| | FX Strategy 18 Sep 2020 | | In the G10 FX Market, NZD and NOK are the top gainers today, up 0.62% and 0.28% versus the dollar while GBP and USD are the top losers. In the rates market, global yields were trading mixed today. The German 10-year was trading at -0.482, up 1.0bp. The UK 10-year was trading at 0.193, up 0.6bp. The US 10-year was trading at 0.689, flat 0.0bp. The Japan 10-year was trading at 0.007, flat 0.0bp. | | In the Asian equities, markets were trading firm today. The Hang Seng was trading at 24444.25, up 0.42%. The Nikkei 225 was trading at 23360.3, up 0.18%. The Kospi was trading at 2412.4, up 0.26%. In the European equities, indices were trading weaker today. The Euro Stoxx 50 was trading at 3315.65, down -0.03%. The DAX 30 was trading at 13206.4, down -0.01%. The FTSE 100 was trading at 6030.85, down -0.32%. | | Looking at Equity Futures so far, the SP500 Futures was trading at 3352.62, down -0.26%. The Euro Stoxx 50 Futures was trading at 3304.0, down -0.51%. The FTSE100 Futures was trading at 6004.0, down -0.92%. | | In the Energy space, Oil futures were trading firm today. The Brent Crude Futures was trading at 43.79, up 1.13%. The WTI Crude Futures was trading at 41.46, up 1.2%. | | In terms of economic data releases, we have already had August German PPI MoM (Actual 0% v Forecast 0.1%) and YoY (Actual -1.2% v Forecast -1.4%). We have also seen UK Retail Sales data for August with YoY (Actual 2.8% v Forecast 2.9%), MoM (Actual 0.8% v Forecast 0.5%), ex Fuel MoM (Actual 0.6% v Forecast 0.3%) and ex Fuel YoY (Actual 0.6% v Forecast 0.3%). This morning we have ECB's Guindos speaking at 09:15 GMT and Russian Interest Rate Decision at 10:30 GMT (Previous 4.25% v Forecast 4%). | | This afternoon we have Canadian July data at 12:30 GMT, with Retail Sales MoM (Previous 23.7% v Forecast 0.7%), YoY (Previous 3.8% v Forecast 3.5%), Ex Autos MoM (Previous 15.7% v Forecast 0.6%) and Wholesale Sales MoM (Previous 18.5% v Forecast 2.5%). At 12:30 GMT US Current Account Q2 (Previous $-104.2B v Forecast $-150B) will be released. At 14:00 GMT we have September US Michigan data with Current Conditions Prel (Previous 82.9 v Forecast 82), Inflation Expectations Prel (Previous 3.1% v Forecast 3.2%), 5 Year Inflation Expectations Prel (Previous 2.7% v Forecast 2.8%), Consumer Sentiment Prel (Previous 74.1 v Forecast 75) and Michigan Consumer Expectations Prel (Previous 68.5 v Forecast 68). | | 10-Year Yields Daily Chart (1-month) | | | | Daily FX Pivots | | | | Brent Crude Daily Chart (1-month) | | | | Forex Chart and Technical Analysis | | EURUSD Chart (Two-week) | | | | Strategy: Support at 1.1813 for 1.1888 Short-term view: EURUSD support comes in at 1.1813 MACD and RSI have a bullish bias. Hence, we see a bounce to 1.1888 enter at 1.1838. Below 1.1813 to open 1.1773 | | GBPUSD Chart (Two-week) | | | | Strategy: Support at 1.2947 for 1.3029 Short-term view: GBPUSD MACD and RSI are flat but support comes in at 1.2947 and we see a rise to 1.3029 enter at 1.2974. Below 1.2947 to open 1.2891 | | USDJPY Chart (Two-week) | | | | Strategy: Resistance at 104.82 for 104.46 Short-term view: USDJPY MACD and RSI are flat but resistance comes in at 104.82 and we see a dip to 104.46 enter at 104.7. Above 104.82 to open 105.11 | | AUDUSD Chart (Two-week) | | | | Strategy: Support at 0.7294 for 0.7356 Short-term view: AUDUSD support comes in at 0.7294 MACD and RSI have a bullish bias. Hence, we see a bounce to 0.7356 enter at 0.7314. 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