Thursday, August 12, 2021

👉History Doesn’t Repeat Itself, But It Rhymes…👈

Good morning. Many investors were skeptical of the stock market's early recovery from...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. Many investors were skeptical of the stock market's early recovery from the housing crisis in 2009 and 2010. A few incidents along the way, like the 2010 "flash crash" didn't help. The biggest threat to the recovery, however, was a debt ceiling debate in 2011 that led to the US losing its pristine credit rating from some ratings agencies.

While history doesn't repeat itself… debt ceiling debates do. And one is coming up that could mimic the standoff during 2011 that saw markets slide quickly. The good news? This is an exogenous event that, once over, will allow the markets to quickly rally back up. But look out for the best potential market dip since the March 2020 bottom in the weeks ahead.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 35,484.64 +0.62%
S&P 4,447.74 +0.25%
NASDAQ 14,765.13 -0.16%
*As of market close
Stocks traded mixed on Wednesday, with a slight loss for the Nasdaq.
Oil rallied 1.4 percent, closing at $69.25 per barrel.
Gold rose 1.3 percent, last going for $1,754 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies generally rose, with Bitcoin at $46,520 at the stock market close.

Today's TOP TIPS
This Old Line Company Looks Strong Ahead of Earnings

The only constant in the world is change. Companies that have been around for decades (or even over a century) need to either adapt or die. Some companies are getting the message that if they want to stay relevant tomorrow, they need to make changes today.

Big tech companies have fared well in this regard, expanding into new areas and new technologies. But other large companies are making moves too.

» FULL STORY


Insider Trading Report: Lumber Liquidators (LL)
Joseph Nowicki, a director at Lumber Liquidators (LL), recently picked up 5,033 shares. The buy increased her stake by over 41 percent, and came to a total purchase price of just under $100,000.

This follows up from a 2,500 share buy from the company CEO earlier in the month, at a total cost of $50,000. Overall, company insiders have been buyers going back to 2014.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: Snap (SNAP)
Shares of social media giant Snap (SNAP) have been trending stronger in the past year, with a further jump after beating earnings last week. One trader sees the chance of a continued move higher in the next month.

That's based on the September 3 $82 calls. With 22 days until expiration, over 7,815 contracts traded against a prior open interest of 146, for a 53-fold jump in volume. The buyer of the calls paid about $1.57 to make the trade.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
CPI Data Continues Rise, But Rate of Change Slows

Inflation data continues to come in hot, with consumer prices increasing 0.9 percent month-over-month for July. The rate has been slower relative to June's big jump, but inflation rates are still hovering near 13-year highs. The slowdown suggests that current economic policies in place to support the economy in place will stay there, so long as they don't led to accelerating inflation.
White House Calls on OPEC to Boost Production

Gasoline prices are up nearly $1.00 per gallon compared to this point last year, at a national average of $3.186 per gallon. The White House has called on OPEC nations to boost production to lower oil prices and prices at the pump, stating that the cartel's latest decision to gradually ease doesn't do enough. Consumers are more likely to see some relief in the coming months as the summer driving season ends.
Southwest Airlines Warns on Rising Delta Variant Numbers

Carrier Southwest Airlines (LUV) has stated that it's seeing a slowdown in bookings and a rise in cancellations as the Delta variant numbers have been on the rise. That's one of the most open signs yet that the Delta variant is having an impact, although a much smaller one than the initial Covid outbreak.
Tesla Sales Drop in China

After a massive rally last year, shares of Tesla Motors (TSLA) have been taking a breather. The company has also seen a slowdown, especially in the high-growth Chinese market. Based on sales data from the China Passenger Car Association, the company sold only 8,621 vehicles in China in July, a 70 percent drop from June.
Amazon Opens Air Cargo Hub

Amazon (AMZN) has completed construction of a $1.5 billion air cargo hub in Northern Kentucky. The site connects 40 different sites to control delivery better and increase speed and delivery for consumers. The hub is expected to operate up to a dozen flights per day and process millions of packages per week.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
NLOK 8.696%
URI 4.98%
NUE 3.912%
PCAR 3.799%
MHK 3.711%
BOTTOM
MRNA 15.638%
PRGO 12.569%
PFE 3.901%
ABMD 3.853%
ZM 3.755%

Quote of the Day
Widespread vaccine distribution and distancing measures have helped limit the variant's impact, but we could still see some drag on economic growth as some restrictions are reintroduced and consumers potentially become more cautious. While we may see an increase in market volatility due to the Delta variant, we believe the S&P 500 is still likely to see more gains through the end of the year.
- Barry Gilbert, asset allocation strategist at LPL Financial, on why the stock market will likely shake off Covid fears from now on and continue its upward course.

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