Thursday, April 8, 2021

👁️‍🗨️ Stability Is an Illusion

Good morning. The Federal Reserve continues to sound optimistic, at lest according to its..
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. The Federal Reserve continues to sound optimistic, at lest according to its headline meeting minutes. But a number of officials are worried about stability risks. That's certainly an issue. With the money supply up at a record rate in the past year, it's easy to see why some fear an unusual amount of inflation, for instance.

All in all, financial markets repeatedly offer the illusion of stability. From rapid crashes and rallies to the seeming collapse of the entire economy once every 10 years or so, investors should be wary when things seem like they'll continue indefinitely in the direction they've been heading. Taking this approach led to buying last year's pandemic bear market. Today, it may mean taking some aggressive and leveraged trades off the table, just in case the economy doesn't perform as strongly as expected.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 33,446.20 +0.05%
S&P 4,079.73 +0.14%
NASDAQ 13,688.84 -0.07%
*As of market close
Stocks traded flat on Wednesday, as the Fed's latest meeting minutes were digested.
Oil rose 0.4 percent, to $59.57 per barrel.
Gold prices dropped 0.3 percent, at $1,737 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies generally dropped, with Bitcoin last at $56,225.

Today's TOP TIPS
Recurring Revenue Services Make for Strong Investment Returns
Wall Street loves hearing the words "recurring revenue." That business model means receiving smaller sums from a customer, but on a regular, typically monthly, basis. Companies that move towards that model tend to be rewarded with upgrades.

One big name tech giant has been lagging the market lately. But it's been focusing on increasing its recurring revenue by developing a suite of services rather than focus on creating new hardware to sell to customers.

» FULL STORY

Insider Trading Report: Joann Inc (JOAN)
Wade Miquelon, President and CEO of Joann (JOAN) recently bought 47,500 shares. The buy increased his stake by 87 percent, and came to a total cost just over $540,000.

This is the first insider trade since the company went public in March. When that happened, a number of institutional owners and directors sold shares, but many company executives bought shares. Overall, company insiders own over 4 percent of the company.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: Zillow (Z)
Real estate listing firm Zillow (Z) saw shares soar to $200 before dropping back down to $120. Now, with shares on the rise to $140, one trader is betting on a move higher.

That's based on the September $120 calls. With 162 days until expiration, the option is about $20 in-the-money given the recent price of $140. Over 10,100 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 133, for a 76-fold rise in volume.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
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Stock Leverage Reaches Record High

Investors have borrowed $814 billion in leverage to trade the stock market, according to the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. The amount is up 49 percent in the past year, and is the fastest rate of growth since 2007. Changes in leverage requirements or small pullbacks in the market could be magnified as a result of this sizeable leverage.
Digital Ad Spending Rose 12 Percent in 2020

While companies initially cut back on ad spending at the start of the pandemic, it came roaring back by the end of the year. For 2020 as a whole, ad spending rose 12.2 percent. The largest players in the market also increased their market share of digital ad space in that timeframe as well.
Apple Updates on App Tracking Feature

Tech giant Apple (AAPL) has updated information on its latest App Tracking Transparency feature. The tool will allow users to control what is and isn't shown for ad-targeting purposes on an app-by-app level. Competitors have criticized the changes, arguing that it will make it more costly to run effective ad campaigns for Apple users.
Carnival Loses $2 Billion in Q1 2021

Carnival Cruise Lines (CCL) reported a $2 billion quarterly loss in the first quarter of 2021. The cruise line industry largely remains shut down. However, the company's shares did initially rally on news that the company saw accelerated booking trends for when the line can open again.
Plaid Reaches $14.5 Billion Valuation

FinTech firm Plaid raised $425 million in Series D funding, valuing the company at $13.4 billion. That's a large increase over the attempted buyout at $5.3 billion from Visa (V) over a year ago that didn't pass antitrust scrutiny. Plaid's role in linking financial data between bank accounts and apps makes for a potent firm, and the company looks attractive to analysts as an IPO candidate.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
LB 3.627%
TWTR 2.97%
ESS 2.527%
FB 2.23%
HES 2.141%
BOTTOM
ALB 6.011%
ENPH 5.009%
TRMB 3.835%
PPG 3.647%
LW 3.621%

Quote of the Day
There are lots of reasons to be excited about the months ahead, and we're generally optimistic for this year. Stocks' momentum is strong, no doubt about that. But the market may be ready to take a breather as investors digest all the good news, determine how much of that is priced in and weigh it against uncertain risks like inflation.
- Lindsey Bell, chief investment strategist at Ally Invest, on why the stock market may continue to roll sideways for a few months rather than see a large move up or down.

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