they couldn't vote"

7. ABORTION FALLOUT: The next big front in the fight against misinformation surrounding abortion is so-called "abortion reversal pills," a dangerous and unproven treatment that is gaining traction online, our colleagues Rebecca Kern and Ruth Reader report this morning . "A POLITICO analysis of abortion-reversal content across the major social media platforms showed engagement — such as liking, reposting or commenting — increased significantly after the Dobbs decision. Facebook, for example, saw a dramatic spike of 3,500 interactions with 'abortion reversal pill' content on June 24 — the day of the Supreme Court decision — up from 20 interactions on June 23, according to data compiled using CrowdTangle, a social media analysis tool."

Related read: "Stacey Abrams' Personal Evolution on Abortion Rights," by NYT's Maya King

8. IMMIGRATION FILES: "Greg Abbott Bused Thousands of Migrants from Texas to DC. What Happened Once They Arrived?" by Mother Jones' Isabela Dias: "After 1,700 miles and more than 40 hours on the road, they shared some stories."

Related read: "A Migrant Wave Tests New York City's Identity as the World's Sanctuary," by NYT's Andy Newman and Raúl Vilchis: "New York wants to welcome new immigrants. Its economy and vibrancy depend on them. But an influx has strained a social safety net already on the brink."

9. CLIMATE FILES: Biden is preparing to roll out "a series of executive actions to further reduce greenhouse gas emissions and help keep the planet from warming to dangerous temperatures," NYT's Lisa Friedman and Jim Tankersley report.

The context: "In pushing more executive action, Mr. Biden is trying to make up for the compromises his party made on climate measures to pass the Inflation Reduction Act, which includes the largest single American investment to slow global warming."

— Something of a clean-energy arms race between the U.S. and China has been the "dream of climate advocates" for many years, and it may have just begun thanks to the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, our colleagues Karl Mathiesen and Zack Colman write this morning. "Now the U.S. is putting unprecedented money behind its wager that it can beat China in the marketplace while seeding a domestic clean energy base of its own."

Related read: "As Alaska Warms, Fires Burn Over (and Under) More Wild Land," by NYT's Simon Romero: "Lightning storms, drought and thawing tundra are making fires more destructive. In the vast wilderness, firefighting is a major challenge."

 

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CLICKER — "The nation's cartoonists on the week in politics," edited by Matt Wuerker — 16 keepers

Political cartoon.

GREAT WEEKEND READS, curated by Ryan Lizza:

"Thom Tillis and the Art of the Deal," by Jim Morrill in The Assembly: "With his next reelection campaign four long years away, North Carolina's soon-to-be senior senator has emerged as a bipartisan dealmaker. Back home, his party's conservative wing doesn't like it."

"I Smuggled My Laptop Past the Taliban So I Could Write This Story," by Bushra Seddique in The Atlantic: "My escape from Afghanistan."

"Odesa Is Defiant. It's Also Putin's Ultimate Target," by NYT's Roger Cohen: "This most storied of ports remains the Russian leader's obsession. Not only because it holds the key to the Black Sea. But because its openness and diversity embody all he wants to destroy. President Vladimir V. Putin knows that Ukraine's fate, its access to the sea and its grain exports hinge on Odesa. Without it, the country shrivels to a landlocked rump state."

"The View from Here," by Buzz Bissinger for Air Mail: "With Trumpism more rabid and violent than ever, is it finally time to leave?"

"Russia's spies misread Ukraine and misled Kremlin as war loomed," by WaPo's Greg Miller and Catherine Belton: "The humiliations of Russia's military have largely overshadowed the failures of the FSB and other intelligence agencies. But in some ways, these have been even more incomprehensible and consequential."

"The Rise of the Worker Productivity Score," by NYT's Jodi Kantor and Arya Sundaram: "Across industries and incomes, more employees are being tracked, recorded and ranked. What is gained, companies say, is efficiency and accountability. What is lost?"

 

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PLAYBOOKERS

Donald Trump's favorite McDonald's order is a Big Mac, a Filet-o-Fish, fries and a vanilla shake, per Jared Kushner's new book.

Jake Tapper hung out with the Phillie Phanatic.

Mike Pence and Chuck Grassley got caught in the rain at the Iowa State Fair. (No word on whether they like piña coladas.)

Hot job: Government Relations Analyst at Olive Garden. (Does it come with unlimited breadsticks?)

IN MEMORIAM — "Ann McGuiness, Major Fund-Raiser for Women's Health, Dies at 65," by NYT's Neil Genzlinger: "Over the years Ms. McGuiness, who lived in Selkirk, N.Y., south of Albany, applied her considerable skills as a fund-raiser to a variety of organizations, but her passion was women's issues. Beginning in the mid-1980s she worked for the National Women's Political Caucus, then for NARAL Pro-Choice America (originally the National Association for the Repeal of Abortion Laws), where she was development director."

FOR YOUR RADAR — John Arundel of Perdicus Communications was arrested and charged with assault and strangulation early Wednesday morning on Nantucket. An attorney entered not-guilty pleas on his behalf at an arraignment later that day, denying allegations in a police report that Arundel had "pushed [a woman] down the stairs and dragged her up the stairs by her hair." He tells Playbook in a statement: "I vehemently maintain my innocence and have retained local private counsel ... and it is anticipated that we will be filing a motion to dismiss all charges in this matter." He is due back in court Aug. 29. More from The Inquirer and Mirror and The Nantucket Current

NSC ARRIVAL LOUNGE — Paula Garcia Tufro will be senior director for development, global health and humanitarian response at the NSC. She currently is chief of staff at the Millennium Challenge Corporation.

TRANSITIONS — Chonya Johnson is now chief of staff for Rep. Troy Carter (D-La.). She previously was senior domestic policy adviser at Bread for the World. … Jonathon Hauenschild is now policy counsel at Lincoln Network. He most recently was director of the task forces on homeland security and comms and technology at the American Legislative Exchange Council. … Marli Collier is now comms manager for Airlines for America. She most recently was press secretary for the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee Republicans and is a Shelley Moore Capito alum. …

… Zach Leighton has been named senior adviser to the U.S. ambassador to Germany. He most recently was COS of the office of the White House staff secretary and is also a Biden campaign alum. … Alejandra "Allie" Rodriguez has launched Alera Political Communications, a bilingual consulting firm that works to get conservatives elected. She is also press secretary for Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (R-Fla.).

ENGAGED — Wylie Galt, a rancher and the Montana Speaker of the House, on Wednesday proposed to AshLee Strong, owner of Granite Peak Communications and a Paul Ryan and John Thune alum, while the two were on a trip to Tanzania. The proposal came after the couple summited Kilimanjaro the day prior. Instapic ... Another pic

WEDDING — Daniel White and Denise Pyfrom, via NYT : "He now works as the special assistant to the Assistant Secretary of the Army for Manpower and Reserve Affairs … Ms. Pyfrom … is a senior manager of global partnerships at the N.B.A. … On Aug. 7, they were married … at Bethlehem Baptist Church in Philadelphia."

HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Sen. Steve Daines (R-Mont.) … Reps. Brad Schneider (D-Ill.) and Kathy Castor (D-Fla.) … The White House's Katie Peters and Rachel Thomas Larry Kudlow … CNN's Oliver DarcyEleni Roumel … CBS' Fin Gómez Ben LaBoltGina Keeney … POLITICO's Stephanie Vajito, Natalie Fertig and Doug Palmer Targeted Victory's Zac Moffatt and Ryan Meerstein Jenny BackusMichael Donaher of Rep. Andy Kim's (D-N.J.) reelection campaign … Matt Shapanka … Fox's Tammy Bruce Steve PfrangJeffrey NorfolkElyse Ping MedvigyMadeline ShepherdJeff MorehouseCasey BadmingtonAri Goldberg of the Center for Democracy & Technology … Brad Fingeroot … Google's Lauren EpshteynSusan AspeyJarrett RayJim Hock of PSP Partners … Shannon TravisFaryar Shirzad … former Senate Majority Leader George Mitchell … former Reps. Ron Paul (R-Texas) and Rubén Hinojosa (D-Texas) … Al Roker … former USTR Michael Froman, now at Mastercard … Connie Chung Lona Valmoro Heather Samuelson of the State Department … Vox's Julia Kurzius

THE SHOWS ( Full Sunday show listings here):

ABC "This Week": Jonathan Karl will have an exclusive interview with Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.). Panel: Jane Coaston, Ramesh Ponnuru, Susan Page and Mark Leibovich.

FOX "Fox News Sunday," guest-anchored by Trace Gallagher: New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu … Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm. Panel: Jason Chaffetz, Jessica Tarlov and Juan Williams.

CBS "Face the Nation": Education Secretary Miguel Cardona … Rep. Mike Turner (R-Ohio) … Deborah Birx … David Laufman … Rikki Klieman. Panel: Ed O'Keefe and Amy Walter.

NBC "Meet the Press": Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (D-N.Y.) … Rep. Andy Barr (R-Ky.) … Education Secretary Miguel Cardona Panel: Brendan Buck, Marc Caputo, Symone Sanders-Townsend and Ali Vitali.

CNN "State of the Union": Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) … Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-Calif.) … Rep. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.). Panel: Karen Finney, Alyssa Farah Griffin, Abdul El-Sayed and David Urban.

CNN "Inside Politics": Panel: Maggie Haberman, Audie Cornish, Catherine Lucey, Jackie Kucinich and Elliot Williams.

MSNBC "The Sunday Show," guest-hosted by Michael Steele: Michael Cohen … Tom Nichols … Rep. Charlie Crist (D-Fla.) … Tom Perez.

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