Wednesday, July 27, 2022

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We say goodbye to the Choco Taco
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Morning Brew

The Black Tux

Good morning. If you like to party and live in California, we have good news: A bill in the state Legislature would allow seven cities in the state, including San Francisco, Palm Springs, and West Hollywood, to push "last call" from 2am to 4am.

If our time zone calculations are correct, that means you'd be able to read the Brew on your Uber home. Nothing will sober you up faster than a story about inflation.

Neal Freyman, Max Knoblauch, Jamie Wilde, Joe Abrams

MARKETS

Nasdaq

11,562.57

S&P

3,921.05

Dow

31,761.54

10-Year

2.806%

Bitcoin

$21,066.66

Amazon

$114.81

*Stock data as of market close, cryptocurrency data as of 7:00pm ET. Here's what these numbers mean.

  • Markets: When Walmart cuts its profit guidance, as it did on Monday, you can pretty much guarantee that the rest of the retail sector is going to crumble along with it. Retail malaise, and general anxiety around economic growth, helped send the market lower yesterday.
  • Economy: Happy Fed Day to all who celebrate. Most analysts expect Chair Jerome Powell to announce an interest rate hike of 75 basis points this afternoon, equivalent to its rate increase from last month. Investors will also be paying close attention to Powell's comments on the future path of interest rates.

RETAIL

Burgers in, patio accessories out: How inflation is changing shopping habits

Someone buying a McDonald's bag Nur Photo/Getty Images

This week, consumer-facing companies unloaded a dump truck's worth of stats showing how 40-year-high inflation is affecting shoppers' behavior. After taking the necessary safety precautions, your courageous newsletter writers dove into the reports to bring you the most important insights.

Americans are loading up on essentials

Walmart, the largest retailer on the globe by revenue, said on Monday that inflation-strapped consumers are opting for need-to-have goods (like household essentials and groceries) and avoiding nice-to-have purchases, such as new clothes.

That echoes a warning from Target earlier this summer that shoppers are shunning big pandemic-era purchases—including TVs, outdoor furniture, and fitness equipment—as their budgets get squeezed. The good news from all this? Expect "everything must go"-level discounts as Walmart and Target try to get rid of their excess inventory.

Foodies crawl back into their wine cellars

When inflation is rampant, nothing beats a Double Cheeseburger + Coke, topped off by ice cream.

Both McDonald's and Coca-Cola reported impressive sales in Q2. McDonald's said that its value menu and new product releases (did not know Chocolatey Pretzel McFlurry is now a thing) brought diners to the Golden Arches, while Coca-Cola showed that its brand is so durable that not even decades-high inflation could convince consumers to buy RC Cola instead.

Meanwhile, Unilever's ice cream division, which includes Ben & Jerry's, was one of the conglomerate's few units that posted volume growth last quarter.

Other takeaways

  • People are still shelling out for cars: While a shortage of parts and China lockdowns stung GM's profits, the automaker said that there was no sign that demand was waning for car purchases.
  • Same goes for anniversary gifts: LVMH, the world's largest luxury goods company, called its first half of 2022 "excellent" as more shoppers scooped up Louis Vuitton handbags and celebrated with Dom Perignon Champagne.

Bottom line: Higher prices appear to be shifting consumer behavior from certain categories to others—but overall spending has remained resilient.—NF

For more retail industry news, sign up for Retail Brew.

        

TOGETHER WITH THE BLACK TUX

This wedding season, bring BDE (best-dressed energy)

The Black Tux

Now that you RSVP'd to all those wedding invites covering your fridge, it's time to figure out what to wear (and what some of those dress codes actually mean). The Black Tux makes it super easy to suit up and look your absolute sharpest from head to toe.

All you gotta do is choose your look, answer a few measurement Q's, and enter the event date. And if you prefer to get fitted in person, you can head to one of The Black Tux showrooms or select Nordstrom locations nationwide.

Get $20 off your order with code BREW20 here. And if you're the one tying the knot, you can get a free rental when you reserve 6 or more party looks.

WORLD

Tour de headlines

Chart of e-commerce adoption Shopify

Shopify lost its pandemic bet. The e-commerce platform laid off 10% of its global workforce—about 1,000 people—and it's all because of the chart you see above. CEO and founder Tobi Lütke said that the company went all-in on the hypothesis that Covid would permanently boost e-commerce adoption, but…like with streaming, home fitness, and countless other sectors, behaviors have generally reverted to pre-pandemic norms. "It's now clear that bet didn't pay off," Lütke wrote.

Russia goes independent in space. Russia will withdraw from the International Space Station in 2024, according to the country's space chief, leaving the US, Japan, Europe, and Canada in an awkward roommate situation. The context is key: Antagonism between Russia and the West has skyrocketed after Russia invaded Ukraine, plus it lost significant income to its space program after NASA started using SpaceX rockets—instead of Russian ones—to travel to the ISS. The remaining countries may not be able to keep the ISS running once Russia leaves.

Biden to revisit student loan pause and relief. President Biden is once again considering cutting $10,000 in student loan debt, as well as extending a Covid-era pause in student loan debt repayment, Bloomberg reported. The loan forgiveness would only apply to some borrowers and a final decision hasn't been made, but pushing the repayment moratorium past Aug. 31 seems like a sure thing: Earlier this week, news outlets reported that the Education Department had advised loan servicers to hold off on sending payment reminders.

LEGAL

Earplug lawsuits sound bad for 3M

A member of the military covers their ears. John Moore/Getty Images

The manufacturing giant 3M has found itself buried under a mountain of legal trouble over one of its smallest products: earplugs. Much like thermal underwear and the sneakers that men begin wearing once they turn 50, earplugs aren't about "looking good"—they just have to do their job. According to thousands of US veterans, though, 3M's earplugs did not.

Following three years of costly litigation (including $300 million awarded to 13 plaintiffs as of May), 3M announced Tuesday that it would spin off its healthcare unit and place its earplug subsidiary, Aearo Technologies, into Chapter 11 bankruptcy.

What happened: Nearly 250,000 service members and veterans are currently suing 3M, alleging that the company knowingly sold defective earplugs, resulting in premature hearing loss and tinnitus for thousands of military personnel. Based on current verdicts and the staggering amount of cases outstanding, the company could be liable for an amount substantially greater than its ~$80 billion market value.

Crazy stat: There are currently more plaintiffs for 3M earplugs than for any other product or drug.

3M said it's committed $1 billion to a trust to pay out claims and would provide additional money if necessary. The plaintiffs plan to challenge the bankruptcy filing, with one noting that the trust works out to less than $5,000 per veteran affected.—MK

        

FOOD

The ice cream truck just lost a good one

Melting Choco Taco Dianna "Mick" McDougall

The rumors are true: The Choco Taco is being discontinued. Citing "an unprecedented spike in demand across our portfolio," Klondike parent company Unilever announced this week that it's killing the Choco Taco to focus on keeping its other ice cream products in stock.

The internet predictably cried a chocolate river for its favorite ice cream taco—even if most people haven't actually eaten one in 30 years. So how did this confectionary masterpiece come to be? The Choco Taco was created in 1983 by Alan Drazen, a Philly-based former Good Humor truck driver. He explained to Eater why the taco is the superior shape for a cone:

  • "When you eat a sugar cone, you generally eat the nuts, chocolate, and ice cream on the top, and then when you get to the cone, you're eating ice cream and cone. With the Choco Taco you're getting the ice cream, cone, nuts, and chocolate with just about every bite."

Some celeb fans agree: Tech entrepreneur and Reddit co-founder Alexis Ohanian tweeted at Unilever that he'd like to buy the rights to the Choco Taco to "keep it from melting away." Connecticut Senator Chris Murphy (facetiously) pledged to introduce legislation that would allow Choco Taco production to continue.

In response to the outpouring of feels, Klondike said, "We're working hard to find a way to bring Choco Taco back to ice cream trucks in the coming years."—JW

        

GRAB BAG

Key performance indicators

Saudi Arabia's vertical city Neom

Stat: Saudi Arabia released a hype video for "The Line," a planned vertical city that would extend 106 miles long and 1,640 feet tall. Included in the blueprints: a train that whisks you from one end to the other in 20 minutes, space for up to 9 million residents, and a power grid that runs fully on renewable energy. The Line, which would constitute the world's largest structure, is just one part of a bigger Saudi megacity called Neom, a highly controversial $500 billion project intended to modernize the kingdom.

Quote: "We're going to continue to support photos. It's part of our heritage. That said I need to be honest: I do believe that more and more of Instagram is going to become video over time."

Instagram head Adam Mosseri released a video responding to criticism from the likes of Kylie Jenner and Kim Kardashian around the platform's overhaul to become more like TikTok. Mosseri argued that users are seeking out more videos anyway, and that Instagram has to stay on top of trends.

Read: When an influencer couple breaks up, what happens to their brand deals? (Marketing Brew)

BREW'S BETS

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WHAT ELSE IS BREWING

  • Microsoft shares popped 5% in late trading after it gave an optimistic sales forecast for the current fiscal year.
  • Alphabet posted $69.69 billion in revenue last quarter, which actually was not nice: It was the Google parent's slowest quarterly sales increase in two years.
  • Natural gas prices touched their highest level since 2008 due to searing temperatures around the globe and Russia declaring it was cutting back flows in a key pipeline to Germany to 20% of capacity.
  • Wacky weather: Historic precipitation in St. Louis killed at least one person, while temperatures could soar into the triple digits in the Pacific Northwest.
  • Netflix is building a cinematic universe around The Gray Man, which just came out last week.

FROM THE CREW

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GRAB BAG

The puzzle section

Word search: Dig into some Junior Mints with today's movie studio-themed word search. Play it here.

Size 'em up

Consumer giants are in the spotlight as they report earnings for the second quarter. But how do they stack up against each other?

Rank these five companies by market capitalization: McDonald's, Coca-Cola, Walmart, PepsiCo, Costco.

How do finances impact dating?

How do finances impact dating?

As prices surge, how is money factoring into your dating life? Are there any financial red flags you'd be concerned about? We hit the streets to find out: Watch now.

More from the Brew:

How Lewis Howes—entrepreneur, speaker, and podcast host—went from living on his sister's couch to building a multimillion-dollar business. Listen to or watch the interview.

Interested in corporate governance, forecasting, or crypto? CFO Brew keeps you in the know with all things global finance. Subscribe here.

ANSWER

  1. Walmart ($334.4 billion)
  2. Coca-Cola ($274 billion)
  3. PepsiCo ($237.1 billion)
  4. Costco ($226.8 billion)
  5. McDonald's ($190.1 billion)

✢ A Note From The Black Tux

*Expires 9/1/2022. Offer valid for any rental and purchase items at theblacktux.com, on orders of $100+. Offer must be applied at checkout, cannot be combined with other discounts, and is valid for a one-time use only. Any unused portion of the offer is forfeited. Offer cannot be applied to rush or extended rental fees, taxes or alterations, and may not be redeemed for cash. Offer cannot be redeemed for customers participating in another event created by another person.

         

Written by Neal Freyman, Matty Merritt, Max Knoblauch, and Joseph Abrams

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