Friday, April 23, 2021

The space industry’s David vs. Goliath — Moon goal could slip, Nelson cautions — Harnessing the power of the sun

Delivered every Friday, POLITICO Space examines the policies and personalities shaping the second space age.
Apr 23, 2021 View in browser
 
2018 Newsletter Logo: Politico Space

By Bryan Bender

Quick Fix

A start-up plans to take on SpaceX as a one-stop shop for launch services, satellites and in-orbit transportation.

The Biden administration is still aiming for 2024 to return to the moon, but the presumptive NASA boss is managing expectations.

To mark Earth Day, a new push to get serious about tapping into solar power directly from space.

WELCOME TO POLITICO SPACE, our must-read briefing on the policies and personalities shaping the new space age in Washington and beyond. Email us at bbender@politico.com with tips, pitches and feedback, and find us on Twitter at @bryandbender. And don't forget to check out POLITICO's astropolitics page for articles, Q&As, and more.

Space Spotlight

'THEY HATE US': Start-up Firefly Aerospace has an enviable advantage in the small space launch market as a tenant at Vandenberg Space Force Base, with all the supporting infrastructure that comes with it. But it is still grounded by Washington red tape.

"You cannot launch just because we don't have a full set of licenses for the flight termination system," founder Max Polyakov, managing partner at Noosphere Ventures Partners, told us this month. But a well-placed industry source says a breakthrough could be imminent that could pave the way for launches from the California coast.

Firefly, along with Noosphere's other space properties , has big ambitions after landing a NASA contract in February to deliver payloads to the moon in 2023.

"We have a long-term view of producing a fully integrated scenario," Polyakov said. Ultimately, that means being a one-stop shop, he said: launch services, in-orbit transportation, and communications satellites — particularly for underserved regions such as the Middle East and Africa.

"Even our moon lander will not fly on SpaceX," Polyakov explained. "We will try to get a fully integrated solution to NASA or the Air Force. They care how much per kilogram can be delivered to the moon. It's like cargo airplanes and trains."

Does that mean taking on Elon Musk and SpaceX? "We are now in the stage where they hate us," Polyakov puts it bluntly, "because we have gotten recognized. Now we are coming to the point of fighting. But it is a trillion-dollar market. There's enough market for everyone."

Related: Noosphere Ventures aims to build an integrated space powerhouse: Q&A with managing partner Max Polyakov, via Space News.

In Orbit

THE MOON CLOCK: The Biden administration still plans to stick to former President Donald Trump's aggressive goal to return astronauts to the lunar surface by 2024. But the presumptive NASA boss made it clear this week we shouldn't hold our breath.

"I think you may be pleased that we're going to see that timetable try to be adhered to, but recognize that with some sobering reality that space is hard," former Sen. Bill Nelson told the Senate Commerce Committee in his confirmation hearing.

Nelson also doubled down on Biden's planned budget increase for the space agency, particularly the $2.3 billion for the earth science portfolio to help confront climate change. "It's a very important increase," he testified. "You can't mitigate climate change unless you can measure it, and that's NASA's expertise."

As for NASA's big-ticket programs such as the Boeing Space Launch System, which is central to the moon program, but is much delayed and over budget? It's no surprise that the former Florida lawmaker is still on board, telling Sen. Deb Fischer (R-Neb.) that continuity is "very important," adding it "takes a long time to develop these technologies and this is cutting-edge stuff. So it didn't just start yesterday."

Nelson is proving to be one of the smoothest nominations for Biden so far. "There are not many Biden nominees about whom I am enthusiastic," Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) said. "Your nomination is a notable exception to that."

Related: Pam Melroy to be nominated to be NASA deputy administrator, via SpacePolicyOnline.

And: NASA Statement on Nomination of Margaret Vo Schaus for Agency CFO.

THE MONEY'S ON MUSK: Speaking of the Artemis project to return to the moon, NASA's surprise decision on Friday to award only one $2.9 billion contract for the Human Landing System — instead of two — is still sinking in.

It's safe to say a lot is riding on the winner, SpaceX, which outbid a team consisting of Blue Origin, Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman, and another led by Dynetics. "Given SpaceX's price, a protest may be difficult," predicts Roman Schweizer, an analyst at Cowen and Company.

The contract is for two flights to the moon aboard the Starship (the first unmanned and the second crewed). The Space Launch System is set to carry astronauts into space inside the Orion capsule built by Lockheed before meeting up with the Starship to get them to the surface and then back to Earth.

ICYMI: NASA's source selection statement

Related: All in on Starship, via The Space Review.

'UNFETTERED ACCESS TO THE SUN'S RAYS': Space solar power, that is. The National Space Society is out with a new video titled "Dear Earth: We're Sorry for What We've Done to You" that makes the case for a major push to tap into solar power from orbit to provide unlimited energy for the entire planet, night and day.

"We have a new source of power at our fingertips," the narrator says. "Space solar power is clean, abundant, and the cost of collecting and transmitting back to you, dear Earth, are negligible. … We have the rockets and proven technology we need to start building space solar power now. We may even be able to utilize the resources of your neighbor, the moon, to build these orbiting power stations."

The military's technologists are also making a fresh case for taking solar energy to the next step. "If the solar panels were in orbit they could have unfettered access to the sun's rays, providing an uninterrupted supply of energy," the Air Force Research Laboratory contends in a new video highlighting its Space Solar Power Incremental Demonstrations and Research Project.

A leading space solar power evangelist, retired Air Force Lt. Col. Peter Garretson, now a senior fellow for defense studies at the American Foreign Policy Council, put it this way: "We can treat the symptoms or we can come up with the cure."

Oh, and happy belated Earth Day.

Related: NASA and the new urgency of climate change, via Space News.

Industry Intel

EARLY WARNING: We caught up this week with Hawkeye 360, which operates a cluster of commercial satellites that captures radio frequency signals, to learn what it's been tracking lately.

Couple of interesting targets: It discovered "increased RF activity up the Galway Valley" last spring ahead of the border clashes between India and China. It has also monitored Chinese fishing vessels encroaching off the Galapagos Islands; assessed the Covid-19 lockdown in Wuhan, China, the epicenter of the global pandemic; and revealed increased maritime traffic in the Arctic. (We've asked for any data on the recent Russian military buildup along its border with Ukraine.)

Government partnerships: The company is steadily making inroads into the government market, including a study contract with the National Reconnaissance Office that is "exploring how to integrate into NRO's architecture to augment government systems." It is also working on a pilot program at the Pentagon's National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency that is dedicated to "placing this new commercial RF GEOINT source into the hands of end users."

Hawkeye has also been building an influential board of advisers drawn from the halls of the Pentagon, Congress and the intelligence community.

Revolving Airlock

INFLUENCE UPDATE: Paragon Space Development Corporation in Tucson, Ariz., has hired The Charles Group, a Washington consulting firm, to lobby on "human spaceflight programs," according to a lobby registration filed this month.

The Charles Group is run by Robert Charles, a former assistant secretary of state in the George W. Bush administration and a congressional staffer. Handing the Paragon account is Connor Martin.

What We're Reading

'TEST GODS': Readers can get an inside look at Virgin Galactic's space tourism business in "Test Gods: Virgin Galactic and the Making of a Modern Astronaut," out May 4 from the New Yorker's Nicholas Schmidle.

Schmidle spent four years embedded with Richard Branson's company, which has completed at least two successful test flights with the goal of making trips to space routine. More than 600 people have made reservations to fly with the company for around $250,000 apiece. Virgin started accepting down payments last year for the next batch of flights.

The book focuses on the men and women building and flying SpaceShipTwo, Virgin's unique rocket ship that launches from under the wing of a plane. An excerpt tells the story of how Mark Stucky, a Virgin Galactic test pilot, first decided he wanted to go to space while watching John Glenn orbit the Earth.

Related: Richard Branson dumps $650 million Virgin Galactic stock in a year, via Observer.

TRIVIA

Who was the only one of the original Mercury 7 astronauts to walk on the moon? And what activity was the only one to do there? The first person to email bbender@politico.com gets bragging rights and a shoutout in the next newsletter!

Reading Room

How to see SpaceX's predawn Crew-2 launch from the US East Coast early Friday: Space.com

Boeing pushes second Starliner test flight to late summer: Space.com

NASA emphasizes good relationship with Roscosmos as Russia mulls exiting ISS: Space News

Senior NASA employee pleads guilty to COVID-19 related loan fraud: Department of Justice

China is set to launch first module of massive space station: Scientific American

NRO to sign deals with commercial providers of satellite radar imagery: Space News

Coming soon: An announcement on which Army and Navy units will move to the Space Force: C4ISRNet

Space Force Reserve too important to be dictated by active duty: Air Force Times

Success! NASA's Ingenuity makes 1st powered flight on Mars: NPR

— LISTEN: Flight on Mars: an interview with Smithsonian's Ellen Stofan: Aviation Week

Event Horizon

TODAY: SpaceX will launch astronauts to the International Space Station aboard the Crew Dragon. A post- launch press conference is scheduled for 7:30 a.m.

TODAY: The American Enterprise Institute holds a discussion on air and space power with Royal Air Force Chief of the Air Staff Mike Wigston at 2 p.m.

TODAY: The Future Space Leaders Foundation holds its "Lift-Off Event" featuring Sen. John Hickenlooper and Rep. Don Beyer at 2 p.m.

MONDAY: SMI's online Small Satellites Conference kicks off from London.

MONDAY: The International Academy of Astronautics's Planetary Defense Conference begins.

MONDAY: Oak Ridge National Laboratory kicks off the 2021 Nuclear and Emerging Technologies for Space conference.

TUESDAY: The International Academy of Astronautics holds a symposium on small satellites for Earth observation from Berlin.

WEDNESDAY: The Los Angeles Venture Association holds its Space Tourism Conference.

WEDNESDAY: The Beyond Earth Institute will hold a webinar on the "Military Role in Enabling Communities Beyond Earth" at 10 a.m.

WEDNESDAY: SMI's Military Space Situational Awareness Conference streams from London.

WEDNESDAY: The Washington Space Business Roundtable holds a webinar with Beyer at noon.

WEDNESDAY: Boeing reports its first quarter earnings.

THURSDAY: Northrop Grumman reports its first quarter earnings.

THURSDAY: The Senate Commerce Committee holds a nomination hearing for Eric Lander to be director of the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy at 10 a.m.

THURSDAY: The House Science Committee's Space and Aeronautics Subcommittee holds a hearing on NASA's Mars Perseverance Rover at 11 a.m.

 

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Bryan Bender @bryandbender

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Jacqueline Feldscher @jacqklimas

 

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