| | FX Strategy 14 Oct 2020 | | In the G10 FX Market, CHF and USD are the top gainers today while GBP and NOK are the top losers, down -0.43% and -0.22% versus the dollar, respectively. In the rates market, global yields were trading mixed today. The Japan 10-year was trading at 0.026, up 0.7bp. The US 10-year was trading at 0.731, up 0.2bp. The German 10-year was trading at -0.567, down -0.8bp. The UK 10-year was trading at 0.223, down -1.2bp. | | In the Asian equities, markets were trading mixed today. The Nikkei 225 was trading at 23626.73, up 0.11%. The Hang Seng was trading at 24579.5, down -0.07%. The Kospi was trading at 2380.48, down -0.94%. In the European equities, indices were trading mixed today. The FTSE 100 was trading at 5984.71, up 0.25%. The Euro Stoxx 50 was trading at 3270.05, down -0.28%. The DAX 30 was trading at 12998.7, down -0.16%. | | Looking at Equity Futures so far, the FTSE100 Futures was trading at 5954.0, up 0.3%. The SP500 Futures was trading at 3512.75, up 0.23%. The Euro Stoxx 50 Futures was trading at 3260.0, down -0.21%. | | In the Energy space, Oil futures were trading weak today. The Brent Crude Futures was trading at 42.14, down -0.73%. The WTI Crude Futures was trading at 39.87, down -0.82%. | | In terms of economic data releases, we have already had the Interest Rate Decision from South Korea, as expected unchanged from the Forecast of 0.5%. We have also seen August data from Japan with Industrial Production MoM Final (Actual 1.0% v Forecast 1.7%), Capacity Utilization MoM (Actual 2.9% v Forecast 8%) and Industrial Production YoY Final (Actual -13.8% v Forecast -13.3%). We have also seen Spanish data for September with the Inflation Rate YoY Final (Actual -0.4% v Forecast -0.4%), Inflation Rate MoM Final (Actual 0.2% v Forecast 0.2%), Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Final (Actual -0.6% v Forecast -0.6%) and the Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Final (Actual 0.4% v Forecast 0.1%). Looking forward to the morning session, ECB President Lagarde is speaking from 08:00 GMT with Euro Area Industrial Production YoY (Actual -7.7% v Forecast -7.2%) and MoM (Actual 4.1% v Forecast 0.5%) being released at 09:00 GMT. ECB's Mersch and Lane are speaking at 11:00 GMT and 12:00 GMT respectively. | | Starting the afternoon session, we look forward to September data from the US at 12:30 GMT, with headline PPI MoM (Previous 0.3% v Forecast 0.3%) and YoY (Previous -0.2% v Forecast 0.4%) alongside Core PPI MoM (Previous 0.4% v Forecast 0.2%) and YoY (Previous 0.6% v Forecast 1%). Fed's Clarida is then speaking at 13:00 GMT, Bank of Canada's Lane is speaking at 14:30 GMT which concludes the afternoon trading session. This evening, Fed Quarles, RBA Governor Lowe and Fed's Kaplan are speaking at 19:00 GMT, 21:45 GMT and 22:00 GMT respectively. | | 10-Year Yields Daily Chart (1-month) | | | | Daily FX Pivots | | | | Brent Crude Daily Chart (1-month) | | | | Forex Chart and Technical Analysis | | EURUSD Chart (Two-week) | | | | Strategy: Resistance at 1.1764 for 1.1711 Short-term view: EURUSD resistance comes in at 1.1764 MACD and RSI have a bearish bias. Hence, we see a dip to 1.1711 enter at 1.1747. Above 1.1764 to open 1.1797 | | GBPUSD Chart (Two-week) | | | | Strategy: Resistance at 1.2976 for 1.2827 Short-term view: GBPUSD resistance comes in at 1.2976 MACD and RSI have a bearish bias. Hence, we see a dip to 1.2827 enter at 1.2927. Above 1.2976 to open 1.3031 | | USDJPY Chart (Two-week) | | | | Strategy: Support at 105.3 for 105.81 Short-term view: USDJPY MACD and RSI are flat but support comes in at 105.3 and we see a rise to 105.81 enter at 105.47. Below 105.3 to open 105.11 | | AUDUSD Chart (Two-week) | | | | Strategy: Resistance at 0.7176 for 0.7135 Short-term view: AUDUSD resistance comes in at 0.7176 MACD and RSI have a bearish bias. Hence, we see a dip to 0.7135 enter at 0.7162. Above 0.7176 to open 0.7202 | | | TraderMade Kingfisher House, 21-23 Elmfield Rd Bromley, Kent, BR1 1LT, United Kingdom E: info@tradermade.com T: +44(0)20 8313 0092 S: 0800 298 2520 (24hr) | | | | | | The FXNavigator On-line Research Service (the "Service") is provided by Tradermade Systems Ltd ("TraderMade"). The Service is comprised of annotated charts ("Charts"), technical commentary ("Commentary"), TraderMade strategies ("Strategies") and technical alerts ("Alerts"). The Service is delivered to end-users through a variety of mechanisms, including but not limited to TraderMade's own proprietary platforms, Thomson Reuters own proprietary platforms, email, RSS, Twitter, Facebook and LinkedIn. 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