PEACE THROUGH SPACE: Some of Biden's top space advisers have argued that it's important to cooperate with China in space, even as Beijing's behavior continues to threaten America in nearly every other area, we report in a deep dive available to our Pro subscribers. Despite China's theft of intellectual property, humans rights violations and weapons to threaten U.S. troops, "trying to exclude them I think is a failing strategy," Pam Melroy, a former astronaut who is serving on Biden's NASA transition team and is among those being considered to lead the space agency, told us before the election. "It's very important that we engage." One of the biggest barriers is Capitol Hill , where lawmakers imposed a ban on the two nations working together unless a mission is vetted by the FBI for any risks of data sharing. And the man behind that barrier — former Rep. Frank Wolf (R-Va.) — doesn't think his namesake Wolf Amendment is going away any time soon. "China has taken a lot from the United States. China is catching up. We are still ahead of them, but they are catching up," he said. "China has more to learn from the U.S. than we have to learn from them. … So any cooperation would mean they take from us, not that we take from them." The U.S. used common pursuits in orbit to ease tensions with Russia on Earth during the Cold War, but the situation with Beijing is very different. Whereas the former Soviet Union was crippled and in need of American help, China would be coming to the U.S. as an almost equal, having already accomplished difficult missions like this week's return of lunar samples. "We could have sucked in a lot of their human spaceflight program , as we did with Russia after the collapse of the Soviet Union," said Joan Johnson-Freese, a professor at the Naval War College. "It's possible if not probable that the next transmission from the moon will be in Mandarin, and since the vast majority of space technology is dual use, they have reaped significant military space benefits from going off on their own." Some worry "we may have missed the window to cooperate with China," said Leroy Chiao, a Chinese-American astronaut. From the cutting room floor: Some juicy tidbits from interviews on international cooperation didn't make it into the final version of the article. One of our favorites came from astronaut Garrett Reisman. He recalled that astronauts get to choose just a couple holidays to celebrate during long-term stays in orbit. In 2008, Reisman and the rest of the International Space Station crew picked Victory Day, the Russian celebration of allied victory in World War II. That morning, when astronauts began their daily check in from ground stations around the globe, the former WWII allies confronted a little diplomatic conundrum. "Moscow always went first. They called up and said … 'Congratulations! Happy Victory Day!' So Russian cosmonaut Sergey Volkov responded, "I congratulate you too." Reisman continued the story: "The next one up was Houston and they got right in the act. … I looked at Sergey and I said, 'You know who's next, don't you? … It's Munich. What are you going to say to them?'" "He picked up the mic and said, 'Munich, this is the International Space Station. Our current atmospheric pressure is 14.7 psi.'" 'Ceding leadership': But focusing too much on locking arms with China at the expense of enlisting other less developed nations could be a mistake, writes Brian Hart, a research associate specializing in China at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. "NASA's approach to international cooperation has failed to reorient to a world in which access to space is increasingly affordable for developing countries," he says in a new paper. "Over half of NASA's agreements in 2018 were with the European Space Agency and five countries (Canada, France, Germany, Japan, and the United Kingdom). In other words, U.S. international cooperation in space is heavily concentrated in 24 wealthy countries, which are home to less than 9 percent of the global population and which already have a substantial presence in space." "While the U.S. is prioritizing relationships with nations that have highly-developed space programs," he adds, "China is building out partnerships with nations that have underdeveloped programs. If the U.S. does not reorient its focus, it risks ceding leadership in this critical domain to China." |
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